Three unplaced runs on the bounce are a concern, but this gelding has had 28 days to reset, has run over today's trip and sits second on our figures at 102 against an official 97, so he rates a leading danger from stall two; the risk is whether his latest form has really turned.
Form last 624-000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR103RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Our ratings have The Strikin Viking third of 14 at 102, and he has run over today's trip and going, with a 29-day break since his last run. The main risk is a form line reading seventh, ninth, sixth and fifth, leaving him winless in his last five starts.
Form last 6-05697
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR102RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Caburn is our top-rated runner, with a 108 rating well clear of his official 96, and he has run over today's trip and going before, 22 days after his last outing. He is yet to win in his last six starts, but a fourth two starts back shows he can go close from draw 11.
Form last 6830640
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR108RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Deep Havana won two starts back and had four seconds before that, so he's firmly in the picture, and he has run over today's trip. The risk is an unplaced run last time out, though 22 days' rest and our rating of 99 (fourth of 14) back his claims from stall three.
Form last 6222210
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR99RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Midnight Thunder was eighth last time out but is a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, returning after 24 days. Yet to win in his last five, he carries 137 lb from draw 6, though our rating of 98 ranks him fifth of 14.
Form last 640-528
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR98RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Collecting Coin was fifth last time out after a second two starts back and a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb from stall nine off a 29-day break, he looks a solid midfield type, though our rating of 92 only ranks him sixth of 14.
Form last 6306125
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jungle Drums has run over today's trip and on this going, and a win four starts back is the highlight, though he has been unplaced last time out and a fourth, two starts back, and another fourth, three starts back, show he is yet to get his head in front again. Carrying 131 lb from draw 10 off an official mark of 88, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 89 ranking him tenth of 14.
Form last 6051440
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR89RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last six, Sudden Flight has been a consistent sort, with three seconds in that spell, though he has finished fifth in his last two outings after 22 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 89 sits above his official 85, but he has to defy 128 lb from stall 14.
Form last 6222055
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bone Marra arrives in sound form, third last time out and third two starts back, with a win four starts back, and he has run over today's trip after a 23-day break. Carrying 127 lb off an official mark of 85 from draw 8, he has yet to get his head in front in his last two runs, and our rating ranks him only eighth of 14.
Form last 6201233
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Brosay is hard to fancy, winless in his last six and only sixth last time out, with a pair of ninths further back, though he was second two and three starts back and is back quickly after ten days. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 89 ranks him just eleventh of 14.
Form last 6099226
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR89RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten into seventh last time out, Dream Composer was a third two starts back and a winner five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 22 days off. Our rating of 92 sits above his official 83, though 126 lb from stall 12 leaves little margin for error.
Form last 6715437
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR92RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Beaten into eighth last time and unplaced the start before, Justcallmepete has slipped since winning five starts back, and a fourth three starts back is his best recent effort. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 85 ranks him 12th of 14, so he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6315408
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR85RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winner last time out and second two starts back, so the form is hardly poor, and he has run over today's trip and going after 18 days off. Even so, our figures rank him 14th of 14, which makes him hard to fancy from stall 5 off 118 lb.
Form last 6416621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR78RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
From The Hip is hard to fancy on our figures, ranked 13th of 14 despite a second last time out, and he was eighth two starts back after a win three starts back. Back in six days, he has run over today's trip and going, but carries 118 lb from draw 4.
Form last 61-3182
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR79RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Deep Havana owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Hamad Al JehaniJames Doyle
81%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bone Marra
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Ollie Sangster✓ Value Signal
Dream Composer
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Tony Carroll◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Deep Havana (SR 97, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class, bringing a proven distance record (DistFit:+) and the most experienced jockey booking — James Doyle at 21% strike rate from 1,208 career rides. The form string 222210 shows consistent placed efforts at a higher level, and at 9-12 the weight is manageable given the SR advantage. As Hamad Al Jehani's yard has two runners, the James Doyle booking over Tom Marquand on The Strikin Viking (SR 80) is a clear yard-signal that Deep Havana is the stable's first string. The only caveat is the GoingFit:? — unproven on good-to-soft — but the class drop and SR lead compensate.
Each-way alternative: Bone Marra.
Main danger: Bone Marra — Bone Marra (SR 96, 9/2) is almost the equal of Deep Havana on SR, carries 9-1 versus 9-12 — an 11lb weight concession — has a proven distance record (DistFit:+), a gentle market support (Mkt:in8%), and Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate gives it every chance of reversing any going disadvantage.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:? is a real liability at Goodwood in October — good-to-soft is highly likely and Deep Havana has no proven form on it, while Bone Marra (SR 96, joint-favourite) carries HG:t, suggesting turf…
Bone Marra is joint-favourite at 9/2 with an 8% market move IN, a younger 3yo with fresher legs and SR only 1 point behind — the market is not conceding Deep Havana any superiority despite the SR hea…
Form string 222210 — the sole win (the '1') came at lower class; all placed efforts are seconds and thirds, raising a pattern-of-defeat concern: this horse may be a serial runner-up rather than a win…
Collecting Coin (SR 90) has shown a +10 mark move and a recent winning form figure ('5,1,2,5' trend improving), with a lighter weight of 9-6 vs Deep Havana's 9-12 — a 6lb swing that partially neutral…
ShortlistDeep Havana, Bone Marra, Collecting Coin, Caburn