Currumbin has been second in each of his last four starts, including last time out, and returns just eight days later, so he's fit and in the groove. He has run over today's trip and on the going before, and while still yet to win, he's our pick on overall profile.
Form last 6462222
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yokkell is fresh from a 14-day break and has run over today's trip and going before, while a win four starts back shows her ability. Our rating of 72 ranks her first of 11, but she's unplaced last time and a ninth two starts back, and 139 lb is the main risk.
Form last 6541690
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR72RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Majd Al Kazem is winless in his last five, with a seventh last time out and an eighth two starts back, though a third four starts back shows he has a bit of ability. He has run on today's going and is fresh enough after 15 days, but 136 lb is a stiff ask and our rating of 66 ranks him sixth of 11.
Form last 6438-87
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Bradbury arrives fresh from a run ten days ago, and he's a two-time winner in his last six starts, successful two starts back and again six starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 ranks him third of eleven, though a sixth last time out and 136 lb are the main risks.
Form last 6163616
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR70RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Midnight Media has finished in the first two in five of her last six starts, including a second two starts back and a winner four starts back, and she returns just 19 days after a fourth last time out. She has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 135 lb is the main risk.
Form last 6121224
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pipily is yet to win in her last five, but a third two starts back and a second four starts back show she's competitive, and she's fit after 15 days off and has run on today's going. Carrying 135 lb off 64 and ranked seventh of 11 by our rating, she looks more of a place contender than a winner.
Form last 6-72435
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brodie's Boy has been beaten in his last two, a seventh each time, and returns after 81 days off, though he has run over today's trip and going and a third six starts back is his best recent finish. He's yet to win in that spell and carries 133 lb off 56, but our rating of 66 ranks him fifth of eleven.
Form last 6348477
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR66RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Third last time out and a winner three starts back, with only seven days since that run, so he's fit and has run over today's trip and going. But our figures rank him ninth of 11, and carrying 129 lb off an official mark of 52 makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6300143
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR59RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Nymphaea won two starts back and four starts back, then finished a fourth last time out, and she has run over today's trip and going before. A 77-day break and 129 lb are the concerns, while our rating of 59 ranks her only eighth of eleven.
Form last 6321514
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR59RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prophet Squeeze is winless in her last six, with a seventh last time out and a third two starts back her only finish in the first three, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after seven days, but our figures rank her tenth of eleven.
Form last 6975637
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR54RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Sueshine is hard to fancy, yet to win in her last three starts with a sixth last time out, and a seventh two starts back, plus another seventh three starts back, after 56 days off. She has run on today's going and her official rating of 36 is modest, but our figures rank her last of eleven.
Form last 677-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
6SR21RPR36OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 6 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Midnight Media owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
evnWilliam Muir & Chris GrassickOisin Murphy
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Currumbin
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Michael Keady✓ Value Signal
Charles Morin
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Barry Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Midnight Media (SR:76, 5/4) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin, carrying only 9-9 despite that SR advantage. Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate, 2,773 career rides) is the standout jockey booking, and the 14% market move in — not out — confirms money is following the horse. Proven at Wolverhampton with a Course:W1P4 record and GoingFit:+ on today's good surface, this horse ticks every meaningful box. The 4lb rise in mark (MarkMv:+4) is the only mild concern, but dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) into Class 6 more than compensates.
Each-way alternative: Bradbury.
Main danger: Bradbury — Bradbury (SR:72, 5/1) is backed in 14%, carries the same weight as Midnight Media at 9-10, has Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate) aboard for the in-form Edward Bethell yard (17%), and drops a class — if Midnight Media is below par today, Bradbury is positioned to capitalise.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form last time out was a '4' — beaten over 4 lengths most recently — suggesting current form may be on a downward curve entering this race.
Trainer William Muir & Chris Grassick strike rate of only 11% is below-par; the stable has not been firing, which tempers confidence in a winning return.
Bradbury (SR:72) is also moving in 14% in the market with a younger, potentially progressive profile and a sharper recent form figure of '6' last time, making him a live rival at much bigger odds.
19 days since last run is a modest enough break but the +4 mark rise means the handicapper has had time to reassess; at 5/4, any underperformance leaves punters with minimal margin for error.