Dragonbet / Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m0f16y
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lion Rose Sivola | 6/4 open 2.63 | 11/10 open 2.25 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 11/8 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 13/8 Coral |
| 2 Gili Island | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Mwabani | 9/4 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 One Cool Kid | 7/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 5 On Subs | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Skibidirizz | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lion Rose Sivola owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (90) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mwabani (SR:125, 7/4) is the standout selection driven by a decisive market signal: a 31% inward move since opening, the strongest positive drift in this field by a wide margin. In a novice hurdle where all horses lack jumps form (all DistFit:? and GoingFit:?), form lines from the flat/bumpers are the key differentiator, and Mwabani's consistent 2-2-2 sequence shows a horse that repeatedly runs to a high level without winning — classic 'ready to convert' profile. Jane Williams (16% strike rate, 148 runners) is a respected trainer at this level and Ciaran Gethings (11%, 436 runners) is a reliable pilot. The market move from a presumably rational opening price of around 2/9 to 7/4 tells us informed money is firmly on this horse. Each-way alternative: Skibidirizz. Main danger: Skibidirizz — Skibidirizz (SR:152, 10/3) has the second-highest SR in the field, carries Harry Skelton in the saddle — a 26% career strike-rate jockey and the yard's clear number-one booking — and Dan Skelton's 22% trainer strike rate makes this a formidable combination that only a modest 10% drift prevents from topping the shortlist.