Chepstow 13:27 RESULTED
Class 3 11 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m3f100y

Official Result

Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Divine Diva (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    7/1
  2. 4/6F
  3. 16/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Chepstow

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kamille Au Kanada silks
Kamille Au Kanada
Age 6 · 11-6
/142-1
—
153
—
6
11-6
★★★★☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Bath Taverness silks
Bath Taverness
Age 5 · 11-0
05-1U
—
127
—
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 50/1 66/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Connells Cross silks
Connells Cross
Age 5 · 11-0
211-
—
155
—
5
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
16/1 17/2 16/1
SR 155 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 155 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Divine Diva silks
Divine Diva
Age 5 · 11-0
1/30-
—
153
—
5
11-0
★★★★☆
—
5/1 11/4 9/2
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Midnight Doyen silks
Midnight Doyen
Age 6 · 11-0
5354-
—
137
—
6
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
25/1 33/1 22/1
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Princess Day silks
Princess Day FAV
Age 5 · 11-0
1/110-
—
165
—
5
11-0
★★★★☆
—
4/6 4/5 2/3
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Walkinthemournes silks
Walkinthemournes
Age 5 · 11-0
1-
—
148
—
5
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 17/2 12/1
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kamille Au Kanada 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
2 Bath Taverness 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
3 Connells Cross 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Bet365
4 Divine Diva 5/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 Bet365
5 Midnight Doyen 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Princess Day 4/6 open 2.00 8/11 open 1.80 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 Paddy Power
7 Walkinthemournes 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Princess Day

High conviction

Princess Day owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (92) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/6 Jeremy Scott Lorcan Williams
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kamille Au Kanada

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Anthony Honeyball
✓ Value Signal

Midnight Doyen

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Jeremy Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +34.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Princess Day
74.7 4/6
2 1. Kamille Au Kanada
72.1 5/1
3 4. Divine Diva
67.0 5/1
4 7. Walkinthemournes
61.9 12/1
5 3. Connells Cross
60.6 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Princess Day
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 5 · 11-0
4/6
★★★★☆ SR 165 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 6 · 11-6
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 5 · 11-0
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 5 · 11-0
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾 —

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-0
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 155 🐾 —

SR 155 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Princess Day
Confidence: Medium

Princess Day (SR 165, 4/5) is the clear class leader in this field — her SR sits 10 points clear of the next-best Connells Cross (SR 155) and 12 points above Kamille Au Kanada and Divine Diva (both SR 153). Crucially, she owns Course:W1P1 at Chepstow and GoingFit:+ confirming she handles today's good-to-soft conditions, two alignment signals no rival can match. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) means she meets a significantly weaker field than her recent assignments, and Jeremy Scott's yard clearly favours her as the #1 runner given the superior jockey booking of Lorcan Williams over Rex Dingle on stablemate Midnight Doyen. The market drift of 12% is worth noting but she remains the 4/5 favourite, and in a small 7-runner novice field with this degree of class superiority plus confirmed course and going credentials, the drift likely reflects a 185-day absence rather than any fundamental concern. Each-way alternative: Kamille Au Kanada. Main danger: Connells Cross — Connells Cross leads the field on SR (155) excluding Princess Day, has the tongue-tie retained from a recent '211-' form sequence that includes two victories, and at 11/1 offers genuine place value if Princess Day underperforms on her first run in 185 days.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 185-day absence is a significant fitness question — Jeremy Scott's yard strikes at only 15%, giving limited confidence they reliably have horses ready first run back after a long break.
  • Market drifted 12% despite being a short-priced favourite in a 7-runner novice field; meaningful drift at this price level in a small field is a sharper signal than dismissed, especially with Midnigh…
  • Divine Diva (SR 153, Dan/Harry Skelton 22%/26% strike rates) also returns from 185 days but with a vastly superior trainer-jockey combination — Skelton's operation is far more adept at producing hors…
  • Form reading '1/110-' means her last completed run was a defeat (the trailing dash), and with a slash indicating a season gap earlier, her record shows vulnerability when returning from layoffs.
Shortlist Princess Day, Kamille Au Kanada, Connells Cross, Divine Diva
Each-way: Kamille Au Kanada Danger: Connells Cross

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m3f100y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade