Ranked second of 18 on our figures, Rascal Recknell is a leading threat: he is back quickly after 10 days, has run over today's trip and bumped into a second five starts back, with 75 against an official 70 suggesting room to improve. The risk is two eighths in his last two outings from draw 13.
Form last 62-0088
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Fenlander was third last time out and returns just seven days later, having run over today's trip and going before, though he's been unplaced or beaten in three of the runs since a win six starts back. Carrying 138 lb from stall 2, our rating of 74 sits above his official 70.
Form last 6135603
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last six, Ziggy's Condor has still been second and third in that spell, and he returns 25 days after his latest run with experience of today's trip and going; our rating of 74 sits above his official 70. The risk is a sixth-placed run and an unplaced effort last time out, carrying 138 lb from stall 16.
Form last 60U3260
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
HK Fourteen is winless in his last six, though a fifth last time out, 14 days ago, follows a fourth three starts back, his best finish in that spell, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 137 lb from stall 6, he sits mid-pack on our rating of 70, ranked eighth of 18.
Form last 6068465
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR70RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Tiriac steps up from a fourth last time out just 12 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last six starts, finishing fifth or sixth in four of them. Our rating of 72 sits above his official 66, though 134 lb from stall 17 is no small ask.
Form last 6056564
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR72RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sargent Dennis was a second last time out just 11 days ago, but that came after an unplaced run, a fourth, an eighth and a seventh, with his only win six starts back. Carrying 134 lb from stall 12, he has run over today's trip, though our rating of 64 ranks him 16th of 18.
Form last 6178402
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR65RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
That's Random won last time out, but he's been off for 121 days, and his previous finishes of fifth, eighth and sixth make that win look out of kilter. Our rating has him 17th of 18 against an official 67, and while he has run over today's trip, carrying 134 lb from stall one is a tough ask.
Form last 66-851
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR65RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fourth last time out and a second six starts back show some ability, but Try Storm Cat is winless in his last six and returns after 123 days off; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 71 sits above his official 67, though 134 lb from stall seven is no gift.
Form last 6260804
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR71RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Trust Amy is yet to win in her last six starts, but she has a third four starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, while our 78 ranks her top of 18 against an official 67. A 35-day break and a sixth last time out leave her fresh, though 134 lb from stall 18 is a lot to carry.
Form last 6883976
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR78RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Spirit of Jenny was a winner four starts back and a second five starts back, but she has dropped to an eighth and then a fifth since, and a 60-day break raises fitness questions. She has run over today's trip and carries 134 lb from stall four, while our rating of 70 leaves her mid-pack.
Form last 6-21285
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bay Breeze arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out and again two starts back, fresh from a run 15 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 68 only ranks him 12th of 18, though, and 134 lb from stall 3 gives him plenty to carry.
Form last 6446311
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR69RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Irish Nectar arrives fit after 26 days, a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 74 sits well clear of his official 66, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
Form last 6049434
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR74RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dashing Dick is winless in his last six and was beaten into fifth, fourth, sixth, fifth and sixth before a second last time out, so he is hard to fancy at 13th of 18 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after seven days.
Form last 6656452
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cairdeas ran a solid third last time out just 12 days ago and has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last six and was unplaced two starts back. Our rating of 69 sits a few pounds above his official 65, though 133 lb from stall 8 leaves little margin.
Form last 6520403
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Moonlight Melody is winless in her last six, with a fourth last time out and a third three starts back her best efforts, so she is hard to fancy. Ranked bottom of 18 on our figures, she does at least run fresh after 11 days and has experience of today's trip and going, from draw 14.
Form last 6544364
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR63RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Lamlash Bay is hard to fancy on our figures, ranked 15th of 18 after a sixth last time out and a ninth three starts back, though he did win two starts back and five starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, is back after 11 days, and carries 132 lb from stall 15.
Form last 6515916
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Milford Grange is without a win in his last six, and a ninth last time out is a blot, though he was third two starts back and fourth the run before, and he has run over today's trip and going. Fourteen days since his last run keeps him fit, but 131 lb from stall 10 and a rating of 70 for ninth of 18 mark him as midfield.
Form last 6268439
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Spacewoman has been in the frame without winning lately, a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and her only win came five starts back. She has run over today's trip and going, but 128 lb from draw 11 and a 14th-of-18 ranking on our figures make her hard to fancy.
Form last 6513534
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Irish Nectar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Michael HerringtonDylan Hogan
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
That's Random
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Harry Charlton✓ Value Signal
Trust Amy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Gary Hanmer◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fenlander (SR:70, 8/1) has steamed in 36% since opening — the strongest market move in the entire field — and combines it with Course:W2P3 at Leicester, the best course record here by some margin. A MarkMv:-2 means the handicapper has given him a small concession since his last win, and his most recent form string (135603) shows he ran third just seven days ago, confirming fitness. Trainer Olly Williams runs a small yard (4% SR is modest) but the money is emphatic, and course specialists on a 6f Leicester straight are a well-established pattern; the price at 8/1 implies only ~12% but the course form and market steam justify nudging that higher.
Each-way alternative: Dashing Dick.
Main danger: Irish Nectar — Irish Nectar (SR:77, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has steamed in 32%, but GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are real concerns on this Good to Soft 6f; if those flags are overstated and the form figures of 049434 mask a return to winning, the SR advantage alone could be enough to overpower the field.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Trainer Olly Williams has a 4% strike rate from just 100 runners — a tiny yard with very limited firepower; even with market steam, small-yard winners are notoriously hard to land in competitive 18-r…
Jockey Warren Fentiman (claim 3lb) posts only a 9% SR across 801 rides — below-average in a race where rivals carry polished pilots like Kieran Shoemark and Tom Marquand.
Form string 135603 includes a sixth last time out (the most recent completed run before the third seven days ago), suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse building to a peak.
Irish Nectar (SR:77, 3/1) is also steaming in 32% with the highest speed rating in the field and a -14 mark move — a rival with stronger raw ability whose market move arguably rivals Fenlander's case.
ShortlistFenlander, Irish Nectar, That's Random, Dashing Dick