Killarney 14:45 RESULTED
5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Killarney Student Raceday Handicap

Killarney Student Raceday Handicap · 1m0f30y

Official Result

Killarney Student Raceday Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jasmine Affanalis (IRE) Sam Coen · David Marnane
    9/2
  2. 5/1
  3. 14/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Killarney

13:00–17:05 · 8 races

Yarmouth

13:15–16:40 · 7 races

Pontefract

13:30–17:33 · 9 races

Stratford

13:41–16:35 · 6 races

Fairyhouse

13:55–17:25 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:10–20:15 · 9 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:26–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Cisterna silks
Cisterna
Age 3 · 9-11
558020
TBA
58
52
64
3
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 FCST 10/1
Ranked second of 15 on our rating of 64, Cisterna ran second two starts back and returns just 13 days after his latest outing, having run over today's trip and going before. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last six starts and was unplaced last time.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

?
Oppenheimer silks
Oppenheimer
Age 3 · 9-5
-07400
52
46
65
3
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 12/1 14/1
Fit after 13 days off, he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 65 ranks him top of 15 with a speed figure of 75, so he's a real threat from draw 6 off 131 lb. The risk is a poor recent run, unplaced last time and winless in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

?
My Mate Tony silks
My Mate Tony
Age 5 · 9-9
00000/
TBA
53
18
45
5
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 50/1
Winless and unplaced in each of his last five starts, and now returning after 83 days off, My Mate Tony is hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and runs off 135 lb from stall 17, but our rating of 45 ranks him last of 15.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

1
Jasmine Affanalis silks
Jasmine Affanalis
Age 4 · 10-1
200207
59
50
61
4
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2
Jasmine Affanalis was seventh last time out, 16 days ago, but she was second three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in her last six starts, she carries 141 lb from stall five, and our rating of 61 only ranks her seventh of 15.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nibras Rainbow silks
Nibras Rainbow
Age 6 · 10-0
213933
58
56
59
6
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Nibras Rainbow has finished third in each of his last two starts, and a win five starts back shows he can get it done, while 30 days off should leave him fresh. He has run over today's trip and going before, though 140 lb is a hefty burden from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Big Bill silks
Big Bill
Age 3 · 10-2
760-51
56
59
63
3
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 9/2 10/3
Big Bill won last time out just four days ago and has run over today's trip and on this going, while our rating of 62 ranks him third of 15. The main risk is a quick turnaround under 142 lb, having finished fifth, unplaced and sixth before that win.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Concaire silks
Concaire
Age 3 · 9-8
862745
55
58
62
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Concaire is winless in his last six, though a fifth last time out and a fourth two starts back suggest he's in a reasonable groove, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 134 lb from stall 14, he's rated 62 by us against an official 55, but the string of finishes outside the places holds him back.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mags silks
Mags
Age 5 · 9-8
00-000
52
30
62
5
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1
Mags is winless in her last five outings, all unplaced, and returns after 34 days off, though she has run over today's trip and on the going before. Our rating of 62 ranks her fifth of 15, but 134 lb from draw 10 is a lot to carry off an official 52.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

6
Racing Royalty silks
Racing Royalty
Age 7 · 9-7
99-757
51
35
62
7
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 16/1 20/1
Racing Royalty is winless in his last five, with a seventh last time out and a fifth two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and is fresh after 27 days off. Carrying 133 lb from draw 15, he looks on a fair mark at 51, and our rating of 62 ranks him fourth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Tickle The Cat silks
Tickle The Cat
Age 3 · 9-4
08070
51
27
54
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 FCST 25/1
Tickle The Cat is winless in her last five, unplaced last time out after a seventh two starts back, though she has run over today's trip and returns fresh after 30 days off. Carrying 130 lb from draw 12, she looks mid-pack at best, with our rating of 54 ranking her 11th of 15.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Micasso silks
Micasso
Age 4 · 9-2
-10040
46
47
51
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Micasso has been unplaced in three of his last four outings, with just a fourth two starts back to show for it since a win five starts ago, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and a mark of 46 offers some relief, but our rating of 51 ranks him 13th of 15.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Ochtar Againn silks
Ochtar Againn
Age 3 · 9-2
004702
49
45
48
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 17/2 12/1
Ochtar Againn bounced back with a second last time out, but she is winless in her last six and was unplaced in three of the previous five, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and 19 days since her last run is fine, though 128 lb from draw 4 is a big ask and our rating of 48 ranks her 14th of 15.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Steppinoncats silks
Steppinoncats
Age 3 · 9-2
007
49
28
55
3
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Steppinoncats is winless in his last three, finishing seventh last time out and unplaced in the two runs before, though he's back quickly after 16 days and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 128 lb from draw 8, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 55 only ninth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

