Bossy Bird has been consistent, finishing fifth last time out, with a second four starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 99 ranks her second of 18. The main risk is that she is yet to win in her last five starts and carries 168 lb off a mark of 100.
Form last 6-42585
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR99RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Diamond Tipp has run over today's trip and going and is fresh from a run just eight days ago, with a second five starts back the best of her recent efforts. Our top-rated runner at 102 against an official 97, she is the one to beat despite being winless in her last six, though 165 lb is a stiff burden.
Form last 6P27066
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR102RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kazbek has run over today's trip and on this going, and our figures rank him third of 18 at 96 against an official 93, so there is a case from a competitive weight of 161 lb after 20 days off. The risk is obvious: he is winless in his last five, with a ninth last time out and three pull-ups.
Form last 6P4P-P9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR96RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Quick back-to-action sort, Le Roi Arthur ran just 11 days ago and has experience on today's going, while our rating of 95 ranks him fourth of 18 and sits above his official 92. The risk is a winless recent run, with unplaced efforts last time out and two starts back, plus 160 lb to carry.
Form last 639-F00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR95RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Granlahan won last time out and has been second in four of the five runs before that, so the form is sound, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Only three days since that win and 159 lb on his back temper the enthusiasm, though our rating of 91 ranks him sixth of 18.
Form last 6242221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR91RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fresh from a second last time out just 12 days ago, Poetic Focus has run over today's trip and going, but she is yet to win in her last six starts and carries 158 lb off an official mark of 90, which leaves her a midfield type on our rating.
Form last 6750202
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR89RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Maxicourt has been consistent without a win, with a third two starts back and another third five starts back, but he was eighth last time out and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 157 lb off an official mark of 89 is a stiff task, though our rating of 92 ranks him fifth of 18.
Form last 6P37538
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mellem is hard to fancy after 364 days off, unplaced last time out and winless in his last four, with a fourth two starts back and a second four starts back the best of it. He has run over today's trip and going and the 88 mark is workable, but 156 lb is a big ask, and our rating has him eleventh of 18.
Form last 6/2740-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR88RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Without a win in her last five starts and unplaced last time out, Angelsworknovrtime is back after 348 days off, though she has run over today's trip and going and a second five starts back shows ability. Carrying 155 lb off 87, she looks midfield at best, and our rating of 91 doesn't shift that.
Form last 626450-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR91RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last five and unplaced last time out, Portetta has a sixth three starts back as her best recent effort, though she's fresh from a run 12 days ago and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 155 lb off 87 is a stiff ask, though our rating of 89 offers some support.
Form last 6P-0690
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR89RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Piper Street is winless in his last four, unplaced in his last three and a sixth four starts back, and with the yard just 1/33 in the last 14 days he is hard to fancy at 153 lb off 85. He is back quickly after 11 days and has run on today's going, but our figures rank him 14th of 18.
Form last 66000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR77RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Won last time out, but that was 70 days ago and his other recent finishes read a seventh, a second, an eighth and a ninth, so consistency is a worry. Carrying 150 lb, ranked 12 of 18 on our figures, he has run over today's trip and going, which is about the best that can be said.
Form last 6982-71
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lightly raced and yet to win in his last three, Plus Or Minus was unplaced last time out and two starts back, with a fifth three starts back, and returns after just 11 days. Carrying 148 lb off an official mark of 82, he looks unexposed with scope for improvement.
Form last 6500
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Talas Kera comes into this off a second last time out, just 11 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but she is yet to win in her last six starts and carries a hefty 148 lb off an official mark of 80. Our rating of 88 hints at a bit more in hand.
Form last 6754042
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR88RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bethpage Theatre is yet to win in her last five starts and was unplaced last time, 19 days ago, with a sixth three starts back her best recent finish. Carrying 147 lb off 79, she looks unexposed and could have more to offer.
Form last 6F96P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last six, Cinnabar Moth was unplaced last time out and has finished no better than a fourth two starts back, so she is hard to fancy at 145 lb. She has run over today's trip and going before, and 24 days since her last run is fine, but our rating ranks her 13th of 18.
Form last 6556940
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR86RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six, Hob's Angel unseated last time out just four days ago, and a fourth and a sixth before that give little to fancy at 144 lb. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank her 15th of 18.
Form last 625364U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR77RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Lightly raced and unexposed, Westin Pimpernel has been pulled up last time out and is yet to win in her last five starts, so any improvement is unproven. She returns after 135 days off carrying 143 lb off an official mark of 77.
Form last 60P00-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Another Challenge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Oliver McKiernanPhillip Enright
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Granlahan
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/8 · Adrian McGuinness✓ Value Signal
Portetta
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · John Joseph Hanlon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Granlahan (SR:95, 2/1) is the standout SR in this field by a clear margin — 9 points above the next-best Another Challenge (SR:86) — and carries only 11-5, a significant weight advantage over top-weight Bossy Bird (12-0). The form string 242221 shows consistent, progressive placings culminating in a recent win just 3 days ago, indicating peak fitness. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, and running off the same mark as last win (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that success. The 7% drift is a mild concern worth noting, but no specific flaw in the data undermines the case: the SR lead, weight profile, going suitability, and live form all converge.
Each-way alternative: Another Challenge.
Main danger: Another Challenge — Another Challenge (SR:86, 9/2) has been backed 13% and runs off a mark 3lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-3), carries only 10-10 giving it a meaningful weight edge on Granlahan, and a last-time-out win (form 982-71) suggests improving form — the biggest threat if the going suits.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Granlahan ran just 3 days ago — an exceptionally quick turnaround for a jumps horse that won last time; residual fatigue could blunt peak performance today.
Market has drifted 7% despite the strong SR lead and positive form; in a field where Another Challenge (SR:86) is shortening 13%, the money is moving the wrong way on the selection.
At age 4 competing against older, more experienced chasers/hurdlers (field largely 5-7yo), Granlahan has limited racecourse seasoning and may face a stiffer test stepping back out so rapidly.
No headgear flag (HG field blank) while several rivals use tack to sharpen focus; form digit '2' appears twice in the string suggesting a habit of being beaten at the finish that another rival runnin…
ShortlistGranlahan, Another Challenge, Diamond Tipp
Each-way: Another ChallengeDanger: Another Challenge