Punchestown 14:45 RESULTED
13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle

William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle · 2m7f95y

Official Result

William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Samui (GB) Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott
    6/4F
  2. 14/1
  3. 9/4
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Buddy One silks
Buddy One
Age 9 · 11-0
P40-83
139
137
143
9
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 7/4 2/1
Buddy One comes here on the back of a third last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 143 puts him second of five. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last five starts and carries 154 lb after 36 days off.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Intense Approach silks
Intense Approach
Age 7 · 11-0
50-06P
126
108
126
7
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 6/1 11/1
Pulled up last time out and winless in his last five, Intense Approach has fallen away since a fifth five starts back, and 58 days off with a yard going 1/32 recently makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 126 matches his official figure, but that only leaves him ranked fifth of five.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Samui silks
Samui FAV
Age 7 · 11-0
07/253
130
131
130
7
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/4 FCST 31/19
Third last time out and a second three starts back, Samui is sharp off a 10-day break and has run over today's trip and going before, so he's a leading danger. The risk is that he's yet to win in his last five starts and carries 154 lb.
AI verdict

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sandor Clegane silks
Sandor Clegane
Age 9 · 11-0
6001-3
145
141
135
9
11-0
★★★★☆
—
11/2 9/2 11/2
Sandor Clegane arrives with solid recent form, third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 157-day absence, with 154 lb to carry too.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Senecia silks
Senecia
Age 9 · 11-0
P-1U5P
134
133
153
9
11-0
★★★★☆
—
4/1 4/1 7/2
Senecia is our top-rated runner, and the one to beat on the numbers: he won four starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after 10 days. The reservation is a pulled up last time out, but he still looks the pick on our rating of 153 from 154 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Buddy One 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 open 2.75 9/4 Bet365
2 Intense Approach 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Samui 7/4 open 2.88 13/8 7/4 7/4 7/4 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 Bet365
4 Sandor Clegane 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 13/2 William Hill
5 Senecia 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Samui

High conviction

Samui owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sandor Clegane

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Paul Nolan
✓ Value Signal

Intense Approach

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · John McConnell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
73 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Samui
71.8 7/4
2 4. Sandor Clegane
70.5 11/2
3 1. Buddy One
70.4 9/4
4 5. Senecia
64.7 4/1
5 2. Intense Approach
54.2 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Buddy One
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Samui FAV
Age 7 · 11-0
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 131 🐾 —

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 11-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾 —

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 9 · 11-0
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 133 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 9 · 11-0
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 141 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 7 · 11-0
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Buddy One
Confidence: Medium

Buddy One (SR 137, 15/8) is the most credible winner in a thin five-runner field. Despite a GoingFit:- flag, the MarkMv:-8 indicates the handicapper has given him an 8lb concession since his last win, meaningfully improving his chance off the same 11-0 weight as rivals. His trainer Paul John Gilligan runs a tight operation and the booking of Danny Gilligan (11% strike rate, 975 runners) signals yard confidence. The form string P40-83 shows inconsistency, but the 3 most recent form figures end in an 8 (placed) suggesting he's returning to form, and at 15/8 the market is backing his ability to go well fresh (36 days since last run) in a race where his SR 137 leads the competitive horses. Each-way alternative: Samui. Main danger: Samui — Samui (SR 131, 2/1) is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate) with Jack Kennedy aboard (23% strike rate) — elite connections that overcome the slight drift (Mkt:out7%), and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's ground.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- flag is a direct red flag — Buddy One has no confirmed suitability for today's going conditions, which is a material unknown the analyst glosses over.
  • Trainer Paul John Gilligan runs at just 5% strike rate from 363 runners — well below the field average — undermining the 'yard confidence' narrative around the jockey booking.
  • Form string P40-83 includes a 0 (pulled up or last) and a 4, with the most recent run being an '8' (placed, not won) — he hasn't actually won recently and the MarkMv:-8 concession suggests the handic…
  • Samui (SR:131, 2/1) is trained by Gordon Elliott at 18% and ridden by Jack Kennedy at 23% — both vastly superior strike rates to Buddy One's connections, and Samui is 10 days fresh off a recent run w…
Shortlist Buddy One, Samui, Sandor Clegane
Each-way: Samui Danger: Samui

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m7f95y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Punchestown Track and setting