Wolverhampton (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 6 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes · 1m4f51y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Caraway (GB) Darragh Keenan · William Haggas
    5/1
  2. 10/1
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Takeitorleaveit silks
Takeitorleaveit
Age 3 · 9-9
212822
65
70
70
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Takeitorleaveit has finished second in two of his last three outings, a second last time out and another two starts back, and he's fit after just 11 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, though carrying 135 lb is a mild concern.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mmmbop silks
Mmmbop
Age 3 · 9-8
53844
64
66
69
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 3/1
Mmmbop heads into this fresh from a fourth last time out, and a fourth two starts back, just 19 days ago, with our rating of 68 ranking her fourth of 11 and sitting above her official 64. The risk is that she's yet to win in her last five starts and carries 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sun Lord silks
Sun Lord
Age 3 · 9-8
3878
64
62
63
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 3/1 7/1
Sun Lord has finished eighth, seventh and eighth in his last three outings, with a third four starts back the best of his recent form, and he returns after 70 days off carrying 134 lb. He has run over today's trip and going before, but he is yet to win in recent starts and our rating of 63 ranks him seventh of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Electrical silks
Electrical
Age 3 · 9-6
-76756
62
46
72
3
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
8/1 12/1 7/1
Electrical tops our ranking at 72, and his 75 speed rating backs that up. He has run over today's trip and is rated 62 officially, though he's yet to win in his last five starts, finishing sixth last time out after 51 days off.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Caraway silks
Caraway
Age 3 · 9-5
613225
61
68
70
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 7/2 6/1
Caraway has hit the frame in four of her last six, with seconds two and three starts back, and she's fit after 19 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 70 ranks her second of eleven, but a fifth last time out and 131 lb are the worry.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Goldfinder silks
Goldfinder
Age 3 · 9-4
442502
60
68
64
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 4/1 5/1
Goldfinder was second last time out and has been placed twice in his last six, though he's yet to win in that spell; he has run over today's trip and going, but 130 lb and a sixth-ranked rating of 64 suggest a midfield finish.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Eze Sur Mer silks
Eze Sur Mer
Age 3 · 9-3
-40660
59
34
61
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 50/1
Eze Sur Mer is hard to fancy, winless in her last five with a fourth five starts back her best finish and sixth twice since. She has run over today's trip and going and returns after 25 days, but 129 lb is a big ask and our rating has her tenth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Electric Gambler silks
Electric Gambler
Age 3 · 9-2
750
58
50
57
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 10/1
Electric Gambler is winless in his last three, finishing unplaced last time out after a fifth and a seventh before that, so he is hard to fancy. He has run on today's going and returns after 26 days, but our rating of 57 ranks him last of 11.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Tinsel silks
Tinsel
Age 3 · 9-2
1-4949
58
57
64
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 15/2 8/1
Tinsel has run over today's trip and going and was a winner five starts back, but he's finished a ninth last time out and a ninth three starts back, so recent form is patchy. Our rating of 64 sits above his official 58, though 128 lb is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
La Kosmos silks
La Kosmos
Age 3 · 9-0
4-7883
56
57
62
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 7/1
La Kosmos is winless in her last five, with two eighths and a seventh in that spell, though a third last time out is a clear step up. She has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 126 lb after 37 days off, she is hard to fancy, ranked ninth of 11 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Alkaios silks
Alkaios
Age 3 · 8-13
59905
55
36
62
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 22/1 16/1
Alkaios was fifth last time out, 25 days ago, and has run over today's trip and on this going, but he's yet to win in his last five starts, with two ninths among them. Our rating of 62 is above his official 55, though carrying 125 lb he looks a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Takeitorleaveit 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
2 Mmmbop 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Sun Lord 7/1 8/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 4.33 15/2 open 4.00 8/1 open 4.00 8/1 Paddy Power
4 Electrical 8/1 open 29.00 9/1 open 34.00 7/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 15.00 9/1 Paddy Power
5 Caraway 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
6 Goldfinder 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Betfred
7 Eze Sur Mer 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
8 Electric Gambler 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Tinsel 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 8/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 Paddy Power
10 La Kosmos 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 Bet365
11 Alkaios 22/1 20/1 open 51.00 16/1 open 41.00 16/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 16/1 open 41.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mmmbop

Speculative

Mmmbop owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Daniel & Claire Kubler Billy Loughnane
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Goldfinder

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Patrick Chamings
✓ Value Signal

Eze Sur Mer

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Dr Richard Newland
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Mmmbop
50.8 7/2
2 6. Goldfinder
48.8 5/1
3 1. Takeitorleaveit
47.9 6/1
4 5. Caraway
47.8 7/1
5 3. Sun Lord
46.8 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Takeitorleaveit
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Takeitorleaveit
Confidence: Speculative

Takeitorleaveit (SR 70, 6/1, 9-9) is the highest-rated horse in this modest Class 6 field and drops a tier in class, which is a meaningful advantage. The 212822 form string shows consistent competitiveness including a pair of runner-up finishes, and Rob Hornby (12% strike rate, 2,077 rides) is a capable booking for Wolverhampton AW. The 14% market drift is a concern and must be acknowledged — however, in a field where every runner has DistFit:? or worse and the going/distance is largely untested across the board, SR leadership of 4+ points over the nearest rivals carries real weight. The class drop (↓1) provides a genuine competitive edge, and the MarkMv:+6 penalty is offset by still being the highest SR in the race. Each-way alternative: Caraway. Main danger: Sun Lord — Sun Lord (SR 62, 9/2) drops a class tier, has had a 70-day break that may have freshened him, and is with Fahey's yard at a price the market has not moved against — Barry McHugh's 9% strike rate is modest but the class relief and fresh legs could see him outrun his rating on the day.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 14% market drift out is a red flag — money has actively moved away from Takeitorleaveit despite the class drop, suggesting connections or market movers see a problem today.
  • MarkMv:+6 penalty means the handicapper has raised the mark 6 points since last run; the SR advantage over Caraway (68) and Goldfinder (68) is now just 2 points, not the comfortable gap it appears pr…
  • Rob Hornby's 12% stable strike rate at Wolverhampton AW is notably below Billy Loughnane (18%) on Mmmbop and Hector Crouch (18%) on Tinsel — jockey edge runs against the pick on this course.
  • Goldfinder holds a Course:W0P1 Wolverhampton record and is priced shorter at 5/1 with no market drift, suggesting track-specific suitability that Takeitorleaveit, wearing headgear (p) with no AW cour…
Shortlist Takeitorleaveit, Caraway, Sun Lord, Tinsel
Each-way: Caraway Danger: Sun Lord

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m4f51y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade