Aurelune arrives on a bright note after a second last time out, with a third two starts back, though she is winless in her last six and returns after 41 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, but 133 lb from draw 10 and an eighth-ranked rating of 62 suggest a midfield bid.
Zooter has been consistent without a win, finishing fourth last time out, a third two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 67 ranks him fourth of 13, though a 36-day break and 135 lb leave him with plenty to prove.
Form last 6253434
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR67RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Palliser is winless in his last three, unplaced last time out after a fourth two starts back and a sixth three starts back, and he is hard to fancy on that evidence. He has run on today's going and is fresh from a 14-day break, but our rating ranks him 13th of 13 under 135 lb.
Form last 6640
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR40RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Myrrh has been fading in recent runs, with a seventh last time out, but she has run over today's trip and our rating of 69 ranks her second of 13, well clear of her official 60. The risk is a 96-day absence and a winless run, carrying 135 lb from stall four.
Form last 6-34687
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR69RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sailor Batt makes appeal as a gelding yet to win in his last six, but he has been third, third and a second in that spell, has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after 14 days; our rating of 69 ranks him top of 13. The risk is two disappointing sevenths in his latest outings.
Form last 6253377
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR69RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Coxy's Star showed a return to form with a second last time out, just 15 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but she is winless in her last six and was a ninth two starts back. Drawn two and carrying 133 lb, she sits ninth of 13 on our rating of 62.
Form last 6540492
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR62RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Snaafy bounced back with a third last time out just seven days ago, so he arrives fit, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last six, he's our pick on overall profile, with his 133 lb from stall 13 the one reservation.
Form last 6295983
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR64RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Thestral is yet to win in his last six, with a ninth last time out following a fifth two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 16 days. Our rating of 65 ranks him fifth of 13, but 132 lb from stall 1 is a lot to carry.
Form last 6023059
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR65RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six, Gifts Differing was unplaced last time out, though a second two starts back is the one bright spot, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 131 lb from stall 11, she is hard to fancy, with our rating of 57 ranking her eleventh of thirteen.
Form last 6566920
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR57RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Exquisite Skye is hard to fancy, unplaced in two of her last three outings and yet to win in her last five starts, with a fourth three starts back her best finish. She has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 13 days, but our rating has her tenth of 13.
Form last 60-7400
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Meritocratic is winless in his last six, though a third five starts back and a run of fifths show he's rarely out of the pack, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Sixth last time out and 22 days off leave him needing a step up from 129 lb in stall five.
Form last 6535576
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Florizelle is hard to fancy, winless in her last five and finishing seventh last time out, with an eighth two starts back and another eighth three starts back. She has run over today's trip and going and returns after 27 days, but our figures rank her 12th of 13.
Form last 656887
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
34SR53RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Carwyn is a leading danger on our figures, ranked third of thirteen with a rating of 68 and an official mark of 53, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last six, though, with nothing better than a seventh two starts back, so he must show far more than recent form suggests.
Form last 6899070
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
37SR68RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Coxy's Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4William Muir & Chris GrassickBilly Loughnane
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sailor Batt
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · David & Nicola Barron✓ Value Signal
Thestral
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Tony Carroll◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Meritocratic (SR:62, 6/1) carries only 9-3 — the joint-lightest competitive weight in the field — and has been backed in dramatically from its opening price (Mkt:in53%), the strongest market move in the race by a wide margin. James Owen's yard runs at 19% (the best trainer strike rate in the field) and Clifford Lee at 17%, a strong connections combination. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 6 event is a positive, and at 9-3 off an SR of 62 it has a meaningful weight advantage over Coxy's Star (SR:66, 9-7) and Snaafy (SR:64, 9-7). The GoingFit:- is a concern on this Good surface but the money flooding in strongly suggests connections are satisfied conditions suit today.
Each-way alternative: Snaafy.
Main danger: Coxy's Star — Coxy's Star (SR:66, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-7, has been backed in 9% and Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate) is a strong booking — if it can overcome the GoingFit:- concern it is the most likely winner.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
SR:62 is third-lowest among market principals — Coxy's Star (SR:66) and Snaafy (SR:64) both post higher ability ratings and are drawn on fresh, sharper form cycles than Meritocratic's 535576 sequence.
GoingFit:- on this AW surface is a genuine red flag: connections have no evidence on record that this horse handles Wolverhampton's Tapeta, and the market move, however dramatic, cannot substitute fo…
Coxy's Star holds an 11/4 market position with course form (W0P1), the race's strongest jockey (Loughnane 18%), and was also backed in (9%) — Meritocratic at 6/1 is not the dominant market mover it a…
The '6' in Meritocratic's most recent run (last placing 6th, 22 days ago) suggests it is yet to convert on its current form cycle, and a class drop to Class 6 is only a ↓1 move — it is not dramatical…