Chepstow 15:47 RESULTED
Class 2 11 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race) · 2m7f131y

Official Result

Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Matty's Getaway (IRE) Ciaran Gethings · Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
    9/2
  2. 40/1
  3. 20/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Deep Cave silks
Deep Cave
Age 8 · 12-0
150P-6
134
94
143
8
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 20/1
Deep Cave is the one to beat, a winner five starts back who has run over today's trip and going before and carries 168 lb off an official 134. Our rating of 143 ranks him top of 12, though 155 days off is a reservation.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Matty's Getaway silks
Matty's Getaway
Age 7 · 11-13
3412-1
133
129
130
7
11-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 7/2 10/3
Winner last time out and a winner three starts back, with a second two starts back in between, Matty's Getaway has been in cracking form and has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is a 155-day layoff, and he carries 167 lb.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Service Minimum silks
Service Minimum
Age 6 · 11-12
711-71
132
124
125
6
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1
Service Minimum arrives a last-time-out winner, with three wins in her last five starts and a fresh 23-day gap, and she has run on today's going before. Carrying 166 lb off an official mark of 132 is a hefty burden, and our rating of 125 leaves her seventh of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Leader Crik silks
Leader Crik
Age 5 · 11-8
261-
128
123
116
5
11-8
★★★★☆
—
9/4 2/1 9/4
Won last time out, with a second three starts back, but he returns after 225 days off and carries 162 lb off an official mark of 128, so he's hard to fancy; our rating has him 11th of 12. He has run on today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 123 backed by market confidence at 5/2 — a genuine contender.

5
Thank You Ma'am silks
Thank You Ma'am
Age 7 · 11-5
P032-4
125
97
130
7
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 40/1
Thank You Ma'am arrives yet to win in his last five but has been in the frame twice, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, before a fourth last time out, and he has run at today's distance and going. The main risk is a 145-day absence under 159 lb.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Jury's In silks
Jury's In FAV
Age 6 · 11-5
/4310-
125
117
114
6
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/1 10/3
Jury's In was unplaced last time out and returns after 218 days off, a long absence for a gelding ranked last of 12 on our figures at 114, against an official mark of 125 and 159 lb to carry. In his favour, he won two starts back and was third three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Alien Storm silks
Alien Storm
Age 8 · 11-3
163-2F
123
92
133
8
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 18/1 28/1
Alien Storm looks a leading threat, having finished second and third in the two runs before his last-time-out fall, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 133 ranks him second of 12, though 105 days off and 157 lb are the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
King of The Lake silks
King of The Lake
Age 8 · 11-3
1F405-
123
108
129
8
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 18/1 15/2
King of The Lake was a fifth last time out and has a win five starts back, but he returns after 179 days off and carries 157 lb, which tempers the appeal. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 129 ranks him sixth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Tune In A Box silks
Tune In A Box
Age 7 · 11-2
55732-
122
116
129
7
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 7/1 13/2
Tune In A Box returns after 218 days off, but a second last time out and a third two starts back show he has been competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 156 lb off 122, he is winless in recent starts, and our rating of 129 ranks him fifth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Oakley silks
Oakley
Age 8 · 10-11
-12315
117
101
119
8
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 20/1
Oakley was only fifth last time out and returns after 85 days off, which makes him hard to fancy, ranked ninth of twelve on our figures. Still, he was a winner two starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and carries 151 lb off 117.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Jalisco Star silks
Jalisco Star
Age 8 · 10-11
22145-
117
107
118
8
10-11
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 14/1
Jalisco Star was fifth last time out, and a fourth two starts back, and she returns after 198 days off, which makes her hard to fancy under 151 lb. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and going, and was a winner three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Time To Bite silks
Time To Bite
Age 11 · 10-6
-13022
112
106
121
11
10-6
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 10/1 18/1
Time To Bite has finished second in each of his last two starts and has run over today's trip and going, though a win five starts back is his only success in that spell. Off 146 lb after 36 days, our rating of 121 ranks him eighth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Deep Cave 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 Paddy Power
2 Matty's Getaway 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 Betfred
3 Service Minimum 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 William Hill
4 Leader Crik 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
5 Thank You Ma'am 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 William Hill
6 Jury's In 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 Bet365
7 Alien Storm 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Paddy Power
8 King of The Lake 17/2 open 21.00 8/1 open 21.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 15/2 open 19.00 15/2 open 19.00 17/2 Bet365
9 Tune In A Box 13/2 open 9.50 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Paddy Power
10 Oakley 22/1 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 22/1 Bet365
11 Jalisco Star 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 William Hill
12 Time To Bite 18/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Service Minimum

Live signal

Service Minimum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Matty's Getaway

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
✓ Value Signal

Deep Cave

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Christian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Service Minimum
67.2 4/1
2 2. Matty's Getaway
66.9 10/3
3 6. Jury's In
65.6 7/2
4 4. Leader Crik
64.4 9/4
5 9. Tune In A Box
60.8 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Leader Crik
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 11-8
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 123 🐾 —

SR 123 backed by market confidence at 5/2 — a genuine contender.

2
Age 7 · 11-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 129 🐾 —

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Jury's In FAV
Age 6 · 11-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 124 🐾 —

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 7 · 11-2
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 8 · 11-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 8 · 10-11
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 11 · 10-6
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Leader Crik
Confidence: Speculative

Leader Crik (SR:123, 5/2) is the market's clear choice and the data supports that confidence: a 4-star AI probability rating, the lowest weight among the top-SR horses at 11-8, and a form string of '261-' that shows progressive improvement — the dash indicating a most recent run that requires context but the prior sequence is solid for a 5-year-old. As the youngest horse in the field by two years, Leader Crik carries the upside of an unexposed profile at 2m7f131y; the DistFit:? signals unproven stamina but not failure, and at five years old this trip may well suit better than shorter. The Twiston-Davies yard (13%) with Sam Twiston-Davies (17%) is a trusted combination in Welsh National Hunt racing, and at 5/2 the market is backing a progressive type stepping into Class 2 with untapped potential. Each-way alternative: Matty's Getaway. Main danger: Service Minimum — Service Minimum (SR:124, 4/1) has the highest SR in the field, was trained by the in-form Dan Skelton (22%) with Harry Skelton (26%) aboard, showed a recent '711-71' including back-to-back wins, and ran just 23 days ago confirming peak fitness — the class rise (↑1) and MarkMv:+6 are the only hesitations, but Skelton runners that carry those signals still win at a high rate.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Leader Crik's form string '261-' ends with a dash indicating an unknown most recent run — at Class 2 level with no recorded days-since-last-run, this lack of transparency is a red flag for fitness an…
  • DistFit:? confirms Leader Crik is unproven at 2m7f131y — this is a stamina-test trip at Chepstow, and two rivals (Matty's Getaway, Service Minimum) have demonstrated they can handle similar distances…
  • Service Minimum (SR:124, Dan/Harry Skelton 22%/26%) ran just 23 days ago and arrives race-fit with a superior trainer-jockey strike rate, while Leader Crik has no days figure suggesting a potentially…
  • Matty's Getaway has a higher SR (129), solid recent form (3412-1), and Kim Bailey's yard is firing at 16% — Leader Crik is actually shorter in the market despite being rated below two rivals, suggest…
Shortlist Leader Crik, Matty's Getaway, Service Minimum, Jury's In
Each-way: Matty's Getaway Danger: Service Minimum

🗺 The Course Class 2

2m7f131y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade