Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m0f3y
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Certainty | 150/1 open 201.00 | 70/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 Coral |
| 2 Endless Quest | 4/6 open 1.91 | 4/6 open 2.25 | 1/2 open 2.20 | 1/2 open 1.91 | 4/7 open 1.91 | 8/13 open 1.91 | 4/6 Bet365 |
| 3 Espressona Signora | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Evening Call | 11/4 | 5/2 open 1.91 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Fourneville | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Moontune | 13/2 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.33 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Tilsworth Emma | 150/1 open 201.00 | 110/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 201.00 | 125/1 open 201.00 | 100/1 open 201.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Evening Call owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Evening Call (SR 156, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying a 4-point SR advantage over next-best Moontune (SR 152) and a 17-point gap on the debutants. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into a Class 4 novice is a significant ease in opposition, and William Haggas (23% strike rate across 2092 runners) is a trainer whose horses rarely drop in class without a purpose. The blinkers (HG:b) applied for the first time suggest connections are sharpening her up following runs of 3 and 8 — those finishes were at a higher level and the headgear switch combined with the class drop reads as a clear winning move. Tom Marquand (16%, 2549 runners) is a reliable booking for a yard going for the race. Each-way alternative: Moontune. Main danger: Endless Quest — A John & Thady Gosden debutante at even money commands market respect — the yard's 24% strike rate means well-backed first-timers from this stable frequently hit the frame, and if Evening Call's blinker application signals a temperament issue the Gosden filly could exploit an inexperienced winner.