Nottingham 15:39 RESULTED
Class 4 14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 2m

Official Result

Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Green Falcon (GB) Saffie Osborne · David Menuisier
    5/2J
  2. 5/2J
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Nottingham

13:19–17:22 · 8 races

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13:25–16:52 · 7 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

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13:45–17:13 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Believitanducan silks
Believitanducan FAV
Age 5 · 10-4
2-1113
87
69
83
5
10-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
5/2 32/17 5/2
Believitanducan counts three wins in his last five starts, including a third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before. A 65-day break is the only query, but he looks our pick on overall profile despite carrying 144 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

2
Personal Best silks
Personal Best
Age 4 · 9-13
432133
82
64
80
4
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 4/1
Consistent filly who has finished third in her last two, and a winner three starts back, she has run over today's trip and going and is fit after 21 days off. Our rating of 80 sits a couple of pounds below her mark of 82, and 139 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Call My Bluff silks
Call My Bluff
Age 9 · 9-11
-91050
80
58
82
9
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 50/1
Call My Bluff won four starts back and has run over today's trip and on this going, while our rating of 82 ranks him third of eleven and sits above his official mark of 80. The risk is form since, with an unplaced run last time out after 38 days off.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

4
Rock N Roll Pinkie silks
Rock N Roll Pinkie
Age 6 · 9-7
455975
76
53
80
6
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 15/2
Rock N Roll Pinkie has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 80 ranks her fourth of 11 with a mark of 76 to work from. She's winless in her last six though, with a fifth last time out, and that lack of a win is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

5
Neptunes Staircase silks
Neptunes Staircase
Age 6 · 9-6
71/905
75
62
84
6
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 12/1
Fifth last time out, just 16 days ago, and a winner four starts back, Neptunes Staircase has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 84 ranks him top of eleven. The risk is a patchy record since that success, with a ninth and an unplaced run in between.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Sharp Move silks
Sharp Move
Age 4 · 9-6
1-8873
75
52
77
4
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
SP 7/1 9/1
Sharp Move bounced back with a third last time out, 18 days ago, and has run on today's going, but a seventh, an eighth and another eighth before that, with his win five starts back, show inconsistency. Carrying 132 lb off an official mark of 75 is a hurdle, and our rating of 77 ranks him eighth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

7
It's All About You silks
It's All About You
Age 6 · 9-4
18-083
73
51
77
6
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 40/1
Third last time out, though he's a fortnight-plus-long 41 days fresher and was eighth and unplaced in the two runs before that, with his only win five starts back. He has run over today's trip and going and carries 130 lb off 73, while our rating of 77 ranks him seventh of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

8
Trojan Sun silks
Trojan Sun
Age 6 · 9-2
073632
71
53
68
6
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
9/1 15/2 9/1
Yet to win in his last six, Trojan Sun was second last time out and third two starts back, so he's far from hopeless, but he carries 128 lb off 71 and ranks last of eleven on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, and 18 days since his last run is no concern.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

9
Dunkeld Dreamer silks
Dunkeld Dreamer
Age 3 · 9-2
140372
79
62
79
3
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
8/1 9/1 8/1
Runner-up last time out and fit after 25 days, Dunkeld Dreamer has run over today's trip and going, but a seventh two starts back and just the one win in her last six, six starts ago, keep her in the pack. Ranked sixth of 11 by our rating, she carries 128 lb off an official 79.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

10
Zimmerman silks
Zimmerman
Age 7 · 9-1
611143
70
57
70
7
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 14/1 20/1
Zimmerman won three starts back, four starts back and five starts back, then a fourth two starts back and a third last time out, so the form is solid, but he has run over today's trip and going without that standing out. Carried 127 lb off a mark of 70, he looks hard to fancy, as our rating of 70 ranks him tenth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Green Falcon silks
Green Falcon FAV
Age 3 · 8-9
2-5043
72
59
72
3
8-9
★★☆☆☆
—
3/1 9/2 5/2
Green Falcon has been winless in his last five, though a third last time out and a second five starts back show he is hardly out of sorts, and he has run on today's going before. Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, he looks short of the class to fancy at 121 lb.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Believitanducan 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 Bet365
2 Personal Best 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 5/1 Bet365
3 Call My Bluff 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 Bet365
4 Rock N Roll Pinkie 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Bet365
5 Neptunes Staircase 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
6 Sharp Move 9/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.00 11/1 Paddy Power
7 It's All About You 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Trojan Sun 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Dunkeld Dreamer 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 Coral
10 Zimmerman 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 Betfred
11 Green Falcon 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Believitanducan

Speculative

Believitanducan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Alan King William Buick
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Green Falcon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · David Menuisier
✓ Value Signal

Call My Bluff

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Dominic Ffrench Davis
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Believitanducan
54.3 5/2
2 11. Green Falcon
53.4 3/1
3 2. Personal Best
45.9 5/1
4 4. Rock N Roll Pinkie
44.2 15/2
5 9. Dunkeld Dreamer
43.3 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Believitanducan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-4
5/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

11
Age 3 · 8-9
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-7
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

8
Age 6 · 9-2
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

5
Age 6 · 9-6
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Believitanducan
Confidence: Speculative

Believitanducan (SR:69, Wgt:10-4) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next-best horses are clustered between SR 62-64 — a meaningful gap at this class level. Despite carrying top weight and running off a mark 10lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+10), the horse is proven at 2m and on good-to-soft (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), which are two of the most important filters on a 2m handicap in October. The market has backed it in 14% since opening, and William Buick (25% strike rate, 1,525 career runners) is a significant booking for a Class 4 Nottingham handicap — connections clearly believe. The recent form string 1-1-1-1-3 (reading right to left: third last time, three consecutive wins before that) confirms a horse in peak form carrying a penalty it has earned. Each-way alternative: Dunkeld Dreamer. Main danger: Green Falcon — Green Falcon (SR:59, Wgt:8-9) carries the lowest weight in the field and has been backed in 43% since opening — the strongest market support of any runner — with David Menuisier's yard capable of placing horses quietly when fresh off a 23-day break, and the light weight gives it a real racing chance if the trip is within reach.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 65-day absence is notable — the three consecutive wins came on tighter turnarounds, and returning from a 9-week break carrying top weight of 10-4 adds a fitness question on a stamina test.
  • Running off a mark 10lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+10) is a significant rise; the handicapper has had time to assess those wins and this mark may simply be beyond the horse's current ceiling.
  • Dunkeld Dreamer (SR:62, age 3, in-market 21%) receives a massive 19lb weight advantage — a well-handicapped 3yo with that pull in the weights on good-to-soft 2m Nottingham is a live danger the SR gap…
  • Rob Hornby on Personal Best (SR:64, Days:21, in recent form 432133) is racefitter and only 5lb worse off; the market drift out 42% may reflect going concerns but if ground suits both, the fitness edg…
Shortlist Believitanducan, Dunkeld Dreamer, Green Falcon
Each-way: Dunkeld Dreamer Danger: Green Falcon

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade