Kempton (AW) 18:45 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II) · 6f

Official Result

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mesaafi (GB) Jack Mitchell · Ross Burdon
    5/2F
  2. 17/2
  3. 4/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Killarney

13:00–17:05 · 8 races

Yarmouth

13:15–16:40 · 7 races

Pontefract

13:30–17:33 · 9 races

Stratford

13:41–16:35 · 6 races

Fairyhouse

13:55–17:25 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:10–20:15 · 9 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:26–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Fifty Nifty silks
Fifty Nifty
Age 5 · 9-11
013528
80
80
81
5
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 5/1 7/1
Fifty Nifty was a eighth last time out but a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, back after 16 days. Carrying 137 lb from draw 10, he has one win in his last six, and our rating of 81 ranks him fifth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
French Affair silks
French Affair
Age 3 · 9-11
461135
81
95
87
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 3/1 11/4
French Affair arrives fit after 17 days off, having won two starts in a row before a third and then a fifth last time out, and he has run over today's distance and going before. Our rating of 87 ranks him second of 10, though the slip to fifth last time is the one concern.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mesaafi silks
Mesaafi
Age 5 · 9-9
140037
78
83
83
5
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 4/1 2/1
Mesaafi makes appeal as a danger: he has run over today's trip and on this going, was third two starts back, and our rating of 82 ranks him fourth of ten, though a seventh last time out and 135 lb from draw 5 temper the case after 30 days off.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Wyle Cop silks
Wyle Cop
Age 3 · 9-9
355115
79
54
68
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 10/1 25/1
Wyle Cop won two and three starts back but was only a fifth last time out, and our rating has him ranked tenth of ten, so he's hard to fancy off 135 lb and an official 79. He has run over today's trip and returns after 32 days, but the pace figures offer little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Tyger Bay silks
Tyger Bay
Age 9 · 9-8
192581
77
80
88
9
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 7/2 10/1
Tyger Bay arrives a last-time-out winner after 19 days, with another success six starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 88 ranks him top of ten. The risk is a patchy record, with an eighth and a ninth in his last six runs, plus 134 lb from draw 8.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Buccabay silks
Buccabay
Age 6 · 9-7
237357
76
84
81
6
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 11/4 3/1
Buccabay is winless in his last six, though a third three starts back and a second six starts back show he can get involved, and he has run over today's trip and going. Two sub-par runs since, a fifth and latterly a seventh last time out, hold him back from 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Space Party silks
Space Party
Age 3 · 9-7
323
77
74
71
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 12/1 9/1
Space Party is yet to win in his last three starts, though a third last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back show he is consistent; 50 days off is a concern, and our rating of 71 ranks him eighth of ten, with 133 lb from draw 2 to carry.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shihoku silks
Shihoku
Age 5 · 9-6
6-4708
75
53
81
5
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Shihoku is winless in his last five, with an eighth last time out and a fourth four starts back his best finish, and he returns after 109 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 81 sits above his official 75, but 132 lb from stall 9 is a lot to ask.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Charlie Mason silks
Charlie Mason
Age 5 · 9-4
168063
73
75
87
5
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 10/1
Charlie Mason booked a third last time out, 22 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, which underpins our preference on overall profile. His one win in the last six came six starts back, and carrying 130 lb from stall six is the one query.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Merrimack silks
Merrimack
Age 5 · 9-4
231446
73
52
71
5
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 20/1 16/1
Merrimack is hard to fancy after a sixth last time out and two fourths before that, with his lone win coming four starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns fresh after 24 days. Our rating of 71 ranks him ninth of ten, and 130 lb from stall four is no help.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Fifty Nifty 9/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.50 10/1 Paddy Power
2 French Affair 10/3 3/1 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 William Hill
3 Mesaafi 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 Bet365
4 Wyle Cop 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 Paddy Power
5 Tyger Bay 10/1 open 4.50 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 Paddy Power
6 Buccabay 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
7 Space Party 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Shihoku 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Charlie Mason 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Merrimack 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 26.00 40/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mesaafi

Speculative

Mesaafi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Ross Burdon Jack Mitchell
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

French Affair

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Jennie Candlish
✓ Value Signal

Shihoku

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Phil McEntee
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Mesaafi
54.0 5/2
2 2. French Affair
53.5 10/3
3 6. Buccabay
53.1 7/2
4 5. Tyger Bay
49.4 10/1
5 7. Space Party
49.4 11/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
French Affair
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-11
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 9-8
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
French Affair
Confidence: Speculative

French Affair (SR 95, 3/1) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 11 SR points clear of the next-best Buccabay (SR 84). Dropping two class tiers with a GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-soft surface is a potent combination, and the form string 461135 shows a recent win before a modest latest run. David Egan (13% career strike rate, 2,032 runners) is a competent booking, and while the mark is 2lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+2), the class relief more than compensates. The market at 3/1 reflects solid confidence in a horse that is simply better-rated than its rivals on today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Mesaafi. Main danger: Buccabay — Buccabay (SR 84, 3/1) has shortened 17% in the market, holds a Course:W1P5 record at Kempton showing real track affinity, and runs off a mark 2lb below its last win — the money is clearly following this horse and it cannot be ignored.

Case against 4 clamped
  • French Affair's HG code is 'p' (pulled up or paddock concern) with no headgear today — the latest run in form string 461135 where the horse finished 5th may reflect a physical issue rather than a sim…
  • Kempton AW is a Polytrack surface, yet French Affair's Course record shows W0P1 — one placed effort but no win here, and Mesaafi (W0P4) and Buccabay (W1P5) have far more proven course form.
  • Buccabay is co-favourite at 3/1 with a market move IN 17%, while French Affair shows no market support signal — in a small field where market intelligence matters, the rival's money is noteworthy.
  • David Egan's 13% career strike rate is below-average for a Kempton AW favourite, and trainer Jennie Candlish is northern-based with limited southern AW exposure, which can disadvantage track-specific…
Shortlist French Affair, Buccabay, Mesaafi, Tyger Bay
Each-way: Mesaafi Danger: Buccabay

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade