Naas 17:25 RESULTED
11 Oct 2026

Last Sunday SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap

SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap · 1m2f149y

Official Result

SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Vanir (IRE) Ben Coen · J. P. Murtagh
    4/1J
  2. 10/1
  3. Third Fratas (IRE)
    4/1J
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Cork

13:02–17:07 · 8 races

Naas

13:20–17:25 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:27–16:57 · 7 races

Goodwood

13:47–17:17 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ankara silks
Ankara
Age 4 · 10-0
9-3703
86
77
85
4
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Fit after just 13 days, Ankara was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, while her own rating of 85 ranks second of 11 and sits just one pound below her official 86. The risk is a winless record in her last five, and 140 lb from stall nine is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Apercu silks
Apercu
Age 6 · 9-13
802700
85
63
88
6
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 22/1 14/1
Apercu is yet to win in her last six starts, but a second four starts back shows she has the ability, and she has run over today's trip and going before after 28 days off. Our rating of 88 puts her top of the 11, carrying 139 lb from draw 6.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Queen Of The Bogs silks
Queen Of The Bogs
Age 4 · 9-13
18-240
85
60
83
4
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 11/1 18/1
Queen Of The Bogs bounced back from an eighth to run a second and a fourth, though she was unplaced last time out, and she has run over today's trip and returns after 19 days. Carrying 139 lb from stall eight off an official 85, she looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 82 putting her fifth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Navy Waters silks
Navy Waters
Age 5 · 9-12
453306
84
77
84
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1
Navy Waters is yet to win in her last six, but she was third three and four starts back, and she's fresh from a run 13 days ago with experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 138 lb from draw 11, the main risk is a sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Vanir silks
Vanir FAV
Age 3 · 9-9
821382
86
84
82
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 7/2 9/2
Vanir bounces back to form after a second last time out, though an eighth two starts back and her last win coming four starts back keep her honest; she has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 13 days. Carrying 135 lb from draw 5, her 82 rating ranks sixth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Fratas silks
Fratas FAV
Age 6 · 9-4
44-607
76
75
80
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 8/1 4/1
Fratas comes in without a win in her last five, a seventh last time out and a fourth four starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns after 41 days off. Our rating of 80 sits above her official 76, but she needs to arrest a slide from draw 3 under 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Morgana Blue silks
Morgana Blue
Age 4 · 9-4
5251-
76
70
76OR
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 5/1 22/1
Morgana Blue won last time out, with a second three starts back, and she looks unexposed on that evidence, though she returns after 321 days off and has plenty to prove on fitness. She carries 130 lb from draw 4, with scope to progress.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Letiza silks
Letiza
Age 6 · 9-3
0-2441
75
78
72
6
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 7/1
Winning last time out is the big plus for Letiza, with a fourth, a fourth and a second before that, and she has run over today's trip. But she's ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, has been off for 41 days, and carries 129 lb from stall one, so she's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Stars Will Shine silks
Stars Will Shine
Age 3 · 9-1
15-909
78
69
79
3
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 8/1 15/2
Stars Will Shine has finished a ninth last time out and a ninth three starts back, with her only win five starts back, and the yard is cold at one winner from 27 lately. She has run on today's going and returns after 20 days, but eighth of eleven on our rating makes her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Cherry Hill Girl silks
Cherry Hill Girl
Age 3 · 9-0
-77437
77
72
83
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 10/1 9/1
Quick back-up after seven days, Cherry Hill Girl has run over today's trip and going before and was third two starts back, while our rating of 83 ranks her fourth of eleven. The risk is a winless record in her last five, with a seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Speckled Meadow silks
Speckled Meadow
Age 9 · 8-7
865696
63
42
68
9
8-7
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 22/1 18/1
Speckled Meadow is winless in her last six, finishing sixth last time out and no better than fifth in that spell, which makes her hard to fancy after 49 days off. She has run over this trip and on this going, and our rating of 68 still leaves her tenth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ankara 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
2 Apercu 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 Bet365
3 Queen Of The Bogs 18/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Paddy Power
4 Navy Waters 4/1 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Paddy Power
5 Vanir 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Paddy Power
6 Fratas 9/2 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Morgana Blue 22/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 6.00 25/1 open 8.50 25/1 open 8.50 25/1 open 8.50 25/1 open 7.50 28/1 Paddy Power
8 Letiza 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 Bet365
9 Stars Will Shine 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 Bet365
10 Cherry Hill Girl 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 10/1 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Paddy Power
11 Speckled Meadow 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Vanir

Speculative

Vanir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 J. P. Murtagh Ben Coen
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fratas

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Morgana Blue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Richard John O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Vanir
58.0 9/2
2 6. Fratas
57.5 9/2
3 1. Ankara
51.5 6/1
4 4. Navy Waters
51.3 4/1
5 9. Stars Will Shine
48.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ankara
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-12
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Vanir FAV
Age 3 · 9-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Fratas FAV
Age 6 · 9-4
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-3
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-1
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 9 · 8-7
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ankara
Confidence: Speculative

Ankara (SR 77, 11/2, 10-0) is the O'Brien yard's #1 runner — the stable has deployed the more experienced senior jockey booking in Shay Wallace and the market has shortened 8% since opening, signalling yard confidence. Carrying top-weight at 10-0 is a concern on soft ground, but the tongue-tie application (first time with tp headgear) combined with the 13-day turnaround suggests a horse being primed for this specific spot. The SR of 77 matches the field's competitive ceiling, and while DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), the O'Brien operation's 16% strike rate over 3,213 runners is the strongest trainer angle in the race. At 11/2, the implied market probability (~15%) undervalues the yard + headgear + market-in combination. Each-way alternative: Vanir. Main danger: Vanir — Vanir (SR 84, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field at the lowest weight among the serious contenders (9-9), and though the market has drifted 18% and GoingFit is unproven, Ben Coen's 11% strike rate on 1,881 rides plus a recent form sequence ending in a '2' at the same trip suggests this 3-year-old's peak ability could be decisive if the soft ground suits.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ankara's form reads 9-3703 — the '0' and '3' represent very poor recent finishes, and a '9' last time out suggests a well-beaten last place; this is a horse in declining form, not a horse coming into…
  • Jockey Shay Wallace has a strike rate of just 8% from 119 rides — significantly below the field's stronger jockey bookings (W.J. Lee 16%, Colin Keane 16%), undermining the 'senior jockey confidence'…
  • Top-weight of 10-0 on soft Naas ground is a concrete disadvantage against rivals like Vanir (9-9, SR 84) and Letiza (9-3, SR 78) who carry notably less weight and have equal or superior ratings.
  • Vanir (SR 84, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and is shorter in the market than Ankara despite the O'Brien stable narrative; Vanir's 13-day turnaround mirrors Ankara's without the top-we…
Shortlist Ankara, Vanir, Letiza, Navy Waters
Each-way: Vanir Danger: Vanir

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f149y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting