Southwell 15:10 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Oct 2026

Last Tuesday Case Ih Drive Performance Drive Puma Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Case Ih Drive Performance Drive Puma Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m4f88y

Official Result

Case Ih Drive Performance Drive Puma Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Palamon (IRE) Tristan Durrell · Dan Skelton
    11/4
  2. 4/1
  3. 9/4J
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Martin's Denuo silks
Martin's Denuo Non-Runner
Age 4 · 10-9
11142P
106
—
106OR
4
10-9
—
—
SP
—
1
Move With The Beat silks
Move With The Beat
Age 7 · 12-1
411-15
116
101
111
7
12-1
★★☆☆☆
—
SP FCST 3/1
Three wins in his last five starts is a genuine plus, and he's fit after a run 10 days ago, but a fifth last time out and a 111 rating that ranks him last of five make him hard to fancy, especially carrying 169 lb off an official 116.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Thelasthighking silks
Thelasthighking FAV
Age 10 · 12-1
946/4-
116
118
129
10
12-1
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 9/4 32/17
Fourth last time out and a sixth two starts back, Thelasthighking is yet to win in recent form, but he has run over today's trip and going, and the yard is flying at 9/24 in the last 14 days. Our rating of 129 makes him the one to beat, with 204 days off the only real reservation.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Palamon silks
Palamon
Age 6 · 11-13
3-5535
114
112
117
6
11-13
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/4 9/2
Fit after 18 days off and with a third two starts back, Palamon has run over today's trip and going before, and our 117 puts him third of five; the risk is he's yet to win in his last five, with 167 lb a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Jet Smart silks
Jet Smart
Age 8 · 11-11
1-2223
112
119
113
8
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Jet Smart arrives in cracking nick, third last time out after three seconds on the bounce and a win five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is carrying 165 lb, a hefty burden for a gelding who has been winless since.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Dream Diamond silks
Dream Diamond FAV
Age 6 · 11-7
233634
108
119
118
6
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
7/4 7/4 3/2
Fourth last time out and a third two starts back, Dream Diamond has been consistently in the frame, and he returns fresh from a 14-day break having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 118 sits well clear of his official 108, though he carries 161 lb, and the main risk is that he remains yet to win in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Martin's Denuo — — — — — — —
1 Move With The Beat 3/1 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 3/1 — 7/2 Paddy Power
2 Thelasthighking 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 Bet365
3 Palamon 5/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 3.75 11/2 Coral
4 Jet Smart 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Coral
5 Dream Diamond 7/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 3.50 13/8 open 4.00 13/8 open 4.00 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 2.75 7/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dream Diamond

Live signal

Dream Diamond owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 James Owen Sean Bowen
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Thelasthighking

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
✓ Value Signal

Move With The Beat

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · Jamie Snowden
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Dream Diamond
67.4 7/4
2 2. Thelasthighking
66.2 15/8
3 4. Jet Smart
63.8 4/1
4 3. Palamon
61.0 5/1
5 1. Move With The Beat
54.9 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dream Diamond
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 11-7
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾 —

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 10 · 12-1
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-11
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾 —

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-13
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dream Diamond
Confidence: Medium

Dream Diamond (SR:119, 11/8) is the most compelling case in this small field. The market has steamed in 39% — by far the strongest move in the race — and Sean Bowen (24% strike rate, 2,402 career rides) is a booking that commands respect. Crucially, MarkMv:-12 means the horse is running off a mark 12lb below its last win, an enormous concession from the handicapper that gives it a huge edge over rivals running off marks at or above their last winning mark. GoingFit:+ confirms suitability to today's good ground, and at 11-7 it carries the lightest weight in the field, compounding the handicap advantage. Each-way alternative: Jet Smart. Main danger: Jet Smart — Jet Smart (SR:119, 4/1) has steamed in 24%, carries DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, and its form string '1-2223' shows consistent placing — if Dream Diamond underperforms on its first run back at this trip (DistFit:~), Jet Smart's proven course credentials make it the most likely beneficiary.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Dream Diamond's last six runs show a form string of 233634 — no win in this sequence, including a 4th just 14 days ago, suggesting it is consistently placed but struggling to convert.
  • No HG (headgear) flag listed, while two rivals (Palamon, Jet Smart) wear cheekpieces/pads — Dream Diamond lacks any first-time headgear bounce catalyst that could spark improvement.
  • Jet Smart also steamed in 24% and runs off a mark 5lb above its last win yet has been placing consistently (1-2223), posing a direct pace and class threat at bigger odds.
  • Despite the MarkMv:-12 advantage, Dream Diamond's SR:119 matches Jet Smart and Thelasthighking at the top of the field, suggesting the handicapper's leniency may be pricing in genuine fitness or abil…
Shortlist Dream Diamond, Jet Smart, Thelasthighking
Each-way: Jet Smart Danger: Jet Smart

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f88y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Southwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade