Friends Of Castlemagner LGFA Rated Novice Steeplechase · 2m1f140y
SR 82 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Rosenborg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Chosen Shant | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Phoenix Arizona | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Claude | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Moylussa | evn open 3.50 | 1/1 open 3.25 | 10/11 open 3.50 | 10/11 open 3.75 | evn open 3.50 | 10/11 open 3.50 | evn Bet365 |
| 5 Ned In The Park | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Nobody | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Pralognan | 11/2 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 15.00 | 5/1 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 5/1 open 13.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Seven Towers | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Seven Towers owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Moylussa (SR 119, 13/8) is the class leader among the realistic contenders and carries a favourable 11-6 with GoingFit:+ confirming suitability for today's good ground — the only horse in the field with a confirmed positive going record. The 27% market support (Mkt:in27%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race and comes with a top-class jockey booking in Darragh O'Keeffe (13%, 1929 career runners), who would not be taking a random low-grade novice ride without reason. The form string 7-3326 shows progressive improvement — the 3326 sequence on the right suggests the horse is placing consistently and narrowing the gap. At 13/8 it is not a generous price, but the combination of SR leadership over realistic rivals, confirmed going preference, strong money, and elite jockey makes it the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Pralognan. Main danger: Seven Towers — Despite the 35% market drift, Seven Towers carries the highest SR in the field at 154 — a significant ability edge — and GoingFit:+ means the ground is no obstacle; if the drift is noise rather than information, raw class could dominate.