Chepstow 16:57 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Wasdell Group Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Wasdell Group Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 2m0f16y

Official Result

Wasdell Group Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Masked Blagny (FR) Charlie Hammond · Stuart Edmunds
    13/2
  2. 5/4F
  3. 15/8
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Old Coast Road silks
Old Coast Road FAV
Age 5 · 11-0
1-
—
105
—
5
11-0
★★★★☆
—
9/4 6/5 2/1
Won his only recent start last time out, but that was 323 days ago, so he returns after a long absence and a fitness question. Carrying 154 lb, he is unexposed and open to improvement on what little form there is.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Masked Blagny silks
Masked Blagny
Age 4 · 10-13
3-
—
99
104
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 FCST 13/2
Masked Blagny showed up well with a third last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, so he looks the one to beat on our numbers (rated 104, top of six). The 250-day absence and 153 lb are the only reservations.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Motivaspeed Essef silks
Motivaspeed Essef
Age 4 · 10-13
—
—
70
—
4
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 22/1 50/1
Unraced and unexposed, Motivaspeed Essef makes his debut with no form to go on, so there is plenty of scope for improvement. The gelding carries 153 lb, and what he shows first time out will tell us more.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

4
Onetingfornuttin silks
Onetingfornuttin
Age 4 · 10-13
1-
—
106
—
4
10-13
★★★★☆
—
13/8 10/3 31/19
Won last time out, his only recent start, so Onetingfornuttin is unexposed and open to improvement, though he returns after 231 days off and carries 153 lb, which makes fitness the question to answer.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Too Many Acres silks
Too Many Acres
Age 4 · 10-13
—
—
101
—
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 32/17 5/2
Too Many Acres is a blank canvas on his debut, with no form to lean on and plenty of scope to improve as an unexposed type. He carries 153 lb, so it's all about what he shows first time out.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Roxy Rocks silks
Roxy Rocks
Age 5 · 10-7
43-
—
71
95
5
10-7
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 25/1 80/1
Roxy Rocks was third last time out and a fourth two starts back, and she has run over today's trip, so she merits respect as a leading danger on 147 lb; the one concern is a 177-day layoff, and our rating of 95 ranks her second of six.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Old Coast Road 9/4 open 2.20 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 9/4 Bet365
2 Masked Blagny 15/2 open 8.00 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 15/2 Bet365
3 Motivaspeed Essef 66/1 open 23.00 70/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 80/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 80/1 William Hill
4 Onetingfornuttin 13/8 open 5.00 7/4 open 4.33 7/4 open 4.50 7/4 open 4.50 13/8 open 4.50 7/4 open 4.50 7/4 Paddy Power
5 Too Many Acres 11/4 open 3.25 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 11/4 Bet365
6 Roxy Rocks 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 29.00 100/1 open 29.00 100/1 open 29.00 80/1 open 29.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Old Coast Road

Live signal

Old Coast Road owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Onetingfornuttin

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Mickey Bowen
✓ Value Signal

Roxy Rocks

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Chris Honour
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Old Coast Road
61.0 9/4
2 4. Onetingfornuttin
60.6 13/8
3 5. Too Many Acres
58.5 11/4
4 2. Masked Blagny
53.9 15/2
5 6. Roxy Rocks
39.8 100/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Onetingfornuttin
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 10-13
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 5 · 11-0
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 105 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 4 · 10-13
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-13
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Onetingfornuttin
Confidence: Speculative

Onetingfornuttin (SR:106, 5/2) edges out Old Coast Road as the pick on a combination of SR-leadership and meaningful market support — a 13% market contraction since opening is the clearest information signal in a field where almost every other runner has drifted. James Bowen (20% strike rate, 1211 career rides) and trainer Mickey Bowen (16%, 521 runners) are a competent combination in bumpers. At 4 years old it carries the same weight as the other 4-year-olds (10-13) versus Old Coast Road's 11-0, giving it a 1lb weight advantage over the favourite despite essentially matching it on SR. Old Coast Road (SR:105, 7/4) is narrowly behind on both SR and weight and has drifted 7% — not catastrophic, but the money is not flowing its way today. Each-way alternative: Too Many Acres. Main danger: Too Many Acres — Paul Nicholls (22% strike rate, 560 runners) is one of the strongest bumper trainers in the country and Too Many Acres at 2/1 — carrying the same weight as Onetingfornuttin — has an SR of 101 that, while below the top two, is backed by an elite yard that consistently produces bumper winners from unexposed stock.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Too Many Acres (SR:101, 2/1) is trained by Paul Nicholls (22% strike rate, 560 runners) with Sam Twiston-Davies aboard — a significantly stronger handler/jockey combination than Mickey/James Bowen, a…
  • Old Coast Road carries the superior trainer-jockey pairing of Dan Skelton (22%, 2588 runners) and Harry Skelton (26%, 1671 rides) — the most powerful bumper operation in Britain — making the 7% drift…
  • Onetingfornuttin's single-run form ('1-') is one bumper start, meaning the 13% market contraction may reflect stable confidence rather than independently verified racecourse ability against an unknow…
  • Mickey Bowen's 16% strike rate across 521 runners is notably Welsh-circuit skewed; Chepstow may suit, but James Bowen's 20% rate still trails Harry Skelton's 26% materially, a meaningful edge in a ti…
Shortlist Onetingfornuttin, Too Many Acres, Old Coast Road
Each-way: Too Many Acres Danger: Too Many Acres

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f16y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade