Kempton (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 4 14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f219y

Official Result

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner War Hawk (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford
    11/2
  2. Second Tryfan (GB)
    7/1
  3. 3/1F
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Londoner silks
Londoner FAV
Age 6 · 9-11
542424
87
96
92
6
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 13/2 3/1
Londoner has finished in the frame, with a second two starts back and a second four starts back, and he was fourth last time out, 22 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 92 makes him the one to beat, though he is yet to win in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Charmaine silks
Charmaine
Age 5 · 9-10
244416
86
89
88
5
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 5/1 7/1
Charmaine won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 88 ranks her second of 13 and makes her a leading threat from stall four. The risk is a sixth last time out, and she's off 34 days and carries 136 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
War Hawk silks
War Hawk
Age 4 · 9-7
-36556
83
73
85
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 15/2 13/2
War Hawk has shown only moderate form without a win, finishing sixth last time out, fifth, fifth and sixth, with a third five starts back, and he has run over today's trip. A 45-day break and 133 lb from stall six temper things, though our rating of 85 sits a couple above his official 83.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Tryfan silks
Tryfan
Age 5 · 9-7
207153
83
86
85
5
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 9/2 5/1
Third last time out and a winner three starts back, Tryfan has been in decent order and returns after 22 days having run over today's trip, though a fifth two starts back and a seventh four starts back show his consistency wavers. Ranked ninth of 13 by our rating of 85, he carries 133 lb from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lyric silks
Lyric
Age 5 · 9-7
607/0-
83
54
86
5
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 28/1 33/1
Winless in his last four, with an unplaced effort last time out and a seventh two starts back, Lyric returns after 133 days off, though he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 86 sits a few pounds above his official 83, and he runs from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

6
Wonder silks
Wonder
Age 5 · 9-6
212235
82
85
87
5
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 5/1 9/1
Wonder was beaten into fifth last time out after a third two starts back, and he has been in the first three in five of his last six, but 59 days off and 132 lb are against him. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 87 ranks him fifth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Assail silks
Assail
Age 6 · 9-5
-64328
81
86
88
6
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 8/1 11/2
Assail arrives fresh off a 22-day break with a second and a third in his last five, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 88 ranks him third of 13, though he's yet to win and was eighth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Marhaba The Champ silks
Marhaba The Champ
Age 7 · 9-4
70-09R
80
50
85
7
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
125/1 50/1 100/1
Refused last time out and beaten in each of his last five starts, with a seventh five starts back his best finish, so this 113-day absentee has plenty to prove. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 85 sits above his official 80, but 130 lb from stall 13 is no gift.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

9
Metal Merchant silks
Metal Merchant
Age 6 · 9-2
004997
78
55
87
6
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 25/1
Metal Merchant is winless in his last six and has finished seventh and a pair of ninths lately, but our rating of 87 sits well clear of his official 78, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is that the recent form offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

10
Carnival Day silks
Carnival Day
Age 5 · 9-1
745312
77
78
81
5
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 13/2 16/1
Hard to fancy at 11th of 13 on our figures, though Carnival Day arrives in decent heart: a second last time out, and a win two starts back, just 17 days after that latest run. He has run over today's trip, but carrying 127 lb from stall nine, he may need more.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Youthful King silks
Youthful King
Age 7 · 9-1
-88644
77
54
84
7
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Youthful King is winless in his last five, with finishes of eighth, eighth and sixth before a pair of fourths, and a 116-day break leaves fitness a question at 127 lb from draw 5. He has run over today's trip and going before, and last-time-out fourth offers some encouragement, but ranked tenth of 13 by our figures he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

12
Nicator silks
Nicator
Age 4 · 9-1
2-4274
77
82
79
4
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 9/2 7/2
Nicator has been winless in his last five, with a seventh two starts back the weak spot, though a fourth last time out, 14 days ago, and seconds three and five starts back show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip, but our rating of 78 ranks him last of 13.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Charlie's Choice silks
Charlie's Choice
Age 6 · 9-0
327044
76
61
81
6
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 10/1 20/1
Charlie's Choice is winless in his last six, with consecutive fourths the best of his latest efforts, and a 118-day absence adds to the doubts. He has run over today's trip and on this going, which helps, but our figures rank him 12th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Londoner 10/3 open 9.00 3/1 open 8.50 10/3 open 8.50 10/3 open 8.50 10/3 open 8.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 Betfred
2 Charmaine 8/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 Bet365
3 War Hawk 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
4 Tryfan 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
5 Lyric 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Wonder 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Assail 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 Coral
8 Marhaba The Champ 125/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 Bet365
9 Metal Merchant 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
10 Carnival Day 18/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 7.50 18/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 7.50 18/1 Bet365
11 Youthful King 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Paddy Power
12 Nicator 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365
13 Charlie's Choice 25/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 12.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Londoner

Live signal

Londoner owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Daniel & Claire Kubler Billy Loughnane
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Charmaine

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Charlie's Choice

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · David Simcock
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Londoner
60.8 10/3
2 2. Charmaine
55.7 8/1
3 12. Nicator
55.2 7/2
4 4. Tryfan
54.8 11/2
5 7. Assail
54.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Londoner
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Londoner FAV
Age 6 · 9-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 4 · 9-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-10
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 9-1
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Londoner
Confidence: Speculative

Londoner (SR:96, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin and has steamed in 48% in the market — the most dramatic move of any runner today, suggesting significant stable confidence. Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3152 career runs) is a strong booking who knows what he's sitting on. The Course:W0P3 record at Kempton shows familiarity with the track, and a ClassMv:= means this is no harder than recent assignments. The GoingFit:- is the one genuine concern on today's Good to Soft, but the market clearly isn't troubled by it, and the 48% support is too loud to ignore. Each-way alternative: Charmaine. Main danger: Assail — Assail (SR:86, 15/2) has been backed in 24% from opening, carries just 9-5, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), runs off a mark 5lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-5), and holds course form (W1P2 at Kempton) — a strong convergence of signals that could make him the value alternative.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Course:W0P3 at Kempton — three visits, zero wins. Familiarity has not translated to a victory and suggests the track may not suit Londoner despite market confidence.
  • GoingFit:- on today's Good to Soft is a concrete flag; Kempton AW is Polytrack so going notation likely reflects turf form, but the '-' indicates the surface/conditions are genuinely against this hor…
  • Form string 542424 shows consistent placing but no win in six starts — a horse that repeatedly fills minor positions at a career-high SR of 96 may be a perennial bridesmaid who peaks just below winni…
  • MarkMv:+1 (handicapper raised the mark by 1) combined with top weight of 9-11 means Londoner carries the heaviest burden in the field, a meaningful disadvantage in a competitive 13-runner handicap.
Shortlist Londoner, Assail, Charmaine, Tryfan
Each-way: Charmaine Danger: Assail

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f219y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade