Jasko des Dames signed off with a second last time out, a step up on a fifth and a fourth before that, and has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner, he is yet to win in recent form and has been off 64 days, but 138 against an official 131 makes him the one to beat.
Form last 6054-52
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
122SR138RPR131OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Birdie Or Bust arrives off a fourth last time out, and a third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 130 ranks her second of eight. The main risk is an 87-day break, with 161 lb to carry, and she is yet to win in her last five.
Form last 629P-34
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR130RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fifth last time out and a winner three starts back, Crowsatedappletart has run over today's trip and going, but he's finished sixth and fifth since and returns after 34 days under 158 lb. Our rating of 116 leaves him fifth of eight.
Form last 676-165
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR116RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Drumgill is back quickly after just eight days and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 127 ranks him third of eight and sits above his official 118, so he is a leading danger. The main risk is a lack of confidence after unseating last time, with 153 lb to carry and yet to win in his last six.
Form last 683450U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR127RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, Cappa Hill is hard to fancy despite a third last time out, as a ninth and a fifth either side of a fourth show how patchy he has been. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 21 days, but 149 lb is a big ask.
Form last 6-75493
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
108SR114RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hard to fancy at the foot of our figures, ranked eighth of eight despite a rating of 113, and he shoulders 147 lb off an official mark of 112. Still, a second last time out and a third before that, with a win three starts back, suggest he's in good heart after 11 days off, and he has run over this trip and going.
Form last 65-1132
★AI Rating★★★★☆
119SR113RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Typical Thomas has run over today's trip and on this going, and our 121 puts him fourth of eight, comfortably clear of his official mark of 107 off 142 lb. The risk is stark: he is winless in his last five, with a fourth two starts back his best finish.
Form last 668-940
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR121RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out, with a third two starts back and another third three starts back, Piccolo Player is consistent but yet to win in his last five, and he returns after 41 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, though 140 lb is a burden and our rating of 115 ranks him sixth of eight.
Form last 6-56334
★AI Rating★★★★☆
110SR115RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jasko des Dames owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Henry de BromheadDarragh O'Keeffe
79%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mic Drop
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · David M O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Typical Thomas
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · James Andrew Fahey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jasko des Dames (SR:122, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries 11-12 — a significant burden, but the GoingFit:+ confirms this going suits, which is critical in a 2m1f140y chase. Henry de Bromhead's yard fires at 16% strike rate with 2,367 runners of experience, and within the stable the booking of Darragh O'Keeffe rather than the higher-profile Harry Cobden (on stablemate Birdie Or Bust) is notable — Cobden is typically reserved for the yard's A-string, but Birdie Or Bust's DistFit:- and GoingFit:- undermine that booking heavily, suggesting Jasko is the live contender here. The form 054-52 is not spectacular, but the 2 last time out on good ground ties directly to today's conditions and the SR:122 advantage over nearest rival Mic Drop (SR:119) is meaningful in this grade.
Each-way alternative: Mic Drop.
Main danger: Mic Drop — Mic Drop (SR:119, 4/1) shows a form sequence of 5-1132 with two consecutive placings and a win three runs back, carries a light 10-7, has GoingFit:+ confirming the ground suits, and despite drifting 8% the SR:119 and strong recent form make it the most credible threat at a competitive price.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Carries 11-12 — a 5lb+ penalty over Mic Drop (10-7) and 13lb over Piccolo Player (10-0); in a 2m1f chase that weight gap is a concrete physical disadvantage against fresher rivals.
Mic Drop's form reads 5-1132 with a MarkMv of +11 and only 11 days since last run — horse is clearly in form and on the upgrade, making the SR gap of just 3 points look insufficient given the weight…
64 days off the track for Jasko des Dames; O'Keeffe's 13% strike rate is meaningfully below Cobden's 22%, and the stable's own second string here is a yellow flag on confidence level within the yard.
Form 054-52 contains two defeats (5th, 4th) at this sort of level and the recent '2' was a runner-up — no win in the last five outings raises questions about whether the rating advantage converts to…
ShortlistJasko des Dames, Mic Drop, Piccolo Player, Cappa Hill