Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle · 2m0f95y
SR 120 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 117 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 120 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Issy's Lad | 125/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Marine Tycoon | 66/1 open 19.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Quest For Answers | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 River Ore | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Silken Thomas | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 William Hill |
| 6 Thinkitdontjinxit | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Thranduil | 150/1 open 41.00 | 150/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Two Grand Sweeney | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Whisky Lads | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 15.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 William Hill |
| 10 Apache Peak | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 Paddy Power |
| 11 Caprison | 125/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Deralo Ir | 80/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Fiveandahalf | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.63 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 5/2 William Hill |
| 14 Magna Gee Gee | 125/1 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Highland Call | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Ragstoriches | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fiveandahalf owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fiveandahalf (SR:157, 15/8) is the highest-rated runner in a field where quality falls away sharply below the top two, and crucially carries 11-11 — the same weight as Apache Peak (SR:158, 5/2) — so there is no meaningful weight disadvantage to explain away. The form line '4-1' shows a recent win on return from a break, trainer Gavin Cromwell runs a dual-runner yard and has deployed Keith Donoghue, his more experienced booking at 13% career strike rate versus Ben Harvey (7%) on stablemate Caprison — a clear signal this is Cromwell's number one. The market at 15/8 has held without drift, contrasting sharply with Apache Peak's Mkt:out7%, where the money is gently moving against the favourite on a 206-day absence. Each-way alternative: Thinkitdontjinxit. Main danger: Apache Peak — Apache Peak carries the highest SR in the field at 158, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), and runs for a yard with a solid 10% strike rate — a 206-day absence and a gentle market drift are the only flags against what is otherwise a formidable profile.