Killarney 17:05 RESULTED
5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Spin Southwest Maiden

Spin Southwest Maiden · 1m3f50y

Official Result

Spin Southwest Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ballybawn Belter (IRE) Seamie Heffernan · Liz Doyle
    4/1
  2. 7/2
  3. 9/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Killarney

13:00–17:05 · 8 races

Yarmouth

13:15–16:40 · 7 races

Pontefract

13:30–17:33 · 9 races

Stratford

13:41–16:35 · 6 races

Fairyhouse

13:55–17:25 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:10–20:15 · 9 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:26–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Footstepstoglory silks
Footstepstoglory
Age 5 · 9-9
960
—
137
—
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 16/1 14/1
SR 137 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 137 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Guitar Star silks
Guitar Star
Age 4 · 9-9
—
—
125
—
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 18/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Joe Cool silks
Joe Cool
Age 4 · 9-9
-22409
72
80
72OR
4
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
5/2
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Navy Guitar silks
Navy Guitar
Age 7 · 9-9
58
—
143
—
7
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Ballybawn Belter silks
Ballybawn Belter
Age 8 · 9-4
26
—
152
—
8
9-4
★★★★☆
—
7/2 5/2 7/2
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Blue Nasturtium silks
Blue Nasturtium
Age 4 · 9-4
453
70
76
70OR
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 11/4 10/3
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Enchanted Lady silks
Enchanted Lady
Age 4 · 9-4
457970
Ben Coen 11%
A Oliver 11%
61
53
61OR
4
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1 12/1 10/1
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Nogs silks
Nogs
Age 4 · 9-4
—
—
125
—
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 50/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Shemiyka silks
Shemiyka
Age 4 · 9-4
95-349
71
76
71OR
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 9/2 9/4
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Tears I Nevercried silks
Tears I Nevercried
Age 4 · 9-4
06
—
125
—
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 50/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Footstepstoglory 18/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Guitar Star 22/1 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Joe Cool 5/2 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 11/4 11/4 Paddy Power
4 Navy Guitar 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 10/1 Paddy Power
5 Ballybawn Belter 7/2 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
6 Blue Nasturtium 7/2 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
7 Enchanted Lady 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 Coral
8 Nogs 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Shemiyka 11/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.00 11/4 Bet365
10 Tears I Nevercried 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ballybawn Belter

Live signal

Ballybawn Belter owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Liz Doyle Seamie Heffernan
77% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Navy Guitar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Diego Dias
✓ Value Signal

Nogs

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · M J Byrne
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Ballybawn Belter
70.2 7/2
2 4. Navy Guitar
64.4 9/1
3 1. Footstepstoglory
61.7 -
4 3. Joe Cool
55.9 5/2
5 9. Shemiyka
54.9 11/4
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Ballybawn Belter
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-4
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 9-4
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 4 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 9-9
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾 —

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-4
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ballybawn Belter
Confidence: Speculative

Ballybawn Belter carries the highest SR in the field at 152 — a clear 9-point edge over the next-best Navy Guitar (SR:143) — and is 5lb lighter than Navy Guitar at 9-4, compounding the advantage. The form reads 26 which, while not spectacular, shows consistent participation at a level well above this maiden grade. Seamie Heffernan's booking is a notable positive signal in a field where most jockeys carry modest career strike rates; he brings meaningful race-reading ability that matters over 1m3f50y. The GoingFit:- is a concern and the 8% drift is noted, but no rival combines an SR remotely close with credible jockey booking and trainer support at this distance. Each-way alternative: Navy Guitar. Main danger: Footstepstoglory — Footstepstoglory (SR:137) ran just yesterday — Days:1 is an unusual pattern that occasionally signals a yard exploiting a specific opportunity — and a 7% market move inward is the only steamer in the field, suggesting informed money despite the recency of its last run.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Liz Doyle strikes at just 6% — well below the field average — and GoingFit is unrecorded ('-'), meaning no confirmed going preference data to validate SR advantage on today's surface.
  • Form reads 26: a second and a sixth, but both runs are recent enough to show this 8-year-old has not actually won, suggesting the high SR reflects ability without a finish rate to match in this maide…
  • Seamie Heffernan's own strike rate here is only 8% (1290 rides), modest for a 'notable positive signal'; Blue Nasturtium's W. J. Lee at 16% (1901 rides) materially outperforms him as a jockey angle.
  • An 8% market drift outward in a maiden at this level is meaningful — money has actively moved away from Ballybawn Belter today, contradicting the notion of trainer/market support.
Shortlist Ballybawn Belter, Navy Guitar, Footstepstoglory, Shemiyka
Each-way: Navy Guitar Danger: Footstepstoglory

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m3f50y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting