Duke Silver makes appeal on profile, having run over today's trip and on this going, and he showed up with a third three starts back despite being winless in his last five. A 46-day break and 168 lb are the reservations, but our figures rank him fourth of 16.
Form last 6603-U0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
89SR130RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Open Secret is a leading danger, with a second three starts back and a win five starts back to his name, and he has run over today's trip and going before; fresh enough after 16 days, his main risk is two unplaced runs since and 163 lb on his back.
Form last 614200-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
101SR134RPR127OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Park Of Kings has run over today's trip and on this going, and a fourth last time out is his best finish in recent starts, while our rating of 132 ranks him third of 16. The risk is a 140-day absence under 161 lb, with the gelding yet to win in his last five.
Form last 659U0-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR132RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Avalo was a fifth last time out, 18 days ago, and a second two starts back suggests he's still competitive, while he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 157 lb off an official mark of 121 is the stiff part, and our rating of 122 has him seventh of 16.
Form last 601-025
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
111SR122RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Majestic Force won two starts back and was a fifth last time out, but she returns after a 529-day absence and carries 157 lb. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 127 ranks her fifth of 16.
Form last 652615/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR127RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Feud is a leading danger on our figures, ranked second of 16 at 133 against an official mark of 120, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a break of just 18 days. The risk is a form line without a win, with an unplaced run last time out and a fifth two starts back, plus 156 lb to carry.
Form last 690F-50
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
99SR133RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Friary Road returned from a fall and a pulled up with a sixth last time out, and he has a win four starts back, but he's been inconsistent since. He has run on today's going and had 42 days off, yet 155 lb looks a stiff ask, with our rating of 117 placing him eleventh of sixteen.
Form last 6/1PF6-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR117RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rockymountainbleu was a second two starts back and a third three starts back, but he was ninth last time out and returns after 169 days off, with a yard out of form at 1/29. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 124 sits above his official 118 despite 154 lb.
Form last 674329-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
108SR124RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Elusive Ogie won two starts back but was only eighth last time out, and the gelding returns after 18 days with experience of today's trip and going; carrying 153 lb off an official mark of 117 looks a stiff ask, and our rating of 119 ranks him ninth of 16.
Form last 6F05818
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR119RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kevin's Pride has finished sixth, fourth, fifth and fourth in his last four runs, so he's consistent without threatening, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 44-day break and a cold yard (1/32) give pause, while our rating of 119 sits above his official 114 but only ranks him tenth of 16.
Form last 614-546
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR119RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pulled up last time out and absent 89 days, Moon Mission is hard to fancy, with a fifth two starts back doing little to lift him and his yard just 1/29 lately. Against that, he won three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, though our rating of 112 ranks him 13th of 16.
Form last 630-15P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR112RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unplaced last time out after a win two starts back, Take The Free has been in and out lately, and carrying 147 lb off 113 is a big ask. He has run over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back shows some ability, but our figures rank him 12th of 16.
Form last 68-6210
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR114RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Boo Radley won last time out, but that came after being brought down two starts back and a ninth three starts back, so the form is patchy, and a 40-day break plus 145 lb under a 109 mark makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 112 still ranks him only 14th of 16.
Form last 605-9B1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR112RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
The Mediator showed up well three starts back with a win, but he's since been unplaced and then eighth last time out, and he's back quickly after just 10 days. He has run on today's going and our rating of 122 ranks him eighth of 16, with 145 lb to carry.
Form last 6210/8-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR122RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Harpy Eagle arrives in good heart, a second last time out, another second two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Still, our figures rank him last of 16, and 143 lb is a big burden to carry.
Form last 6-66122
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR108RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wonderful Everyday is winless in her last five, though she arrives with a third last time out and another third two starts back after 24 days off. Ranked 15 of 16 on our figures and carrying 143 lb, she's hard to fancy, though she has run on today's going before.
Form last 66-5533
★AI Rating★★★★☆
112SR111RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Harpy Eagle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2R P CodyMichael Kenneally(5)
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Wonderful Everyday
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · W. P. Mullins✓ Value Signal
Park Of Kings
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Paul Nolan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Elusive Ogie (SR:114, 7/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field at a very manageable 10-13, giving it a significant weight advantage over the top-rated runners. The market has moved sharply in its favour — Mkt:in32% is the strongest steam in the race — and Jack Kennedy (23% career strike rate, 1,242 runners) is a high-calibre booking that strongly signals stable confidence. GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on good ground, but the MarkMv:+5 rise is modest and a 5-year-old with a form line showing a recent '8' has upside unexploited at this trip. The price of 7/1 implies roughly 12% true probability; the SR edge, the weight advantage, Kennedy's booking and the significant market move combine to push the real chance meaningfully higher.
Each-way alternative: Harpy Eagle.
Main danger: Wonderful Everyday — Wonderful Everyday (SR:112, 11/4) is the clear market favourite with a Mullins/King booking, course form (W1P1) and a 15% market move in, and while GoingFit:? and DistFit:? leave questions, Mullins' 26% strike rate means the yard's confidence alone makes this the biggest threat to Elusive Ogie.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form figure of '8' most recently (finished 8th last time out, 18 days ago) — horse is not arriving off a confidence-boosting run and failed to threaten in that race.
Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy has only an 8% strike rate from 422 runners — a weak handler stat that undermines the Kennedy booking as a stable-confidence signal; top jockeys often ride for conne…
GoingFit:~ flags a going concern on good ground today; with no confirmed good-ground wins evident in the form string, this surface is unproven for the horse at this track.
Boo Radley (13/2, Mullins 26% SR) and Wonderful Everyday (11/4, Mullins 26% SR) both sit shorter in the market and carry the powerhouse Mullins yard's firepower, with Harpy Eagle (15/2) on a strong 6…
ShortlistElusive Ogie, Wonderful Everyday, Harpy Eagle, Take The Free