11
Sayonara silks
Sayonara
Age 3 · 9-0
084230
47
47
55
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 15/2 14/1
Sayonara bounced back to form with a third two starts back and a second three starts back, but was unplaced last time out and is yet to win in his last six. He has run over today's trip, returns after 26 days, and our rating of 55 ranks him tenth of fifteen.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
One Cool County silks
One Cool County
Age 3 · 8-13
6900
46
22
41
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
One Cool County is winless in his last four, finishing unplaced twice before a ninth three starts back and a sixth four starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He returns after 20 days off from stall 18 with 125 lb, and our rating of 41 leaves him a long way short.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
Lily's Magic silks
Lily's Magic
Age 4 · 8-12
00/07-
42
23
45
4
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Lily's Magic is winless in his last four, finishing seventh last time out and unplaced in the three runs before, and returns after 327 days off, which is hard to overlook. He has run over today's trip and carries 124 lb from draw 3, but little else here is in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

14
Rampage silks
Rampage
Age 7 · 8-11
078526
41
52
53
7
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 4/1 11/2
Rampage is yet to win in his last six, though a second two starts back shows he can go close, and he has run over today's trip and on this going. A sixth last time out, 20 days ago, and a ranking of 12 of 15 on our rating hold him to a midfield-to-back role from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Draiocht silks
Draiocht
Age 6 · 8-10
0-4369
40
45
42
6
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 13/2
Draiocht is hard to fancy, beaten into ninth last time out and winless in his last five, with a third three starts back and a fourth four starts back the best of his recent efforts. He has run over today's trip and going, and a 27-day break is fine, but our figures leave him an outsider.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Cisterna 12/1 open 12.00 10/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
0 Oppenheimer 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
0 My Mate Tony 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
1 Jasmine Affanalis 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Coral
2 Nibras Rainbow 6/1 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Coral
3 Big Bill 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 Coral
4 Concaire 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Coral
5 Mags 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
6 Racing Royalty 20/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Paddy Power
7 Tickle The Cat 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Coral
8 Micasso 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Coral
9 Ochtar Againn 12/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Paddy Power
10 Steppinoncats 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Sayonara 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 Coral
12 One Cool County 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Paddy Power
13 Lily's Magic 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
14 Rampage 6/1 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
15 Draiocht 7/1 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nibras Rainbow

Speculative

Nibras Rainbow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 Paul W Flynn Nina Doherty(10)
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Big Bill

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Aidan Melia
✓ Value Signal

Steppinoncats

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Rory Anthony Devine
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Nibras Rainbow
45.0 6/1
2 3. Big Bill
44.6 7/2
3 4. Concaire
44.5 5/1
4 0. Cisterna
44.2 12/1
5 8. Micasso
43.7 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Big Bill
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 10-2
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 10-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 7 · 8-11
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 6 · 8-10
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾 —

SR 45 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-1
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

0
Age 3 · 9-11
12/1
J: TBA
T: A. Slattery
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾 —

SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

0
Age 3 · 9-5
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾 —

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Big Bill
Confidence: Speculative

Big Bill (SR:59, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this field and carries a manageable 10-2, which is not punishing in a race where the top SR runners are clustered tightly. His recent form shows a win last time out (form reads 760-51, rightmost=1) and he is only 4 days off that run, suggesting connections are striking while the iron is hot. Crucially, the market has shortened 8% since opening — money is coming for him — and trainer Aidan Melia's 15% strike rate is the best in this field by some margin. GoingFit is listed as unknown (?) rather than proven negative, which at least does not flag a confirmed going problem, unlike most rivals who carry a clear GoingFit:- flag on today's Good ground. Each-way alternative: Nibras Rainbow. Main danger: Nibras Rainbow — Nibras Rainbow (SR:56, 6/1) has steamed in 11% in the market, holds two wins and two places at Killarney (Course:W2P2 — the best course record in the field), and while carrying a MarkMv:+6 flag, the strong course affinity and market confidence make it the most credible threat to Big Bill.

Case against 4 clamped
  • HG:p (handicap mark on good ground) is unproven — Big Bill has no confirmed Good-going form flagged, and today's Killarney surface could expose that unknown.
  • Only 4 days since last run is a very quick turnaround for a 3yo; fatigue or muscle soreness could blunt his performance, especially if last win was a tough race.
  • Nibras Rainbow (SR:56) has proven Course form (W2P2) and market support (in 11%) with a higher MarkMv of +6, suggesting handicapper sees that rival as improving faster than Big Bill (MarkMv:=).
  • Jockey Reese Holohan has a modest 11% strike rate from only 295 rides — limited big-field handicap experience — and Concaire draws W.J. Lee (16% SR, 1901 rides), a significant jockey downgrade for Bi…
Shortlist Big Bill, Nibras Rainbow, Cisterna, Jasmine Affanalis
Each-way: Nibras Rainbow Danger: Nibras Rainbow

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m0f30y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting