Donnie Devito arrives with a solid profile: a second and two thirds in his last five starts, plus experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 123 ranks him third of 18. The main risk is a 50-day absence and a 166 lb burden after finishing fifth last time out.
Form last 623-375
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR123RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a second last time out just 15 days ago, Milan Forth has also run over today's trip and going before, and he's a solid pick on that profile, though he's yet to win in his last six and shoulders 165 lb here.
Form last 6243782
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR127RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-up after a seventh last time out, Slane Hill has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 127 tops the field of 18, with a 119 official mark to work from. The risk is a winless run in recent starts and 165 lb to carry.
Form last 63450-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
89SR127RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fourth last time out just 11 days ago keeps Arctic Flame fit, and she has run on today's going before, but a pulled up two starts back and a sixth three starts back temper things. Carrying 161 lb off 115, she looks a solid midfield sort, with our rating of 117 just above her mark.
Form last 6-216P4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR117RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Killowen House was seventh last time out but has a second two starts back and a third four starts back to lean on, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last six, he carries 158 lb off a mark of 112, which looks a stiff task.
Form last 6373427
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR113RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Golden Temple has been below his best lately, an eighth last time out and pulled up two starts back, though he did win four starts back and was second three starts back. He has run on today's going and is back after 18 days, but a cold yard (1/31) and 156 lb temper the case.
Form last 66412P8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR111RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Howdoyalikeherhome has run over today's trip and on this going, and back-to-back fourths two and three starts back show some ability. However, he was pulled up last time out, is yet to win in his last six, and the yard is out of form at 1/32. Our rating of 116 ranks him sixth of 18.
Form last 68F044P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR116RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Getaway Charlie is fit after just 11 days and a winner two starts back, having also run over today's trip and on this going, while our rating of 118 puts him fourth of 18. The risk is his 153 lb burden, with last time's fifth showing he is not firing every time.
Form last 60-4015
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR118RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Labondance is winless in her last five, with a fourth last time out and another fourth two starts back, yet a fall three starts ago and an eighth five back show the inconsistency. She has run on today's going and is fresh enough after 23 days, but 151 lb off 105 is a big ask, and our rating of 96 ranks her last of 18.
Form last 683F-44
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR96RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Latopix was a fourth last time out after being pulled up two starts back, and she showed more with seconds three and four starts back, though she's yet to win in her last five. She has run on today's going and returns after 24 days, but 150 lb leaves her plenty to do, with our rating of 106 ranking her 11th of 18.
Form last 68-22P4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR106RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, Accustomed is hard to fancy after a seventh last time out, and a pulled up and an unplaced run sit in his last five. He did win two starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and 148 lb off an official 102 is no gift.
Form last 6P0-517
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR103RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lord Ffrench is winless in his last five, with a seventh last time out and a fourth two starts back the best of his recent efforts, though he has run on today's going and returns after just 18 days. Carrying 148 lb off an official mark of 102, he looks held by the weight, though our rating of 108 puts him mid-pack.
Form last 6-86747
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR108RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winner last time out, he has run over today's trip and on this going, but that came after a pulled up and a ninth in the two runs before it, and 147 lb is a hefty burden off 40 days away. Our rating of 105 ranks him 12th of 18.
Form last 6689P-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR105RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Smackwater Jack won last time out and has twice scored in his last six starts, but two ninth-place finishes before that make him hard to trust, and our rating ranks him only 15th of 18. Back quickly after eight days, he has run over today's trip and going, and 145 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6132991
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR101RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, Pilgrims Walk has been slipping back since finishing second three starts ago, with a third and then a fourth latest, and he has run over today's trip and going, but a 32-day break, 142 lb and a yard managing just 1/33 lately make him hard to fancy, with our figures ranking him 14th of 18.
Form last 680-234
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Free Flow is winless in his last five, finishing eighth last time out and unplaced two starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He is back quickly after 11 days, has run on today's going before and our rating of 100 ranks him 16th of 18 under 140 lb.
Form last 60-6408
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR100RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Live To Laugh bounced back to form with a third last time out, and he has won twice in his last five starts, though a pulled up two starts back is a blot. He has run over today's trip and going, but 140 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6311P-3
★AI Rating★★★★☆
109SR107RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Space Warrior has finished sixth, ninth, ninth, third and sixth in his last five starts, so he is yet to win in that spell and has only the one top-three finish to lean on. He has run on today's going and is fit after 11 days off, but 140 lb is a big ask and our figures rank him 17th of 18.
Form last 663-996
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR99RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Live To Laugh owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Peter FaheyEthan O'Sullivan(7)
82%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Warmer Days Ahead
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Oliver McKiernan✓ Value Signal
Free Flow
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Edward F Power◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Live To Laugh (SR 109, 7/2) is the standout ability pick in this field — the highest SR by a clear 8 points over the next best — and carries the joint-lowest weight at 10-0, a significant advantage in a competitive 18-runner handicap hurdle. The market has backed this up emphatically with a 39% inward move, the strongest steam in the field. DistFit:+ confirms this 2m7f trip is proven territory, and the recent form of 311P-3 shows a horse that was winning readily before a pulled-up run (likely excused) and has returned with a placed effort. A mark 10lb below the last win (MarkMv:-10) is the single most favourable handicap position in the race. The one concern is GoingFit:? on this good ground, but the ability edge, weight, and money combine to make the case compelling.
Each-way alternative: Accustomed.
Main danger: Accustomed — Accustomed (SR 99, 15/2) has steamed 23% in the market, carries a light 10-8, is proven on this going (GoingFit:+) and has placed twice at Punchestown (Course:W0P2), making it the most credible in-form threat to the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:? is a genuine red flag — no confirmed evidence this horse handles good ground, and Punchestown's autumn surface can be considerably faster than the soft/heavy conditions where the SR of 109…
Jockey concern: Ethan O'Sullivan (7lb claimer, 6% strike rate from 94 rides) is a significant negative in an 18-runner competitive handicap hurdle — the claim saves weight but the inexperience at thi…
The 'P' in the form (311P-3) remains unexplained — a pulled-up run in a horse's most recent full season outing before a layoff, then returning only placed, means fitness/soundness questions linger de…
Course record is W0P1 at Punchestown — never won here despite a placing, and at 7/2 in an 18-runner handicap the place-only Punchestown record is a concern for a horse priced as if it should win comf…
ShortlistLive To Laugh, Accustomed, Warmer Days Ahead, Smackwater Jack