Leicester 16:14 RESULTED
Class 5 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap Stakes

Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap Stakes · 1m53y

Official Result

Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dream Pirate (GB) Tom Marquand · T. J. Kent
    40/1
  2. 12/1
  3. 10/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Leicester

13:24–17:17 · 8 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

Hereford

13:45–16:38 · 6 races

Southwell

14:00–17:23 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Harry The Rogue silks
Harry The Rogue
Age 5 · 9-9
490009
70
43
74
5
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
Our rating of 74 ranks him second of 10, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he comes here without a win in his last six and has finished a ninth last time out after 41 days off. The main risk is that recent form, with a fourth six starts back his best finish.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Hostility silks
Hostility
Age 4 · 9-7
151393
68
71
71
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 9/2 4/1
Third last time out and only ten days ago, Hostility is fit and has won twice in his last six starts, though a ninth two starts back shows his consistency wavers. He has run over today's trip and going, but 133 lb off an official mark of 68 and our rating of 71 (fifth of ten) suggest a midfield bid from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Donna Nook silks
Donna Nook
Age 4 · 9-7
444393
68
63
79
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 13/2 12/1
Donna Nook is the one to beat: she was third last time out, and she was third again three starts back, having run over today's trip and on this going before. She is yet to win in her last six, but our rating of 79 tops the field, and a 29-day break should leave her fresh from stall 9.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cypriot Diaspora silks
Cypriot Diaspora
Age 5 · 9-7
324133
68
68
69
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 14/1
Cypriot Diaspora has been consistent, third last time out and again two starts back, with a win three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Even so, our figures rank her only eighth of ten, and 133 lb from stall 1 leaves plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Francesi silks
Francesi
Age 7 · 9-5
157374
66
71
68
7
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 6/1 13/2
Francesi has been well beaten in most of his recent runs, with a third three starts back the best of his last five and a win six starts back now a distant memory. He has run over today's trip and going, and a 24-day break is fine, but ranking ninth of ten on our figures makes him hard to fancy from stall 8.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Up The Jazz silks
Up The Jazz
Age 5 · 9-5
275250
66
68
69
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 14/1 7/1
Up The Jazz is yet to win in his last six, though a second three starts back and another six starts back show he can get involved, and he has run over today's trip and going. Unplaced last time out and carrying 131 lb from stall five, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 69 only ranking him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Dream Pirate silks
Dream Pirate
Age 6 · 9-5
54-196
66
45
67
6
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 9/1 20/1
Dream Pirate was sixth last time out and a ninth two starts back, and he returns after 146 days off, so he's hard to fancy; a winner three starts back and experience of today's trip and going are in his favour, but our figures rank him tenth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Carolus Magnus silks
Carolus Magnus
Age 8 · 9-5
261282
66
65
72
8
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 6/1 12/1
Carolus Magnus arrives in good heart after finishing second last time out, and he has made the frame four times in his last six starts, including a win four starts back; he has run over today's trip and going. The main risk is a 31-day break, while he carries 131 lb off an official rating of 66.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Oviedo silks
Oviedo FAV
Age 6 · 9-4
-99112
65
85
71
6
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 5/2 2/1
Oviedo arrives in cracking form, a second last time out after back-to-back wins, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 30-day absence while carrying 130 lb from draw 7, though our rating of 71 still ranks him fourth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Law of Design silks
Law of Design
Age 4 · 9-2
555235
63
74
69
4
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
7/2
Fifth last time out and a third two starts back give Law of Design a solid platform, and he's back quickly after 10 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Yet he's winless in his last six, and our rating of 69 only ranks him seventh of ten from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Harry The Rogue 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 Paddy Power
2 Hostility 9/2 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Donna Nook 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Paddy Power
4 Cypriot Diaspora 14/1 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Francesi 7/1 13/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365
6 Up The Jazz 17/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 19.00 17/2 Bet365
7 Dream Pirate 20/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Paddy Power
8 Carolus Magnus 12/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.50 16/1 William Hill
9 Oviedo 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.33 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 Bet365
10 Law of Design 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Oviedo

Speculative

Oviedo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Alexandra Dunn Millie Wonnacott(5)
81% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Law of Design

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Ian Williams
✓ Value Signal

Harry The Rogue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Stephen Hanlon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Oviedo
57.1 2/1
2 10. Law of Design
49.9 7/2
3 2. Hostility
49.6 9/2
4 5. Francesi
47.3 7/1
5 6. Up The Jazz
47.0 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Francesi
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Oviedo FAV
Age 6 · 9-4
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 9-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 9-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-5
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-5
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾 —

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Francesi
Confidence: Speculative

Francesi (SR:71, 11/2) has steamed in 27% since opening, the strongest market move of any contender bar Up The Jazz, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark 3lb below his last win (MarkMv:-3) — two structural advantages in a Class 5 handicap. Jockey Myla Coppins posts an 18% strike rate, matching Cieren Fallon's figure, and Tony Carroll's 13% yard rate is solid across a large sample of 3,251 runners. The distance fit is moderate (DistFit:~) but so is it for most of the field, and at 9-5 he carries a light weight that offsets any ground uncertainty (GoingFit:?). The combination of market confidence, class drop and favourable mark distinguishes him from a muddling field. Each-way alternative: Up The Jazz. Main danger: Up The Jazz — Up The Jazz (SR:68, 9/1) has backed in 46% — the most dramatic market move in the field — drops three classes (ClassMv:↓3) and holds course form (Course:W0P1), making it a legitimate threat to go very close at a big price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Francesi is 7 years old with a form string of 157374 — his last four runs show no win and a fourth, suggesting he may be past his peak and struggling to convert even when conditions suit.
  • Oviedo (SR:85, 9/4) has a significantly higher speed rating, has won twice in his last three runs, and has also been backed in 25% — a stronger market move on a horse with demonstrably better recent…
  • Jockey Myla Coppins holds only a 5lb claim and has just 137 rides recorded — a limited sample that makes the 18% strike rate statistically fragile and potentially inflated by a small, unrepresentativ…
  • The going fit is marked as unknown (?), and at Leicester in mid-October conditions can be testing; Francesi's recent form offers no clear evidence he handles soft or heavy ground if that materialises.
Shortlist Francesi, Up The Jazz, Law of Design, Oviedo
Each-way: Up The Jazz Danger: Up The Jazz

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m53y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Leicester Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade