Matchbook Betting Exchange Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3) · 2m2f75y
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 129 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bunting | 5/6 open 2.75 | 8/11 open 2.50 | 5/6 open 2.50 | 5/6 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.75 | 5/6 open 2.50 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 2 Chanceawetmorning | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Sir Allen | 17/2 open 4.50 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Vitorio Piel | 3/1 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Miss Fourie | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Vitorio Piel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (91) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bunting (SR 157, 11/8) is the market leader for good reason: Paul Townend books at 38% career strike rate — the sharpest jockey stat in this field — and the Mullins yard hits at 26% with nearly 3,000 runners, the strongest connections combination here. The market has sharpened 8% since opening, confirming stable confidence. While DistFit:? and GoingFit:? indicate an unproven trip and going, this is a five-runner novice chase at Grade 3 level where the SR of 157 is second only to Vitorio Piel, and the form-string 996-61 shows a sharp recent win after indifferent earlier efforts — exactly the kind of improver trajectory Mullins/Townend exploit. Vitorio Piel's 168-day absence is the key concern for the main rival, and Bunting's sharper fitness makes it the likeliest winner. Each-way alternative: Vitorio Piel. Main danger: Vitorio Piel — Vitorio Piel holds the field's highest SR at 163, has course form (W1P3 at Punchestown) and has been heavily supported (Mkt:in35%), but 168 days off the track in a novice chase is a meaningful fitness question — if he returns fresh and ready, he is the most talented horse in the race.