Goodwood 14:57 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m1f11y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lots Road (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Ralph Beckett
    15/2
  2. 7/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Zarak Crown silks
Zarak Crown FAV
Age 2 · 9-9
41
79
83
76
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 32/17 31/19
Zarak Crown won last time out, after a fourth two starts back, and returns fresh after 24 days with experience of both today's trip and the going, making him a leading danger from draw 2. The main risk is the 135 lb on his back, with his official mark of 79 likely to be tested after that win.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Wise And Wonderful silks
Wise And Wonderful
Age 2 · 9-5
421020
75
83
81
2
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 4/1 13/2
Fit after 18 days off, she was second two starts back and won four starts back, and our rating of 81 ranks her second of eight from stall one; the main risk is that she was unplaced last time out and carries 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Cloud Chorus silks
Cloud Chorus
Age 2 · 9-5
072
75
74
81
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/3 13/2
Cloud Chorus bounces back from a seventh two starts ago with a second last time out, and she returns fresh after 30 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 131 lb from draw 8, she is yet to win in her last three starts, but she looks a sound pick on profile.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Under Arrest silks
Under Arrest
Age 2 · 9-3
553
73
65
68
2
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 7/1
Under Arrest is yet to win in his last three, a third last time out following a fifth two starts back and another fifth three starts back, and 129 lb after 38 days off is a lot to ask. Our rating of 68 ranks him seventh of eight, so he is hard to fancy, though a third last time offers some encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Isabella de Vega silks
Isabella de Vega
Age 2 · 8-13
338
69
77
74
2
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 11/1 5/1
Isabella de Vega arrives fresh enough after 23 days, having finished a third two starts back and a third three starts back before an eighth last time out, yet she is winless in her last three. Our rating of 74 is a few pounds above her official 69, but fifth of eight in our ranking says she is a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Cashinoroyale silks
Cashinoroyale
Age 2 · 8-12
42
68
55
58
2
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 7/1 16/1
Yet to win in his last two starts, Cashinoroyale was second last time out and a fourth two starts back, and he returns after 18 days having run over today's trip and going before. Still, our 58 ranks him last of eight, and 124 lb from stall 3 off an official 68 makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Persian Land silks
Persian Land
Age 2 · 8-12
267204
68
54
84
2
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 22/1 33/1
Persian Land comes in fourth last time out, 15 days ago, and was second three starts back, having also run to that level six starts back, while he has previously run on today's going. Our rating of 84 tops the eight-runner field, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and the yard is 0/20 in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Lots Road silks
Lots Road
Age 2 · 8-12
865
68
67
68
2
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 6/1 4/1
Lots Road is winless in his last three, though a fifth last time out, after a sixth two starts back and an eighth three starts back, shows him heading the right way. He has run on today's going and is fresh after 22 days, but carrying 124 lb from stall 7 he looks a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Zarak Crown 15/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.88 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
2 Wise And Wonderful 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 Coral
3 Cloud Chorus 7/1 open 4.33 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 15/2 Paddy Power
4 Under Arrest 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 Paddy Power
5 Isabella de Vega 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 17.00 11/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 5/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 Betfred
6 Cashinoroyale 16/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 Paddy Power
7 Persian Land 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Lots Road 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zarak Crown

Speculative

Zarak Crown owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Richard & Peter Fahey James Doyle
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Wise And Wonderful

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Persian Land

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · David Evans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Zarak Crown
56.9 15/8
2 2. Wise And Wonderful
52.4 13/2
3 5. Isabella de Vega
52.4 11/2
4 3. Cloud Chorus
47.6 7/1
5 8. Lots Road
47.6 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Wise And Wonderful
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 8-12
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 8-13
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-5
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 8-12
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Wise And Wonderful
Confidence: Speculative

Wise And Wonderful (SR:83, 5/1) ties for the highest SR in the field alongside Zarak Crown but carries 4lb less at 9-5 versus 9-9, a meaningful weight edge in a Class 4 nursery on Good to Soft ground. Critically, the market has shortened 8% — money coming for a horse trained by Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 3091 runners) and ridden by Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate, 2760 runners), the two strongest connections in the race by both volume and strike rate. The drop of two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) is the most significant class relief in the field and explains why this horse is well-treated at a mark 3lb above last win — easier company should allow those pounds to be absorbed. The form 421020 shows inconsistency but the last figure (0) in unfavourable circumstances may not represent the horse's ceiling; the class drop into softer opposition is the key catalyst. Each-way alternative: Isabella de Vega. Main danger: Zarak Crown — Zarak Crown matches Wise And Wonderful on SR:83, is the market leader at 9/4 with James Doyle booked (21% strike rate), and the drop in class (↓1) alongside recent form of 41 suggests a horse returning to form — the weight burden of 9-9 is the only real concern separating it from the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form 421020 includes a '0' last time out — that's a non-completion or last-place finish just 18 days ago, and returning so quickly after a poor run on likely similar Good to Soft ground raises questi…
  • Isabella de Vega has drifted in 52% in the market — far more significant money than Wise And Wonderful's 8% move — suggesting the market's real confidence sits elsewhere in this field.
  • Zarak Crown holds exactly the same SR:83 with only 2 runs (form 41), suggesting a still-improving 2yo with unexposed form, while Wise And Wonderful's 6-run form already shows the ceiling and inconsis…
  • Running mark is 3lb above last winning mark (MarkMv:+3) — the class drop may help but the official handicapper has adjusted upward, meaning Wise And Wonderful must outrun its current rating to justif…
Shortlist Wise And Wonderful, Zarak Crown, Isabella de Vega, Lots Road
Each-way: Isabella de Vega Danger: Zarak Crown

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1f11y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Goodwood Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade