Southwell 14:35 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 1m7f182y

Official Result

Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Four Springs (IRE) Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling
    11/8F
  2. 9/2
  3. 6/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Leicester

13:24–17:17 · 8 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

Hereford

13:45–16:38 · 6 races

Southwell

14:00–17:23 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Four Springs silks
Four Springs FAV
Age 5 · 12-0
1132P-
118
120
122
5
12-0
★★★★☆
—
13/8 6/5 31/19
Four Springs counts two wins in his last five starts, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 220-day absence and a pulled-up effort last time out, with 168 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 120 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.

2
Cheesy Icon silks
Cheesy Icon
Age 6 · 11-12
/4523-
116
111
117
6
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 13/2 6/1
Cheesy Icon has been in the frame in his last two, third last time out and a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 290-day absence is the one reservation, though our rating of 117, third of six, gives him a tentative chance off 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Marche d'Aligre silks
Marche d'Aligre
Age 5 · 11-12
22938-
116
107
122
5
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 7/2 5/1
Without a win in his last five, Marche d'Aligre still shows a pair of seconds and a third in that spell, has run over today's trip and going, and our top-ranked runner of six on 122 against an official 116 is a leading danger. The risk is a 192-day absence and 166 lb on his back.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Jamada silks
Jamada
Age 6 · 11-4
5231-3
108
117
112
6
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 10/3 9/4
Jamada's recent form reads well, with a third last time out, a winner two starts back and a third three starts back, but 151 days off is a long absence and he carries 158 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him fifth of six.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Ask A Sainte silks
Ask A Sainte
Age 6 · 11-1
412P47
105
101
106
6
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 14/1 13/2
Ask A Sainte has been beaten in his last two, a seventh last time out and a fourth two starts back, with a pulled up before that, so he is hard to fancy at the bottom of our ranking. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, is back quickly after nine days, and won five starts back.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Lady Kara silks
Lady Kara
Age 5 · 11-1
1U4422
105
117
113
5
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/1 3/1
Lady Kara arrives in good heart, second last time out and second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Back out just six days later, the main risk is whether she's fresh enough off 155 lb, though our rating of 112 backs her as a leading threat.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Four Springs 13/8 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.20 7/4 Coral
2 Cheesy Icon 13/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
3 Marche d'Aligre 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 William Hill
4 Jamada 5/2 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 4.33 5/2 Bet365
5 Ask A Sainte 15/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 21.00 7/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 17.00 7/1 open 19.00 15/2 Bet365
6 Lady Kara 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 7.00 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Four Springs

Live signal

Four Springs owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Ben Pauling Kielan Woods
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Kara

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Dr Richard Newland
✓ Value Signal

Ask A Sainte

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

15/2 · Olly Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Four Springs
68.6 13/8
2 6. Lady Kara
64.5 4/1
3 4. Jamada
60.8 5/2
4 3. Marche d'Aligre
60.3 5/1
5 2. Cheesy Icon
57.4 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lady Kara
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 12-0
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾 —

SR 120 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.

4
Age 6 · 11-4
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 11-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-12
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 11-1
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Kara
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Kara (SR:117, 7/2) matches Jamada on SR but carries 11-1 versus Jamada's 11-4, a 3lb weight advantage that matters on good ground over this trip. She is proven at the distance and on this going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), runs off the same mark as her last win (MarkMv:=), and the market has steamed in 35% — strong public confidence for a horse who ran just 6 days ago in good order. The tongue-tie (HG:t) signals connections are pressing for a performance, and trainer Dr Richard Newland (19% strike rate, 177 runners) is a reliable small-yard handler. Running same class (ClassMv:=) removes any question of a step up in company. Jamada is the more obvious yard pick from the Olly Murphy yard but Lady Kara's combination of weight, going proof, and market move gives her a specific edge on all the key signals today. Each-way alternative: Jamada. Main danger: Jamada — Jamada (SR:117, 4/1) is the Olly Murphy yard's flagged #1 runner, ridden by Sean Bowen (24% career strike rate), is proven at the trip and on the going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), and has been steadily backed in 7% — all the hallmarks of a yard operating with intent.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Four Springs (SR:120, 15/8) holds a 3-point SR superiority over Lady Kara and, despite drifting 23%, remains the form pick on ability — Lady Kara has not beaten a horse of this calibre in recent star…
  • Lady Kara's last six runs read 1U4422 — her sole win sits amid consecutive placings without a victory, suggesting she is finding a ceiling at this level rather than progressing.
  • Running just 6 days after her last outing is a significant quick turnaround; the primary analyst frames this as 'good order' but fatigue risk for a 5yo mare on a tight schedule is a concrete concern.
  • Ask A Sainte (same Olly Murphy yard, Days:9, Mkt:in48%) has steamed in 48% — a sharper market move than Lady Kara's 35% — indicating the market's hottest money today is NOT on Lady Kara.
Shortlist Lady Kara, Jamada, Four Springs
Each-way: Jamada Danger: Jamada

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m7f182y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Southwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade