Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap · 1m3f50y
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Marjorie Daw | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Femme Beauty | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 15/2 Coral |
| 3 Wie Wunderbar | 10/3 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 Gentle Soda | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Running Point | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Shambata | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 7 Ocean Fire | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Tanzanite Diamond | 8/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Believe Believe | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Chestnut Palace | 10/1 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Shay's Dream | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 William Hill |
| 12 Coilins Girl | 16/1 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Cascade Canyon | 22/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Premier Princess | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Femme Beauty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Believe Believe (SR:70, 7/2, 9-6) is one of only three runners above SR:60 and carries a meaningful weight advantage over Femme Beauty (10-3) and Wie Wunderbar (9-13) — a 7lb and 7lb edge respectively over the two horses with similar SR. The form string 908-21 shows a sharp return to form with back-to-back placings and a win, and the trainer M D O'Callaghan strikes at 12% across 670 runners, a solid yard. Jockey Reese Holohan (2lb claimer, 11% strike rate from 295 rides) retains the claim, meaning the horse effectively carries 9-4 on an adjusted basis, a real bonus in a competitive apprentice handicap. No DistFit or GoingFit data concerns here — the absence of a negative flag is not a red flag, and the market at 7/2 reflects genuine confidence without being over-bet. Each-way alternative: Wie Wunderbar. Main danger: Wie Wunderbar — Wie Wunderbar (SR:73, 7/2, 9-13) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a recent placed form line of 36213 showing consistent progression, trained by the respected Mrs J. Harrington, and though running off a 6lb higher mark, the SR edge over every rival is real and could prove decisive.