Kempton (AW) 18:30 RESULTED
Class 2 14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 7f

Official Result

Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Keithaar (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti
    100/30
  2. 33/1
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Iris Olivia silks
Iris Olivia FAV
Age 2 · 9-2
7234
76
80
76OR
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 7/2 3/1
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Reveillez silks
Reveillez
Age 2 · 9-2
87
—
120
—
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 22/1 50/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Speed Nation silks
Speed Nation
Age 2 · 9-2
7624
76
78
76OR
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 3/1 8/1
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
You're Sensational silks
You're Sensational
Age 2 · 9-2
5
—
150
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 10/3 32/17
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Zirconic silks
Zirconic
Age 2 · 9-2
548
71
47
71OR
2
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 11/1 40/1
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Keithaar silks
Keithaar
Age 2 · 9-0
2
—
150
—
2
9-0
★★★★☆
—
5/2 FCST 9/4
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Remember The Show silks
Remember The Show
Age 2 · 9-0
98
—
122
—
2
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 66/1 125/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Sand Dance silks
Sand Dance
Age 2 · 9-0
—
—
122
—
2
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 22/1 40/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Hidden Beyond silks
Hidden Beyond
Age 2 · 8-11
322
68
74
68OR
2
8-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 8/1 7/1
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Isabella of Aragon silks
Isabella of Aragon
Age 2 · 8-8
54
—
129
—
2
8-8
★★★☆☆
—
50/1 16/1 40/1
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Iris Olivia 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 Coral
2 Reveillez 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
3 Speed Nation 8/1 open 4.50 8/1 open 4.00 17/2 open 4.00 17/2 open 4.33 17/2 open 4.33 8/1 open 4.00 17/2 Coral
4 You're Sensational 15/8 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.33 2/1 open 4.33 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.33 2/1 Paddy Power
5 Zirconic 50/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Keithaar 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 Coral
7 Remember The Show 200/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 200/1 Bet365
8 Sand Dance 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Hidden Beyond 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Coral
10 Isabella of Aragon 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Keithaar

High conviction

Keithaar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Marco Botti Marco Ghiani
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

You're Sensational

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Remember The Show

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

200/1 · Ed Walker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
83 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Keithaar
71.9 5/2
2 4. You're Sensational
71.1 15/8
3 1. Iris Olivia
58.4 10/3
4 7. Remember The Show
52.0 200/1
5 2. Reveillez
50.6 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
You're Sensational
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-2
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾 —

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-0
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 2 · 8-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
You're Sensational
Confidence: Speculative

You're Sensational (SR 150, 11/4) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Keithaar, but crucially the market has steamed in 19% — meaningful money from a top yard in John & Thady Gosden (24% strike rate, 1490 runners) with Robert Havlin aboard. Despite stepping up one class, the Gosden operation rarely send a debutant runner that ran fifth with this level of SR into a novice without confidence, and the market support directly contradicts any bearish reading of that single run. Against Keithaar (SR 150, 10/3 joint-favourite), the drift of 21% is a material red flag: same SR, same class step, but the money is clearly moving away from Botti's filly and toward Gosden's. With all other contenders carrying SRs of 129 or below, and no runner showing proven distance or going fitness, SR + stable support + steaming market makes You're Sensational the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Hidden Beyond. Main danger: Keithaar — Keithaar shares the top SR of 150 and Marco Ghiani is a capable pilot, so raw ability alone keeps her live despite the 21% drift — if the market drift reflects a minor fitness or tactical concern rather than true lack of confidence, she remains capable of running You're Sensational close.

Case against 4 clamped
  • You're Sensational has only one run on record — a fifth-place finish — giving almost no form basis to confirm the SR of 150 translates to winning ability at this level on AW.
  • Robert Havlin's 15% strike rate is notably below the Gosden yard's own 24%, suggesting this may not be a maximum-confidence booking from the stable's strongest jockey options.
  • Keithaar carries the identical SR of 150 from a second-place finish — a more solid form reference than a fifth — meaning the head-to-head SR advantage cited does not actually exist.
  • A 29-day absence since the only run, combined with a switch to Kempton AW, introduces an untested surface variable that the market steam alone cannot resolve.
Shortlist You're Sensational, Keithaar, Hidden Beyond
Each-way: Hidden Beyond Danger: Keithaar

🗺 The Course Class 2

7f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade