Punchestown 14:45 RESULTED
14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle

Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m0f95y

Official Result

Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Dotski (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · Henry de Bromhead
    1/1F
  2. Second Astelia (IRE)
    11/4
  3. 4/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Nottingham

13:19–17:22 · 8 races

Wetherby

13:25–16:52 · 7 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

Ffos Las

13:45–17:13 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Amanha silks
Amanha
Age 8 · 11-12
0/14-0
120
88
124
8
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 25/1 28/1
Amanha has a win in her last four starts, a victory three starts back, followed by a fourth two runs ago, and she returns fresh after 25 days having run over today's trip and going. Our rating has her top of five, though an unplaced run last time out is the one blot.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
The Dotski silks
The Dotski FAV
Age 5 · 11-2
54-1
110
113
109
5
11-2
★★★★☆
—
6/4 6/5 5/4
The Dotski won last time out, with a fourth and a fifth before that, and she has run over today's trip and going, but a 33-day break and 156 lb on an official mark of 110 make her hard to fancy. Our figures rank her last of five.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Cleopatra's Needle silks
Cleopatra's Needle
Age 8 · 11-1
/17-46
109
104
112
8
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Cleopatra's Needle won four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while her 112 rating ranks third of five and sits above her official mark of 109. The main risk is a quick turnaround, back after just four days off a sixth last time out, and she carries 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Fraher Field silks
Fraher Field
Age 6 · 11-1
-02621
109
116
112
6
11-1
★★★★☆
—
7/2 32/17 10/3
Fraher Field arrives a last-time-out winner, with a second two starts back, and a fresh 24-day gap suits. She has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 112 ranks her second of five, but 155 lb is the main risk.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Astelia silks
Astelia
Age 7 · 10-12
222P21
106
113
110
7
10-12
★★★★☆
—
5/2 3/1 5/2
Astelia won last time out and was second two starts back, so she arrives fresh from a 10-day break with a run over today's trip and going behind her. Carrying 152 lb is the main risk, and she was pulled up three starts back.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Amanha 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
2 The Dotski 6/4 open 2.63 5/4 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 6/4 Bet365
3 Cleopatra's Needle 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 William Hill
4 Fraher Field 7/2 open 3.25 10/3 open 2.88 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
5 Astelia 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

The Dotski

Live signal

The Dotski owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Henry de Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fraher Field

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · John E & Thomas Kiely
✓ Value Signal

Amanha

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Dermot A McLoughlin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. The Dotski
66.1 6/4
2 4. Fraher Field
62.5 7/2
3 3. Cleopatra's Needle
61.3 5/1
4 5. Astelia
59.8 5/2
5 1. Amanha
42.5 33/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Astelia
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-2
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 113 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 7 · 10-12
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 113 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 6 · 11-1
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 116 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 8 · 11-1
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Astelia
Confidence: Speculative

Astelia (SR:113, 3/1, 10-12) is the standout on ground and distance fitness: GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ confirm she handles good ground at this trip, while her form string 222P21 shows a recent win followed by a placed effort just 10 days ago — peak form. She carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-12, a meaningful 4lb pull on the favourite The Dotski and 6lb on Fraher Field. The market has backed her in 7% from opening, the only steamer in this race, confirming stable confidence despite a quick turnaround. MarkMv:+4 is a modest rise and Peter Fahey's 11% strike rate with Sam Ewing's 12% booking is a solid connections pairing. Each-way alternative: Fraher Field. Main danger: The Dotski — The Dotski (SR:113, 11/8) is the top-rated runner on SR alongside Astelia, trained by the high-volume Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2377 runners) with a recent winning form line of 54-1, and at 5 years of age represents the most progressive animal in the field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Only 10 days since last run is an unusually quick turnaround for a 7yo mare — fatigue and residual soreness from that effort could blunt her peak-form advantage.
  • SR:113 matches The Dotski exactly, yet Astelia is conceding a 6lb weight pull to Fraher Field (SR:116, the highest-rated horse in the field) who ran -02621 and is overdue a win.
  • The Dotski (SR:113, 11/8) is trained by Henry de Bromhead at a 16% strike rate with Darragh O'Keeffe at 13% — far superior connections pairing to Fahey/Ewing, and de Bromhead's runner has drifted onl…
  • Form string 222P21 includes a Pull-Up just three runs ago, raising a question about her soundness or stamina under pressure at this trip — the P is unexplained and could recur on quick reappearance.
Shortlist Astelia, The Dotski, Fraher Field
Each-way: Fraher Field Danger: The Dotski

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m0f95y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Punchestown Track and setting