Punchestown 13:35 RESULTED
14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle · 2m2f190y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lunar Stride (IRE) Kevin Sexton · Gavin Cromwell
    5/2
  2. 16/1
  3. 5/4F
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Nottingham

13:19–17:22 · 8 races

Wetherby

13:25–16:52 · 7 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

Ffos Las

13:45–17:13 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dublinia silks
Dublinia
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
147
—
3
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 11/2 8/1
Dublinia is an unraced gelding with no form to go on, so he is wholly unexposed and open to improvement. He carries 154 lb on debut, and there's little to lean on beyond that.
AI verdict

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Green Heritage silks
Green Heritage FAV
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
153
—
3
11-0
★★★★☆
—
15/8 2/1 7/4
Green Heritage is an unexposed debutant with no recorded form to go on, so he's open to any amount of improvement. He carries 154 lb on his first outing, which makes this a case of watching how he shapes.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Hansel The Purse silks
Hansel The Purse
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
148
—
3
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 6/1 15/2
Unraced and unexposed, Hansel The Purse arrives with no recorded form to judge him on, so any improvement is there to be found. The gelding carries 154 lb, and his debut will tell us plenty.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Juarileo silks
Juarileo
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
133
—
3
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 20/1 16/1
Juarileo is unexposed with no recorded form to go on, so this gelding's debut is a step into the unknown and there should be scope for improvement. He carries 154 lb, and he is yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 133 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Lunar Stride silks
Lunar Stride
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
154
—
3
11-0
★★★★☆
—
15/8 2/1 7/4
Lunar Stride is unraced and unexposed, so the debut is a blank page, and the gelding could well have improvement to come. He carries 154 lb, but with no form to go on there's little else to judge him on yet.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Rich Treasure silks
Rich Treasure
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
149
—
3
11-0
★★★★☆
—
5/1 13/2 9/2
Rich Treasure is totally unexposed, with no recorded form to go on, so this debut is a pure step into the unknown. He carries 154 lb and, as a gelding with plenty of scope for improvement, he may hold more than his raw profile suggests.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Way Horn silks
Way Horn
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
145
—
3
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 15/2 11/1
Way Horn is an unexposed debutant with no recorded form to lean on, so he's open to improvement on first start. He carries 154 lb, and what he shows first time out will tell us plenty.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dublinia 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365
2 Green Heritage 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
3 Hansel The Purse 15/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 9/1 Paddy Power
4 Juarileo 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Lunar Stride 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
6 Rich Treasure 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365
7 Way Horn 12/1 12/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Green Heritage

High conviction

Green Heritage owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Stuart Crawford J J Slevin
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lunar Stride

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Gavin Cromwell
✓ Value Signal

Juarileo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Edward F Power
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Green Heritage
75.2 15/8
2 5. Lunar Stride
73.4 15/8
3 6. Rich Treasure
68.1 5/1
4 1. Dublinia
67.1 8/1
5 3. Hansel The Purse
67.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lunar Stride
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 11-0
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 3 · 11-0
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 3 · 11-0
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 3 · 11-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾 —

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 11-0
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾 —

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 11-0
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾 —

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 11-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾 —

SR 133 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lunar Stride
Confidence: Speculative

Lunar Stride (SR 154, 2/1) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and is sent off favourite by a meaningful margin. With all runners on a blank form slate (maiden hurdles), SR becomes the primary differentiator, and at 154 Lunar Stride has a clear edge over Green Heritage (153), Rich Treasure (149), and Hansel The Purse (148). Gavin Cromwell's yard (11% strike rate, 3224 career runners) is the most substantial training operation represented here, giving confidence that this horse is ready to run to its rating. Green Heritage (SR 153, 9/4) is the chief market rival but has drifted 11% — more than any other runner — which undermines its claim as the second-best on ratings; a tongue-tie first time on debut over hurdles adds uncertainty rather than confidence. Lunar Stride's price implies roughly 31% raw chance, adjusted to 28% after overround and with no market drift to worry about. Each-way alternative: Rich Treasure. Main danger: Green Heritage — Green Heritage (SR 153, 9/4) holds the second-highest rating in the field and is ridden by J J Slevin (13% career strike rate, 1134 runners) — the strongest jockey booking on the card — and if the tongue-tie has a sharpening effect on debut over hurdles, it could outrun its drifting price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Kevin Sexton (9% strike rate, 398 rides) is the weakest jockey booking among the market principals — J J Slevin (13%, 1134) on Green Heritage is a meaningful upgrade in the saddle.
  • Lunar Stride's SR edge over Green Heritage is just 1 point (154 vs 153) — a razor-thin margin that offers no practical differentiation in a maiden hurdle where flat-to-hurdles transitions are inheren…
  • Gavin Cromwell's yard strike rate of 11% is solid but not elite; at 2/1 the horse is priced as though the trainer edge is substantial, yet Stuart Crawford also operates at 11% with a sharper, more se…
  • All runners carry blank hurdles form, meaning SR is derived from flat/point-to-point assessments — a 3yo maiden hurdling debut at Punchestown in October can expose weaknesses in horses whose bumper/f…
Shortlist Lunar Stride, Green Heritage, Rich Treasure, Hansel The Purse
Each-way: Rich Treasure Danger: Green Heritage

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m2f190y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Punchestown Track and setting