Carthusian arrives in cracking form, having won last time out and again two starts back, and he's fresh enough after just 14 days off. He has run over today's trip and on this going before, and our rating of 86 makes him the one to beat, though 169 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6797411
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR86RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Klycot is yet to win in his last five starts, though he finished third last time out and a second four starts back shows some ability. Returning after 215 days at 168 lb, he looks unexposed and open to improvement.
Form last 672503-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Arc Zoosve won four on the bounce before going unplaced last time out, and he has run over today's trip, but 106 days off and 167 lb on an official rating of 79 make this a stiff ask; our rating of 76 has him seventh of twelve.
Form last 6511110
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR76RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-up just eight days after his last run, Aggagio has run over today's trip and going before and posted a third three starts back, while our rating of 86 ranks him second of twelve. The risk is a 162 lb burden and an unplaced effort last time out.
Form last 64-5360
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR86RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Solar Pass has run to a second three times in her last six starts and has experience over today's trip and going, while our rating of 80 ranks her fourth of 12; the risk is two straight seventh-placed efforts, most recently 18 days ago.
Form last 6522277
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR80RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mr Freedom is a solid player on consistency, with a fourth last time out and another fourth two starts back, and he returns fresh enough after just 10 days. He has run on today's going before and our rating ranks him third of twelve, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
Form last 6358544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR83RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rogue Empire arrives fit after 22 days, a fourth last time out and a third two starts back following a hat-trick of wins, and he has run over today's trip. A weight of 160 lb and a ninth three starts back temper things, with our rating of 77 placing him fifth of twelve.
Form last 6111934
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR77RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Poncho won two starts back but was unplaced last time out, and he returns after 281 days off, so fitness is the question; he has run over today's trip and our rating of 76 ranks him sixth of twelve, though 158 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 682910-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR77RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Division Day has two wins in his last five and was third last time out, but he is hard to fancy carrying 156 lb off an official mark of 68 after 37 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our figures still rank him 11th of 12.
Form last 62-1513
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR69RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Easter Icon has tailed off since back-to-back wins, finishing a seventh two starts back and a sixth last time out, and he returns after 44 days under a hefty 153 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him tenth of 12.
Form last 6/11-76
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
42SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kotari showed a bit of promise when second last time out, 16 days ago, and has run on today's going, but he is yet to win in his last five starts and the fifth, sixth, fourth and fifth before that suggest limits. Carrying 150 lb off 62, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 76 ranking him eighth of twelve.
Form last 654-652
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR76RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fair Dinkum is yet to win in his last six starts, finishing fifth last time out and fourth, third, fourth, second and fifth before that, so he is hard to fancy at 150 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, though, and our rating of 72 sits well above his official 62.
Form last 6524345
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR72RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Carthusian owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Jennie CandlishSean Quinlan
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Klycot
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Richard Bandey✓ Value Signal
Easter Icon
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Gary Brown◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Klycot (SR:78, 5/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the field and is steaming into the market with an 18% move inward — significant money arriving without obvious explanation suggests connections are confident. At 12-0 it carries 1lb less than top-weight Carthusian (SR:84, 12-1) and crucially avoids the going concern that dogs Carthusian (GoingFit:-) on this good-to-soft surface. Trainer Richard Bandey runs a tight ship with a 9% strike rate from only 78 runners — horses he targets in spots like this tend to be primed. The form string 72503- shows a horse that has been inconsistent but the market money arriving strongly on today's ground conditions suggests a switch in fortunes is anticipated.
Each-way alternative: Aggagio.
Main danger: Carthusian — Carthusian carries the highest SR in the field at 84 and won last time out (form ending in 1), and despite the GoingFit:- and 18% drift, Sean Quinlan is a highly capable pilot who could compensate for the ground concern if the pace suits over 2m.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 72503- shows no win in the last 5 completed starts, with a dash (fell/unseated?) on most recent run — no evidence of a return to form yet.
Trainer Richard Bandey's 9% strike rate from only 78 runners is thin, and no days-since-last-run figure suggests an unknown layoff — condition and racefitness are unverified.
Arc Zoosve (SR:75) has a hot recent form string of 511110 and trainer Neil King hits 22% — a sharper rival despite lower rating, and has course form (W1P1) Klycot lacks.
Klycot's 18% market move inward sounds significant, but Aggagio is steaming in 28% and Mr Freedom 22% — the money is spread across multiple runners, diluting Klycot's market signal.