Hereford 16:38 RESULTED
Class 5 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Hereford Halloween Family Raceday 26th October Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Hereford Halloween Family Raceday 26th October Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 2m0f53y

Official Result

Hereford Halloween Family Raceday 26th October Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bombus Pascuorum (IRE) Harry Brown · Donald McCain
    5/1
  2. 11/8F
  3. Third Indiza (IRE)
    11/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bombus Pascuorum silks
Bombus Pascuorum
Age 4 · 11-1
4
—
147
—
4
11-1
★★★★☆
—
11/2 10/3 5/1
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Indiza silks
Indiza
Age 4 · 11-1
8-
—
143
—
4
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 7/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Lucy Glitters silks
Lucy Glitters
Age 4 · 10-8
23
—
158
—
4
10-8
★★★★☆
—
5/4 4/5 11/10
Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Unflappable silks
Unflappable FAV
Age 4 · 10-8
33
—
157
—
4
10-8
★★★★☆
—
13/8 7/4 3/2
Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bombus Pascuorum 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 Bet365
2 Indiza 8/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
3 Lucy Glitters 5/4 open 1.83 11/10 open 1.91 5/4 open 1.83 5/4 open 1.83 5/4 open 1.83 6/5 open 1.80 5/4 Bet365
4 Unflappable 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 7/4 7/4 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Unflappable

High conviction

Unflappable owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Ben Clarke David Noonan
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lucy Glitters

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · Tom George
✓ Value Signal

Indiza

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

8/1 · Stuart Edmunds
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Unflappable
76.1 13/8
2 3. Lucy Glitters
72.8 5/4
3 1. Bombus Pascuorum
67.6 11/2
4 2. Indiza
64.5 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lucy Glitters
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 10-8
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 4 · 10-8
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 4 · 11-1
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 147 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 4 · 11-1
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾 —

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lucy Glitters
Confidence: Medium

Lucy Glitters (SR 158, 10/11) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and has the lightest weight at 10-8, a 7lb advantage over the two 11-1 carriers. Stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1) from a form line of 2-3 — competitive placed efforts — she arrives in good order despite 81 days off. Tom George (18% strike rate, 121 runners) is a well-regarded handler for bumper debutants and progressive types, and Jonathan Burke (15%, 746 runners) is an experienced pilot. The market has held firm at 10/11 favourite, reinforcing what the SR already signals: this is the classiest horse in a four-runner field. Each-way alternative: Unflappable. Main danger: Unflappable — Unflappable (SR 157, 9/4) is only 1 point behind Lucy Glitters on the SR scale, shares the same light weight of 10-8 and also drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), giving her every chance to turn consecutive third-place finishes into a win if the favourite underperforms after 81 days off the track.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 81 days off the track is a meaningful absence — her last two runs were placed efforts but neither was a win, and returning rusty after 11+ weeks could blunt her edge in a tight four-runner heat.
  • Unflappable (SR 157) is only 1 SR point behind and has a fresh form line of 33 in a similar class band — the margin of superiority is razor-thin and may not manifest over today's trip/conditions.
  • HG flag 'h' (hurdles) noted for Lucy Glitters with no comparable flag issue flagged for rivals — if today's ground or track configuration suits a more straightforward galloper, her class edge could b…
  • Jonathan Burke's 15% strike rate across 746 runners is competent but unspectacular; in a four-runner field where tactical awareness is critical, Charlie Hammond (17%) on Indiza — who is drifting in a…
Shortlist Lucy Glitters, Unflappable, Bombus Pascuorum
Each-way: Unflappable Danger: Unflappable

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m0f53y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Hereford Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade