Matchbook Betting Exchange Steeplechase (Grade 3) · 2m7f39y
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 88 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apple's Of Bresil | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Croke Park | 4/1 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 3 Gorgeous Tom | 1/2 open 1.62 | 4/9 | 2/5 open 1.50 | 2/5 open 1.50 | 1/3 open 1.67 | 4/9 open 1.50 | 1/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Smallcraftwarning | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gorgeous Tom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Gorgeous Tom (SR:149, 4/6) is the class leader in this small field and has proven course form (W1P1 at Punchestown) with confirmed going suitability (GoingFit:+). The MarkMv:+24 is a concern but in a Grade 3 chase of only four runners with equal weights, a higher mark is largely academic — what matters is outright ability, and at SR:149 he leads the field by 4 points over Croke Park (SR:145). The 8% market drift is the strongest concrete negative on his line, but with a 4/6 favourite in a four-runner race, that drift alone is insufficient cause to oppose him when Croke Park's runner line carries its own red flags. Gorgeous Tom's form reads 2450-3, the last run being a third which is a positive return to action, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Croke Park. Main danger: Croke Park — Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate) and Jack Kennedy (23% strike rate) is a high-quality combination, and ClassMv:= means no rise in class from last time, but the 187-day absence and a form string of 33300- mean Croke Park needs to bounce back sharply to beat Gorgeous Tom.