Over The Rainbow Alison Stretton Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m3f154y
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 91 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 My Chiquita | 6/1 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Thank You Blue | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Virtual Rock | 13/8 | 6/4 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Evaluation | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Rebel Tribesman | 7/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Virtual Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 91 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
My Chiquita (SR 122, 5/1, 11-11) is the standout despite top weight. The key signal here is the market: a 29% inward move from 5/1 opening price in a five-runner field is substantial and specific — money knows something. She drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) which immediately makes her mark more workable, and her DistFit:+ confirms she handles this 2m3f+ trip better than most rivals, three of whom are unproven at the distance (DistFit:?). Course:W1P1 at Wetherby adds course specialist credentials that Virtual Rock and Rebel Tribesman cannot match. The favourite Rebel Tribesman (SR 128, 7/4) is the highest-rated horse but faces genuine concerns: only four days since last run, unproven at this trip (DistFit:?) and on this going (GoingFit:?), and running off a mark 4lb higher than at last win — on good to firm ground in a hurdle, quick turnarounds and ground uncertainty compound each other. My Chiquita's combination of class drop, course form, proven distance credentials and strong market support outweighs a 9lb weight disadvantage against the favourite. Each-way alternative: Rebel Tribesman. Main danger: Rebel Tribesman — Rebel Tribesman has the highest SR in the field (128), a strong trainer in Jamie Snowden (25% strike rate), a market nudge inward (Mkt:in8%), and his recent 2 last time out suggests peak form — if the quick turnaround and unproven trip/going concerns prove unfounded, he wins.