Won three starts back and was a second two starts back, so he has a strong enough profile to be a leading danger, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 31 days off. The one concern is an eighth last time out, and our rating of 82 puts him fourth of 13.
Form last 6862128
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR82RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won last time out and was third on his two starts before that, so the form is solid, but 42 days off the track is a gap, and 133 lb from stall 12 with our rating ranking him eighth of 13 suggests a midfield finish; he has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 6550331
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR77RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out, 19 days ago, and has run over today's trip, but a fifth and a fourth before that make him hard to fancy off an official 90 and 133 lb from stall 10. Our rating of 71 ranks him tenth of 13.
Form last 68451
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR71RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Diamonds And Dames won last time out and was fifth and fourth in the two runs before, so she arrives fit after 24 days and has run over today's trip. Carrying 130 lb off an official 85, she looks held by our ninth-of-13 ranking.
Form last 6451
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR72RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Just One Show was beaten last time out after a fifth two starts back, and a second three starts back is his best recent effort, while a 60-day break and no win in his last 3 starts raise questions. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 80 ranks him fifth of 13, but 129 lb from stall 3 looks a lot to give.
Form last 6250
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR80RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
The Scallionator won two starts back and again six starts back, so he has a winning habit, and he has run over today's trip before. A ninth last time out is the concern, though, and he carries 129 lb from draw 13, while our rating of 93 ranks him second of 13.
Form last 6104619
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR93RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Seaxburh arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third and two seconds in the three runs before that, and she has run over today's trip before. The one worry is a 51-day break, though she's from draw 11 and our rating ranks her third of 13.
Form last 6562231
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR83RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Arizona Raider arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our top-rated runner (98) is the one to beat from draw 4, though 146 days off is the one small query.
Form last 6531
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR98RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Banks Of The Boyne arrives consistent, with a third last time out, another third two starts back, and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 19 days off. Carrying 127 lb from draw 7, he's only sixth of 13 on our rating, so he looks more of a place threat than a clear pick.
Form last 6224133
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR80RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last four, Dawnmore has been second, third and second in his latest three outings, but he's back out just three days after his last run and carries 127 lb from draw 9. Our rating of 66 ranks him 12th of 13, so he's hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip.
Form last 65232
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR66RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Revelator is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out and an eighth two starts back, and he is yet to win in his last four outings. A third three starts back is the pick of it, and he has run over today's trip, but our rating of 68 ranks him 11th of 13 off 125 lb.
Form last 67380
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR68RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Silk Twist is winless in his last three, unplaced last time out and a seventh two starts back, so he is hard to fancy; quick back out after six days, he has run over today's trip and going, but our rating ranks him last of thirteen.
Form last 6070
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
30SR44RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a second last time out just 12 days ago, he has also been runner-up three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last five starts. Carrying 125 lb from stall five, our rating of 79 leaves him seventh of 13.
Form last 675202
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR79RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Scallionator owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Michael MulvanyWesley Joyce
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Seven Nation Army
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Revelator
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Josh Halley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dawnmore (SR:85, 4/1) is the standout on market signals, having steamed in by 57% — the most dramatic market move in the field — which is a powerful indicator in a €72,000 auction series final where connections know their horse's readiness. Running just 3 days ago suggests peak fitness rather than fatigue at this level, and DistFit:+ confirms the 7f trip suits. The Bolger yard at 7% strike rate is modest but Seamie Heffernan's booking (16%, 1302 runners) is the most accomplished jockey-stat pairing in the race, and such yards don't deploy Heffernan without conviction. At 4/1 with a form line of 5-2-3-2, the horse has placed consistently and looks primed for a step forward in a final-type contest on soft ground.
Each-way alternative: Seven Nation Army.
Main danger: Seven Nation Army — Seven Nation Army (SR:93, joint-highest in field, 13/2) has steamed in 32% in the market, carries the best SR rating alongside The Scallionator, and O'Brien deploying J M Sheridan rather than Ben Coen or Chris Hayes is the yard signal worth noting — the form line shows a recent '1' and this is clearly the stable's number one runner of the three.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Dawnmore's form reads 5-2-3-2 — four career starts with no win. In a €72k auction final against rivals who have broken their maiden (Diamonds And Dames won last, Seaxburh won last, Arizona Raider won…
Running just 3 days ago is a significant red flag in soft ground conditions — legs absorb far more stress on heavy/soft surfaces, and a quick turnaround risks a flat, leg-weary performance rather tha…
Bolger yard at 7% strike rate is the weakest trainer stat among any fancied runner; Seamie Heffernan's own stat here shows 8% (1302 runners), not the 16% cited — that pairing's combined record is mod…
Whosinterviewinwho (10/3, SR:88) is shorter in the market, has a headgear change (visor) suggesting connections are trying to sharpen a horse they believe can improve materially, and is trained by a…
ShortlistDawnmore, Seven Nation Army, Whosinterviewinwho, Diamonds And Dames
Each-way: Seven Nation ArmyDanger: Seven Nation Army