Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Hurdle · 3m0f50y
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dad Sez | 11/10 open 4.50 | 1/1 open 3.00 | 10/11 open 4.50 | 10/11 open 4.50 | evn open 3.25 | evn open 4.50 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 2 Hi Ho Idaho | 10/3 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 Siege Of Carthage | 7/1 open 12.00 | 6/1 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Minella Emperor | 6/5 open 1.67 | 5/4 open 2.63 | 6/5 open 1.67 | 6/5 open 1.67 | 5/4 open 2.10 | 6/5 open 1.67 | 5/4 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dad Sez owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dad Sez (SR:130, 5/2) leads the field on ability and carries the same weight as Hi Ho Idaho (SR:129) at 11-10, so there is no meaningful weight penalty to overcome. The critical signal here is the Mkt:in19% move — a 19% market compression in a four-runner novice hurdle is significant and suggests stable confidence from the Gordon Elliott yard, one of the premier National Hunt operations. Elliott's 18% strike rate across 4,069 runners is the strongest training record in this field by some distance. The form figure '2' last time out is solid for a novice at this level, and the unseating (U) earlier in the sequence is a single incident rather than a pattern of jumping problems. Each-way alternative: Hi Ho Idaho. Main danger: Hi Ho Idaho — Hi Ho Idaho (SR:129, 10/3) has also been supported in the market (Mkt:in10%) and the tongue-tie application (HG:t) suggests connections believe there is more to come from this horse, making it a live each-way threat if Dad Sez fails to settle over the stamina-testing 3m trip.