Our pick on overall profile despite a winless recent run, Northern Ruler has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 79 puts him second of 12 off an official 68; a 93-day break is the reservation, while he carries 140 lb from stall six.
Form last 670900-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR79RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Senna's Girl arrives fit after 11 days and a third last time out, with her going experience in her favour, and our rating of 75 ranks her third of 12 from stall five. The risk is that she is yet to win in her last six starts and carries 140 lb.
Form last 6430573
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR75RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Vlhova bounced between two seconds four and five starts back, and she is fit after 20 days off, with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating has her top of the 12, but she is unplaced in her last three outings, which is the main concern.
Form last 622-000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR80RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Killyclogher Rose was unplaced last time out and a sixth two starts back, so the form has tailed off since a win three starts back, and 50 days off the track doesn't help. She has run over today's trip and is rated 66 by us, ninth of 12, so hard to fancy under 139 lb from stall 10.
Form last 63-5160
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR66RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Solomon Coop was fifth last time out after 25 days off, but he's been unplaced in his four starts before that, so he's yet to win in recent form. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 69 sits above his official 65, yet 137 lb from stall one leaves little margin.
Form last 6000-05
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR69RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Guy's Girl won last time out, but that sits among a patchy run of a sixth, two unplaced efforts, a third and another sixth before it, and 136 lb from stall eight is a hefty burden. She has run over today's trip and is fit after 25 days, yet our rating of 65 ranks her eleventh of twelve.
Form last 6630061
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unplaced last time out after a third two starts back, this gelding has won once in his last six starts, a fifth start back. He has run on today's going and returns after 20 days, but he carries 135 lb from draw 4 and our rating of 68 ranks him eighth of twelve.
Form last 6315630
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR68RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Back quickly after seven days, Rhythm King has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 72 ranks him fourth of 12 despite an official 62 and a ninth last time out. The risk is a winless run in his last five starts, with no finish better than a sixth.
Form last 600-609
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR72RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sylkie has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows some ability, but she's unplaced in her last two and returns after 33 days. Our rating of 70 sits well above her official 60, though 132 lb from stall nine is a stiff ask.
Form last 6734-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR70RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Love Orchid is winless in her last six, though a third two starts back and a second three starts back show she can get involved, and she has run on today's going before. A sixth last time out and a yard struggling at 1/27 hold her back, with 131 lb from stall 7 to carry.
Form last 6640236
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Espritroyale is hard to fancy after back-to-back ninth-place finishes, and she is winless in her last six, though a pair of seconds three and four starts back show some ability. She has run over today's trip and going, but 130 lb from stall 12 is a big ask, and our rating of 65 ranks her tenth of twelve.
Form last 6652299
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five and beaten into ninth last time out, Pure Granite is hard to fancy, though a fourth two starts back is his best recent effort. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after four days, but our figures rank him last of twelve.
Form last 6006-49
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR53RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Guy's Girl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2W. McCreeryAdam Grant
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Love Orchid
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Noel Meade✓ Value Signal
Solomon Coop
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · M J Tynan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rhythm King (SR:58, 8/1, Wgt:9-8) is the most compelling case in this field of moderate ability. The 17% market move inward is the strongest steaming signal in the race and cannot be ignored — money is coming for a horse that has course form (W0P1 at Naas) and a GoingFit:~ on soft, giving it a meaningful edge over rivals who have no soft-ground evidence at all. At 9-8 it carries 12lb less than the three top-weights (Northern Ruler, Senna's Girl, Vlhova) and is fresh off just 7 days' rest suggesting a stable targeting this spot. Trainer Mark Fahey hits at 13%, the best strike rate of any yard represented, and the -16 mark drop from last win gives handicapper room to manoeuvre.
Each-way alternative: Espritroyale.
Main danger: Guy's Girl — Guy's Girl (SR:64, 3/1) is the joint-highest SR in the field and won last time out (form ending in 1) off 9-10, giving her a live chance despite drifting 19% — the visor (v) was worn at the last win so connections clearly have a formula, and if the market drift is simply a result of the apprentice booking rather than stable uncertainty, she could easily dominate at the top of the ability range.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 00-609 — that '9' finish (last of finishers) is the most recent run, suggesting the horse is in a downward spiral rather than a resurgence, despite the mark drop.
GoingFit is '~' (unknown/unproven), not a confirmed soft-ground performer; the analyst's claim of a 'meaningful soft edge' over rivals is overstated with no solid evidence.
Course form is W0P1 — a single place at Naas with no win; Killyclogher Rose has an actual course win (W1P1) at 14/1, making the course form argument cut against Rhythm King rather than for it.
At 8/1, Rhythm King is materially bigger than market leaders Guy's Girl (3/1) and Senna's Girl (5/1), both carrying SR:60-64; the 17% steam still leaves it a mid-priced outsider in a race where two h…
ShortlistRhythm King, Guy's Girl, Espritroyale, Love Orchid