Nottingham 16:14 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m75y

Official Result

Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mayaada (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Ollie Sangster
    1/1F
  2. 14/1
  3. 33/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Nottingham

13:19–17:22 · 8 races

Wetherby

13:25–16:52 · 7 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

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Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mayaada silks
Mayaada FAV
Age 3 · 9-9
424485
70
72
77
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
6/4 2/1 18/13
Mayaada is yet to win in her last six, but she has run over today's trip and going before and fits as a leading danger, with a fifth last time out, 25 days ago, and our rating of 77 ranking her second of ten. The risk is a poor eighth two starts back, which shows she can fail to fire.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Magic Box silks
Magic Box
Age 3 · 9-9
5-4873
70
61
79
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/2 14/1
Magic Box steps up from a third last time out just nine days ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 79 gets the nod despite being winless in her last five, with 135 lb and draw 1 the other notes.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lieutenant Kije silks
Lieutenant Kije
Age 3 · 9-8
26-532
69
56
71
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/2 12/1
Lieutenant Kije was second last time out, and a third two starts back, after 20 days off, and he has run over today's trip before. Yet to win in his last five, he carries 134 lb from draw nine, and our rating of 70 ranks him fifth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Blue Boy Junior silks
Blue Boy Junior
Age 3 · 9-6
4456
67
70
75
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 3/1 9/2
Blue Boy Junior has slipped back through a run of sixth, fifth, fourth and fourth, and our rating of 75 ranks him third of ten, well clear of his official 67. He has run over today's trip and is fresh after 29 days, though he is yet to win in recent starts and that remains the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Anton Mauve silks
Anton Mauve
Age 3 · 9-6
8901
67
66
65
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 3/1 4/1
Anton Mauve won last time out after an unplaced run and finishes of ninth and eighth before that, so the form is patchy, and 132 lb from stall six looks a lot to carry off a mark of 67. A fresh 27 days since that win is a plus, but our rating of 65 has him eighth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Gunalt Wavelength silks
Gunalt Wavelength
Age 3 · 9-5
211462
66
64
71
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 10/1
Runner-up last time out and a winner four starts back, she has shown ability in recent starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, a sixth two starts back and 43 days off the track temper enthusiasm, while 131 lb from draw 7 asks plenty.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Whatever Bruce silks
Whatever Bruce
Age 3 · 9-4
665
65
29
54
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 66/1
Whatever Bruce is winless in his last three, finishing fifth last time out, then a sixth two starts back, and another sixth three starts back, so he's hard to fancy off 130 lb. He is fit enough after 19 days, but our rating of 54 puts him last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Ubetterseethis silks
Ubetterseethis
Age 3 · 9-3
304708
64
40
71
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 33/1
Ubetterseethis has run over today's trip and going, and returns just 14 days after an eighth last time out, while our rating of 71 ranks him fourth of ten against an official 64. The risk is a winless run in his last six, with a third six starts back his best finish.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Mr Tony silks
Mr Tony
Age 3 · 9-2
413-14
63
73
66
3
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 8/1
Mr Tony has won twice in his last five starts, including two starts back, but he was only fourth last time out and returns after 31 days. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 ranks him seventh of ten, which tempers the appeal.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Gwen's Girl silks
Gwen's Girl
Age 3 · 8-6
4-7665
53
37
59
3
8-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
Winless in her last five, with a fifth last time out and sixth, sixth and seventh before that, Gwen's Girl is hard to fancy, and our ranking of ninth of 10 says as much. She has run over today's trip and going, and drawn three at 118 lb, that experience is the main positive.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mayaada 6/4 open 4.50 11/8 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.50 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 Betfred
2 Magic Box 14/1 open 5.50 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 Paddy Power
3 Lieutenant Kije 12/1 open 6.00 14/1 open 5.50 14/1 open 5.50 14/1 open 5.50 14/1 open 5.50 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 Paddy Power
4 Blue Boy Junior 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Anton Mauve 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
6 Gunalt Wavelength 10/1 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Whatever Bruce 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
8 Ubetterseethis 40/1 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
9 Mr Tony 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
10 Gwen's Girl 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mayaada

Speculative

Mayaada owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Ollie Sangster Oisin Murphy
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Anton Mauve

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Kevin & Lauren Frost
✓ Value Signal

Gwen's Girl

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Mark Walford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Mayaada
57.6 6/4
2 5. Anton Mauve
50.8 4/1
3 9. Mr Tony
48.1 17/2
4 4. Blue Boy Junior
47.6 9/2
5 6. Gunalt Wavelength
46.9 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mayaada
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Mayaada FAV
Age 3 · 9-9
6/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mayaada
Confidence: Speculative

Mayaada (SR:72, 9/4) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and has steamed in 24% in the market — the strongest positive move across all 10 runners — with Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate) booked. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 4lb lower than her last win (MarkMv:-4) gives her every chance on handicap terms, and DistFit:+ confirms she has the stamina for this 1m75y trip. The one concern is GoingFit:- on Good to Soft, but the weight relief (9-9 versus her class ceiling), the market conviction and the connections upgrade make her the most compelling case in the race. Each-way alternative: Mr Tony. Main danger: Blue Boy Junior — Blue Boy Junior (SR:70, 4/1) is the second-highest rated runner, carries a favourable weight of 9-6, and has been backed in 13% — a genuine market move that suggests confidence in his unexposed profile at this trip (DistFit:?).

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- on Good to Soft is a concrete flag — Mayaada's form string (424485) shows no win on give in the ground, and Nottingham in mid-October can be testing, directly undermining her chance.
  • Mr Tony (SR:73) is the highest-rated runner in the field, has steamed in 37% — the sharpest move of any horse — and carries 7lb less than Mayaada at the weights, giving him a significant pull on hand…
  • Mayaada's last six runs read 424485 — only one placing in the frame and no win since a mark 4lb above today's, suggesting she may be flattered by a drop in class rather than a horse on an upward curv…
  • Trainer Ollie Sangster runs at 14% strike rate, below the yard norms of leading handlers in the field (Haggas 23%, Burrows 21%), reducing the weight given to connections' confidence implied by the ma…
Shortlist Mayaada, Blue Boy Junior, Mr Tony, Anton Mauve
Each-way: Mr Tony Danger: Blue Boy Junior

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m75y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade