Kempton (AW) 16:25 RESULTED
Class 4 14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

Official Result

Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hayate (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian
    5/6F
  2. 5/2
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Colaba silks
Colaba
Age 2 · 9-7
—
—
130
—
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 10/1 20/1
SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Desert Move silks
Desert Move
Age 2 · 9-7
55
—
124
—
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 40/1 125/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Encounter silks
Encounter
Age 2 · 9-7
23643
81
89
81OR
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 7/4 32/17
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Hayate silks
Hayate FAV
Age 2 · 9-7
3
—
156
—
2
9-7
★★★★☆
—
evn 10/11 Evs
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
I Am Royal silks
I Am Royal
Age 2 · 9-7
323
78
92
78OR
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 9/2 10/3
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Lead To Gold silks
Lead To Gold
Age 2 · 9-7
9
—
127
—
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 80/1 125/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Stephen's Secret silks
Stephen's Secret
Age 2 · 9-7
98
—
126
—
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
200/1 FCST 125/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Uomo Valeroso silks
Uomo Valeroso
Age 2 · 9-7
—
—
152
—
2
9-7
★★★★☆
—
5/1 5/1 4/1
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Colaba 40/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 40/1 Bet365
2 Desert Move 200/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 67.00 200/1 Bet365
3 Encounter 5/2 9/4 open 3.50 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
4 Hayate evn 11/10 open 1.91 11/8 open 2.00 11/8 open 2.00 5/4 open 2.10 5/4 open 2.00 11/8 Coral
5 I Am Royal 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
6 Lead To Gold 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 81.00 200/1 Bet365
7 Stephen's Secret 200/1 open 151.00 150/1 125/1 125/1 150/1 open 126.00 125/1 200/1 Bet365
8 Uomo Valeroso 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hayate

High conviction

Hayate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

evn Roger Varian Jack Mitchell
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Uomo Valeroso

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Clive Cox
✓ Value Signal

Lead To Gold

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

200/1 · Ollie Sangster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge High conviction
80 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +8.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Hayate
73.1 evn
2 8. Uomo Valeroso
68.3 5/1
3 3. Encounter
56.6 5/2
4 5. I Am Royal
56.0 4/1
5 6. Lead To Gold
53.9 200/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hayate
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-7
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-7
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hayate
Confidence: Speculative

Hayate (SR:156, 11/8) is the clear class leader in this field — a 4-point SR gap over the second-best rated runner (Uomo Valeroso, SR:152) and a 27-point gap over the third (Colaba, SR:130). Roger Varian's 20% strike rate is the strongest in the field and Jack Mitchell (16%) is a reliable booking. The sole concern is a 20% drift in the market (Mkt:out20%), but in a novice with this SR dominance that drift more likely reflects the inexperienced form line (single run, finished third) than any specific intelligence about today's conditions. Uomo Valeroso (SR:152) is steaming in (Mkt:in18%) and represents the main rival, but Hayate's class edge off the same weight is the decisive factor here. Each-way alternative: Uomo Valeroso. Main danger: Uomo Valeroso — Uomo Valeroso (SR:152, 5/1) is significantly backed (Mkt:in18%) with a strong Rossa Ryan booking, carries the same weight as Hayate, and Clive Cox's yard clearly has confidence in this runner as the stable's number one over debutant Colaba — if Hayate's debut run (a third) masked any greenness or fitness issue, Uomo Valeroso on a clean slate with market support could prevail.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Hayate's sole career run was a third-place finish — on unknown going/surface — and there is no AW/Kempton-specific form to confirm he handles Polytrack, which can brutally expose unexposed horses.
  • 75-day absence since that single run: a debutant returning after 2.5 months with just one race under his belt carries significant fitness and race-sharpness risk against horses with more recent outin…
  • Uomo Valeroso (SR:152, Mkt:in18%) is also unexposed, shares the same Clive Cox yard with Stable:1 flag, and the stable's positive market move suggests Cox's team believes in this runner specifically…
  • Hayate's 20% market drift in a short novice field is notable — with only 8 runners, money has somewhere specific to go, and it has moved away from Hayate toward I Am Royal (+31%) and Uomo Valeroso (+…
Shortlist Hayate, Uomo Valeroso, I Am Royal
Each-way: Uomo Valeroso Danger: Uomo Valeroso

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade