Southwell 16:52 RESULTED
Class 5 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m4f88y

Official Result

Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Anxious Moments (IRE) Harry Cobden · Charlie Longsdon
    18/1
  2. 16/1
  3. 4/6F
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Pippin's Legend silks
Pippin's Legend
Age 4 · 11-12
43P4-
94
59
87
4
11-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/1 10/1
Fourth last time out and a third three starts back give Pippin's Legend a solid recent profile, and he has run on today's going before, carrying 166 lb off a mark of 94. The main risk is a 196-day absence, so fitness is the question.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Golden Garden silks
Golden Garden
Age 4 · 11-10
65-5
92
65
88
4
11-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 13/2 25/1
Golden Garden has run to a consistent level with a fifth last time out, a fifth two starts back and a sixth three starts back, and he returns fresh after 23 days with experience of today's going. Our rating ranks him third of 12, but he's yet to win in that spell and carries 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Bluey Bay silks
Bluey Bay
Age 6 · 11-9
550P-4
89
69
87
6
11-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
7/1 8/1 13/2
Bluey Bay was a fourth last time out, but he was pulled up two starts back and is yet to win in his last five, so consistency is a question. He has run on today's going, returns after 33 days, and carries 163 lb off 89, with our rating of 87 ranking him fifth of 12.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

4
Eyeeye silks
Eyeeye
Age 6 · 11-8
-29508
88
56
95
6
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 40/1
Our top-rated runner at 95 against an official mark of 88, he has run on today's going and was second five starts back, though the risk is clear: he is winless in his last five and was eighth last time out, 39 days ago, under 162 lb.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Ballylicky Bay silks
Ballylicky Bay
Age 6 · 11-5
55-323
85
81
85
6
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 9/2 17/2
Ballylicky Bay arrives in solid form, third last time out, a second two starts back, and a third three starts back, after 21 days off, and she has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in her last five and carrying 159 lb off 85, she looks more of a placer than a winner.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Winston's Oath silks
Winston's Oath FAV
Age 4 · 11-5
-39721
87
93
92
4
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
4/5 18/13 8/11
Winston's Oath arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out and a second two starts back, just ten days after that success. He has run over today's trip and going before, though 159 lb is a hefty burden, and our figures rank him second of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Nala The Lioness silks
Nala The Lioness
Age 6 · 11-2
2P/375
82
62
86
6
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 9/1 16/1
Fifth last time out, a seventh two starts back and a third three starts back show Nala The Lioness is consistent without being quite good enough, though she has run on today's going and returns after 25 days. Carrying 156 lb off 82 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 86 leaves her seventh of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Am Still Here silks
Am Still Here
Age 7 · 11-1
2323-5
81
63
84
7
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 10/1
Yet to win in his last five starts, Am Still Here was fifth last time out after a third, a second, a third and a second, so he keeps finding a couple too good. Carrying 155 lb, he has run over today's trip and going, but ranks ninth of twelve on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Dante's Inferno silks
Dante's Inferno
Age 7 · 11-0
4-762U
80
73
77
7
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Dante's Inferno is hard to fancy after unseating last time out, and he is winless in his last five, with a second two starts back his only sign of promise. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 11 days, but 154 lb is a big ask, and our 77 ranks him tenth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Dusky Spyglass silks
Dusky Spyglass
Age 8 · 10-8
5/4P-5
74
50
86
8
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 25/1 80/1
Dusky Spyglass is winless in her last four, with a fifth last time out, a pulled up two starts back and a fourth three starts back, though she has run on today's going before. Our rating of 86 sits well above her official 74, but 148 lb and a 34-day break leave plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Anxious Moments silks
Anxious Moments
Age 4 · 10-5
U0-696
72
66
62
4
10-5
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 17/2 9/1
Winless in his last five, Anxious Moments has finished sixth, ninth and sixth in his latest three outings, and he's hard to fancy off 145 lb with an official mark of 72. He has run over today's trip and going and comes back after 23 days, but our figures rank him 11th of 12.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Celine Man silks
Celine Man
Age 8 · 10-5
PP/P8-
69
31
58
8
10-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 25/1 66/1
Celine Man is hard to fancy: he was eighth last time out after three pulled-up efforts before that, and he returns from 236 days off. He has run over today's trip and his official rating is 69, but 145 lb is a big ask and our rating of 58 ranks him last of 12.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Pippin's Legend 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Golden Garden 25/1 open 7.50 25/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 8.00 25/1 open 8.00 25/1 open 8.00 25/1 open 9.50 25/1 Bet365
3 Bluey Bay 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
4 Eyeeye 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Ballylicky Bay 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 Bet365
6 Winston's Oath 4/5 open 2.75 8/11 open 2.63 4/5 open 2.63 4/5 open 2.63 4/5 open 2.75 4/5 open 2.38 4/5 Bet365
7 Nala The Lioness 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Am Still Here 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 10.00 10/1 10/1 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
9 Dante's Inferno 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 9/2 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 William Hill
10 Dusky Spyglass 100/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
11 Anxious Moments 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
12 Celine Man 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Winston's Oath

Live signal

Winston's Oath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 James Owen Sean Bowen
88% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ballylicky Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Kevin Pickard
✓ Value Signal

Eyeeye

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Clare Ellam
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Winston's Oath
63.5 4/5
2 5. Ballylicky Bay
53.3 9/1
3 9. Dante's Inferno
50.7 5/1
4 11. Anxious Moments
47.4 10/1
5 3. Bluey Bay
47.1 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Winston's Oath
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 11-5
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 7 · 11-0
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-9
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

5
Age 6 · 11-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 10-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 11-12
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Age 7 · 11-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 11-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Winston's Oath
Confidence: Medium

Winston's Oath (SR:93, 5/4) is head and shoulders above this field on ability — the next-best SR is 81 (Ballylicky Bay) and the favourite carries 11-5, the same as that rival, so there is no meaningful weight concession offsetting the SR gap. The market has backed this horse in 10% since opening, confirming money-is-on confidence, and connections are elite: James Owen at 19% strike rate paired with Sean Bowen at 24% is the strongest booking in the race by some distance. The most recent form digit is '1' and the sequence '-39721' shows rapid improvement to a last-time-out win, while the GoingFit:~ on good ground is only moderate rather than negative — easily the least concerning flag in the field. Each-way alternative: Ballylicky Bay. Main danger: Ballylicky Bay — Ballylicky Bay (SR:81, 11/2) has the second-best SR in the field, a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and is 7lb lower in weight than top-weight, giving it a real physical chance if Winston's Oath encounters any trouble in running.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit flag is 'v' (soft/heavy specialist?) at Southwell — if today's going is on the firmer side, this is a concrete fitness/preference concern rather than just a moderate flag.
  • Form sequence '-39721' shows only one win in six runs and earlier efforts of 9 and 3 suggest inconsistency; the last-time-out win may have been in weaker company than this field suggests.
  • At 5/4 on a Fibresand all-weather track at Southwell, Winston's Oath is being asked to confirm form on a unique surface with no all-weather form digit visible — no evidence of handling this track.
  • Anxious Moments (15/2) has drifted in 23% in market — sharp rival with Harry Cobden booked — suggesting a live market mover could undermine Winston's Oath's dominance at short odds.
Shortlist Winston's Oath, Ballylicky Bay, Anxious Moments
Each-way: Ballylicky Bay Danger: Ballylicky Bay

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f88y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Southwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade