Wolverhampton (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m5f219y

Official Result

Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zachary Hickes (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian
    10/11F
  2. 8/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Charging Thunder silks
Charging Thunder
Age 8 · 9-9
027004
80
54
95
8
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 14/1 20/1
Fourth last time out and a runner-up five starts back, Charging Thunder has run over today's trip and going and comes here fresh after 26 days off, while our 95 rating tops the field of seven; he is yet to win in his last six, but looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

2
Scarlet Moon silks
Scarlet Moon
Age 4 · 9-9
14-029
80
82
82
4
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 FCST 5/2
Scarlet Moon showed up well with a second two starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 82 ranks him fourth of seven. The risk is a ninth last time out and 45 days off, so he needs to bounce back under 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Zachary Hickes silks
Zachary Hickes FAV
Age 4 · 9-8
/64123
79
87
85
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
8/11 10/11 8/11
Zachary Hickes arrives in good heart, third last time out, a second two starts back, and a winner three starts back, and has run over today's trip after a 26-day break. Our 85 rating, third of seven, backs him as a leading danger, though 134 lb is a hefty burden off an official 79.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Son of Man silks
Son of Man
Age 5 · 9-7
309035
78
72
92
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 7/1 10/1
Fresh from a fifth last time out just 12 days ago, he has also been third twice in his last six and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 92 ranks him second of seven. The risk is that he is winless in recent starts and carries 133 lb off an official mark of 78.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Inappropriate silks
Inappropriate
Age 5 · 9-5
243218
76
73
80
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 8/1 14/1
Beaten into eighth last time out, he had won two starts back and been placed in four of his last six, so the form is solid; he has run over today's trip and on this going, and 17 days off helps. Carrying 131 lb off a mark of 76 and ranked fifth of seven by our rating holds him back.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Percy Jones silks
Percy Jones
Age 7 · 8-13
644233
70
73
76
7
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 5/1 7/1
Percy Jones is winless in his last six, though a third last time out, another third two starts back and a second three starts back show he is bang in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 125 lb and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Ottoman silks
Ottoman
Age 4 · 8-4
51551U
61
37
61
4
8-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 11/1 40/1
Ottoman unseated last time out and has finished fifth in two of his other recent runs, which makes him hard to fancy, though he won two starts back and five starts back and has run on today's going before. Our rating has him seventh of seven.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Charging Thunder 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
2 Scarlet Moon 3/1 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 5/2 3/1 Bet365
3 Zachary Hickes 8/11 open 2.50 10/11 8/11 open 2.20 8/11 open 2.20 5/6 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.20 10/11 Paddy Power
4 Son of Man 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Inappropriate 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 18/1 Bet365
6 Percy Jones 8/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 8/1 Bet365
7 Ottoman 40/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zachary Hickes

Live signal

Zachary Hickes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Roger Varian Jack Mitchell
83% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Scarlet Moon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Archie Watson
✓ Value Signal

Charging Thunder

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · James Owen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Zachary Hickes
60.8 8/11
2 2. Scarlet Moon
52.6 3/1
3 6. Percy Jones
49.5 8/1
4 4. Son of Man
43.6 11/1
5 5. Inappropriate
42.5 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zachary Hickes
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-8
8/11
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 8-13
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-5
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zachary Hickes
Confidence: Medium

Zachary Hickes (SR:87, 6/5) is the standout ability-wise in this field, holding a clear SR edge over nearest rival Scarlet Moon (SR:82) and carrying a workable 9-8. Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 1443 runners) is a high-calibre trainer for an AW handicap at this level, and the market has firmed 8% — modest but in the right direction. The form string /64123 shows a progressive horse whose last three runs are 1-2-3 in reverse chronological order, meaning a win last time out and a sequence of improving placed efforts before that. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are noted concerns — no established record at trip or going — but at 4 years old on a well-bet, well-trained horse, those unknowns are priced in at 6/5 and the SR advantage is substantial enough to absorb them. Each-way alternative: Percy Jones. Main danger: Scarlet Moon — Scarlet Moon (SR:82, 9/4) has steamed in 28% in the market with Oisin Murphy booked, holds proven GoingFit:+ on today's surface, and Course:W1P1 at Wolverhampton gives it a track record that Zachary Hickes currently lacks.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown — no established record at this Wolverhampton AW trip or Polytrack going, a concrete double unknown that rivals Scarlet Moon (Course:W1P1) and Percy Jones (Cours…
  • Scarlet Moon has firmed 28% into 9/4 with Oisin Murphy booked — a far stronger market move than Zachary Hickes's 8% drift, suggesting market intelligence favours the danger horse significantly.
  • No course record listed for Zachary Hickes, while Percy Jones has W4P6 at Wolverhampton specifically — course specialists on AW tracks are a material edge at this venue.
  • At 6/5 there is minimal margin for error; the SR edge of 5 points over Scarlet Moon is not overwhelming and the price leaves no value buffer if the unknown trip or surface proves unsuitable.
Shortlist Zachary Hickes, Scarlet Moon, Percy Jones
Each-way: Percy Jones Danger: Scarlet Moon

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m5f219y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade