Hereford 14:20 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap Hurdle Race

Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap Hurdle Race · 3m1f119y

Official Result

Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner No More Bolero (GB) Jonathan Burke · James Owen
    10/11F
  2. 7/1
  3. 5/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Leicester

13:24–17:17 · 8 races

Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

Hereford

13:45–16:38 · 6 races

Southwell

14:00–17:23 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jackstell silks
Jackstell
Age 7 · 12-2
15-6P1
117
112
118
7
12-2
★★★☆☆
—
13/8 2/1 3/2
Jackstell won last time out and again five starts back, making him a leading danger, with our rating also ranking him top of four. The risk is a pulled-up effort two starts back, plus 38 days off and 170 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
I'm A Starman silks
I'm A Starman
Age 13 · 11-8
45-2P2
109
105
115
13
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 7/1 11/2
I'm A Starman arrives in good heart after a second last time out, just 18 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Two seconds in his last five starts support the case, though he is yet to win and carries 162 lb.
AI verdict

SR 105 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
No More Bolero silks
No More Bolero FAV
Age 7 · 11-6
-11231
107
114
107
7
11-6
★★★★☆
—
6/4 5/6 18/13
Three wins in his last five starts, including last time out eight days ago, make No More Bolero a serious threat, and he has run on today's going before. The risk is a 160 lb burden, which could stretch him now.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Betty's Tiara silks
Betty's Tiara
Age 8 · 11-2
-79815
103
104
106
8
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Fifth last time out and a winner two starts back, Betty's Tiara returns fresh after 28 days and carries 156 lb off an official mark of 103. The risk is a patchy record, with an eighth, a ninth and a seventh before that win, though our rating of 106 sits above her handicap mark.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jackstell 13/8 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 6/4 open 3.00 13/8 Bet365
2 I'm A Starman 13/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
3 No More Bolero 6/4 open 1.91 6/4 open 1.83 6/4 open 1.91 6/4 open 1.91 6/4 open 1.91 11/8 open 2.00 6/4 Bet365
4 Betty's Tiara 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jackstell

Live signal

Jackstell owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Jamie Snowden Isabelle Ryder(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

No More Bolero

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/4 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

I'm A Starman

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

13/2 · Mark Rimell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Jackstell
65.6 13/8
2 3. No More Bolero
64.0 6/4
3 4. Betty's Tiara
58.8 5/1
4 2. I'm A Starman
56.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jackstell
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 11-6
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 114 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 12-2
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 13 · 11-8
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jackstell
Confidence: Speculative

Jackstell (SR:112, 11/8) has steamed in 22% in the market — the strongest market signal in this four-runner field — and carries 9-7 less than the field high (12-2 is top weight but the SR gap over No More Bolero is only 2 points, making the weight difference negligible). Trainer Jamie Snowden at 25% strike rate with consistent course form (W1P2 at Hereford) adds meaningful context, and the rightmost form figure is a win (Form:15-6P1 — last run a winner). No More Bolero (SR:114, 6/4) is the highest-rated runner but has drifted badly (Mkt:out29%) from a short opening price, which is a specific and concrete negative that overrides the marginal SR advantage; the drift suggests connections and market participants alike are not confident on the day. Each-way alternative: No More Bolero. Main danger: No More Bolero — No More Bolero holds the top SR (114), is proven on today's going (GoingFit:+), ran just 8 days ago suggesting peak fitness, and shows a recent win in his form string — if the drift is simply market noise rather than a stable concern, he is capable of reversing the market and going close.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jackstell's jockey Isabelle Ryder (claiming 5lb) posts only a 16% strike rate — in a tight four-runner field every percentage point matters and a claim at this level is a tangible disadvantage agains…
  • Jackstell is top weight at 12-2, the heaviest in the field by 10lb over No More Bolero; in a small-field chase that weight concession to the highest-rated runner is not 'negligible' and compounds ove…
  • Form string 15-6P1 contains a pull-up (P) just two runs ago — the last-start win may flatter a horse that was out of sorts very recently, and bounce/regress risk after that winning effort 38 days ago…
  • No More Bolero's market drift (out 29%) originates from a very short opening price and its MarkMv is flat (=), suggesting the move is opening-price correction rather than negative stable/market intel…
Shortlist Jackstell, No More Bolero, Betty's Tiara
Each-way: No More Bolero Danger: No More Bolero

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m1f119y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Hereford Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade