Chepstow 16:22 RESULTED
Class 3 11 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle Race

Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f16y

Official Result

Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Gower Prince (GB) Benjamin Macey · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
    5/2F
  2. Second Haas Boy (FR)
    15/2
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Ooh Betty silks
Ooh Betty Non-Runner
Age 8 · 12-0
00193-
130
—
130OR
8
12-0
—
—
SP FCST 7/1
—
1
Norn Iron silks
Norn Iron
Age 8 · 12-0
23112-
130
129
128
8
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 10/3 3/1
Norn Iron arrives in cracking form, second last time out, and a winner two starts back, with another win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 163-day absence, with 168 lb on his back.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Glengouly silks
Glengouly
Age 10 · 12-0
PPPP-1
130
95
130
10
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 6/1 14/1
Glengouly arrives a winner last time out, a clear step up on four pulled-up efforts before that, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The 140-day absence and 168 lb are the reservations, but his form is the strongest argument here, and our rating of 130 backs him up.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Stream of Stars silks
Stream of Stars
Age 11 · 11-12
13226-
128
118
130
11
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 3/1 11/2
Stream of Stars made the frame in three of his last four before a sixth last time out, with a second two starts back and another second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is a 283-day absence, and 166 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Faivoir silks
Faivoir
Age 11 · 11-11
38730-
127
108
134
11
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 10/1
Faivoir has run over today's trip and going before, was third two starts back and is rated 134 by us, top of this field of nine, with 165 lb on his back and an official mark of 127. The main risk is a 184-day absence after an unplaced latest run.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
No Ordinary Joe silks
No Ordinary Joe
Age 10 · 11-8
761-06
124
84
127
10
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 18/1 22/1
Fit enough after 14 days off, No Ordinary Joe won three starts back but has since managed a sixth last time out and an unplaced effort before that. He has run over today's trip and going, though 162 lb is a hefty burden, and our rating of 127 ranks him fifth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Welsh Charger silks
Welsh Charger
Age 8 · 11-7
46U67-
123
113
126
8
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 9/1 7/2
Welsh Charger comes in after a 176-day break with a seventh last time out and a sixth before that, yet to win in his last five starts. He has run over today's trip and going, but 161 lb is a big burden, and our rating of 126 only ranks him sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Haas Boy silks
Haas Boy
Age 9 · 10-12
22611-
114
114
113
9
10-12
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 5/1 8/1
Back-to-back winners last time out and two starts back, but he returns after 196 days off and carries 152 lb, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Dr T J Eckleburg silks
Dr T J Eckleburg
Age 8 · 10-7
63330-
109
104
121
8
10-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in his last five and off a 185-day break, he was unplaced last time out, though a third two starts back, another three starts back and a third again four starts back show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and going, but 147 lb makes this a hard ask, and he is seventh of nine on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 104 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Gower Prince silks
Gower Prince FAV
Age 8 · 10-2
2-2122
104
116
106
8
10-2
★★★★☆
—
4/1 3/1 10/3
Gower Prince has been in the frame throughout, with a second last time out, another second two starts back and a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip. Even so, our figures rank him last of nine, and 142 lb is a stiff burden to carry.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Ooh Betty 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 — 7/1 Bet365
1 Norn Iron 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
2 Glengouly 14/1 open 7.00 18/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.50 18/1 Paddy Power
4 Stream of Stars 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Faivoir 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 26.00 11/1 Bet365
6 No Ordinary Joe 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Paddy Power
7 Welsh Charger 4/1 open 11.00 7/2 open 11.00 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 10.00 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 Bet365
8 Haas Boy 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 Paddy Power
9 Dr T J Eckleburg 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Gower Prince 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gower Prince

Live signal

Gower Prince owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Benjamin Macey(5)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Norn Iron

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Harry Derham
✓ Value Signal

No Ordinary Joe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Robert Stephens
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Gower Prince
66.3 4/1
2 1. Norn Iron
65.4 3/1
3 7. Welsh Charger
61.7 4/1
4 4. Stream of Stars
60.4 6/1
5 8. Haas Boy
57.1 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Norn Iron
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 8 · 12-0
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 129 🐾 —

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 8 · 11-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 8 · 10-2
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 116 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 11 · 11-12
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 9 · 10-12
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 11 · 11-11
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 10 · 12-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 10-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Norn Iron
Confidence: Speculative

Norn Iron (SR 129, 11/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by at least 11 points over Stream of Stars (SR 118), and that SR advantage is the clearest ability edge in the race. The market has backed this view emphatically — a 14% inward move signals informed money. Despite carrying top-weight of 12-0, the SR gap over rivals is wide enough that the weight burden is manageable, and trainer Harry Derham (20% strike rate from 227 runners) is a competent handler. The form string 23112- shows consistency at a high level before last season's break, and coming back fresh is no barrier for this type. The only concern is the dual DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags meaning no confirmed suitability to today's trip or going — but the sheer class differential makes Norn Iron the call. Each-way alternative: Gower Prince. Main danger: Welsh Charger — Welsh Charger (SR 113, 5/1) has steamed in 45% in the market — the biggest move in the field — and carries a favourable 11-7, making him the horse connections most believe has a live each-way or winning chance despite modest recent form figures.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are unconfirmed (?), meaning there is no evidence Norn Iron handles today's specific trip or going at Chepstow — a material unknown for a horse returning from a seasonal bre…
  • Form string ends with a dash (23112-) indicating last season closed on a non-completion or absence; at age 8 returning fresh with top-weight 12-0, fitness on reappearance is a genuine question, not j…
  • Gower Prince (SR 116, 7/2, 4-star rating) has recent form 2-2122, ran just 21 days ago so is race-fit, and has drifted only 13% out — a fitter rival at a competitive price who could exploit any first…
  • Paul O'Brien's 14% strike rate from 368 rides is modest, and carrying 12-0 — the joint-highest weight in the field — at Chepstow, a stiff track that tests stamina, compounds the fitness and weight do…
Shortlist Norn Iron, Gower Prince, Welsh Charger, Haas Boy
Each-way: Gower Prince Danger: Welsh Charger

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m0f16y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade