Wolverhampton (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes

Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes · 7f36y

Official Result

Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Charlie's Cannon (IRE) Sean Levey · David O'Meara
    22/1
  2. 8/1
  3. 2/1F
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alfa Whiteburd silks
Alfa Whiteburd
Age 5 · 9-13
211164
84
82
86
5
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Three wins in his last six starts looks smart, but he has slipped to a fourth last time out and a sixth two starts back, and a stable out of form (1/21 in the last 14 days) adds doubt. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 86 ranks him only sixth of twelve from draw 6.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dublin Bay silks
Dublin Bay
Age 3 · 9-12
415134
85
83
86
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 7/2 7/1
Dublin Bay arrives in solid recent form, a fourth last time out, a third two starts back and a winner three starts back, with 23 days since his last run, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 138 lb from draw 12, his only drawback is a modest speed figure of 74.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Proud Nation silks
Proud Nation
Age 3 · 9-12
-35200
85
83
87
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 17/2 13/2
Proud Nation is a leading danger, a second three starts back and a third five runs ago showing he can get involved, while he has run over today's trip and returns fresh after 29 days. The main risk is two unplaced runs since, and he is yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
The Dragon King silks
The Dragon King
Age 4 · 9-10
555828
81
84
86
4
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 10/1 5/1
The Dragon King bounced from a second two starts back to an eighth last time out, yet he has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 86 ranks him third of twelve against an official 81. The risk is an 88-day absence, and he is yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Charlie's Cannon silks
Charlie's Cannon
Age 3 · 9-9
19
82
57
61
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 20/1
Charlie's Cannon was a winner two starts back but finished ninth last time out, and he returns after 61 days off. He has run over today's trip and carries 135 lb off an official 82, yet our 61 ranks him last of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Grow Old With Me silks
Grow Old With Me
Age 4 · 9-7
2/33
78
84
86
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 6/1 7/1
Third last time out and again two starts back, with a second three starts back, he is yet to win in his last three but is consistently in the frame, and he has run over today's trip and going. Back in 16 days, he carries 133 lb from stall seven, and our rating of 86 sits well above his official 78.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Reciprocated silks
Reciprocated
Age 3 · 9-7
-30000
80
58
90
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 28/1 33/1
Our top-rated runner on 90, ten pounds clear of his official 80, he has run over today's trip and returns after 31 days with a third five starts back to build on. The risk is four unplaced runs since, and he is yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Chantelle silks
Chantelle
Age 3 · 9-6
122352
79
82
80
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 11/2 7/1
Chantelle bangs in the frame regularly, second last time out and a second four and five starts back, and she's fit after 13 days, having run over today's trip and going. Against that, she's a fifth two starts back and a winner only six starts back, and our rating of 80 ranks her eighth of 12 from draw 11 under 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Tattie Bogle silks
Tattie Bogle
Age 4 · 9-6
722814
77
70
80
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 10/1 16/1
Tattie Bogle was a fourth last time out, 13 days ago, and a winner two starts back, but he has also finished eighth and seventh in this sequence, so consistency is a worry. He has run over today's trip and going, yet carrying 132 lb from stall eight, ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Powder Monkey silks
Powder Monkey
Age 3 · 9-5
235611
78
90
78
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 9/4
Powder Monkey arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him just 11th of 12 and 131 lb from stall 1 looks a stiff ask after those wins.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Padua silks
Padua
Age 4 · 9-5
-04938
76
78
81
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 12/1 15/2
Padua was beaten into eighth last time out after a third two starts back, and he's yet to win in his last five, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 81 sits above his official 76, but 131 lb from stall 3 leaves little margin.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Queue Dos silks
Queue Dos
Age 4 · 9-3
-47385
74
54
79
4
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 16/1 20/1
Winless in her last five, Queue Dos was fifth last time out and has been off for 97 days, which makes her hard to fancy from 129 lb in stall 10. She has run over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back is the pick of her form.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alfa Whiteburd 9/1 11/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Paddy Power
2 Dublin Bay 7/1 open 4.50 15/2 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 8/1 Coral
3 Proud Nation 15/2 open 21.00 7/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.50 15/2 Bet365
4 The Dragon King 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 6/1 Coral
5 Charlie's Cannon 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Grow Old With Me 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 8/1 Coral
7 Reciprocated 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
8 Chantelle 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 8/1 Coral
9 Tattie Bogle 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Powder Monkey 5/2 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
11 Padua 9/1 open 29.00 15/2 open 23.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 17.00 9/1 Bet365
12 Queue Dos 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Powder Monkey

Speculative

Powder Monkey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 George Boughey Billy Loughnane
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

The Dragon King

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Robert Cowell
✓ Value Signal

Reciprocated

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · David Loughnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Powder Monkey
56.2 5/2
2 4. The Dragon King
55.1 11/2
3 8. Chantelle
52.6 15/2
4 1. Alfa Whiteburd
52.1 9/1
5 2. Dublin Bay
51.1 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Powder Monkey
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 3 · 9-5
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-13
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Powder Monkey
Confidence: Speculative

Powder Monkey (SR 90, 5/2) is clearly the highest-rated horse in this field by a meaningful margin — 6 points clear of the next-best group at SR 84 — and carries a very manageable 9-5 despite stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1). The recent form string 235611 reads right-to-left as back-to-back wins last time out, confirming peak current form. Course record of W1P2 at Wolverhampton AW, proven distance (DistFit:+) and going fit (GoingFit:+) mean all the key boxes are ticked. The 18% market drift from opening is a note of caution, but the class rise is the most likely explanation — the underlying credentials still dominate this field. Each-way alternative: The Dragon King. Main danger: The Dragon King — The Dragon King (SR 84, 13/2) has steamed in 46% in the market, carries a relatively light 9-10, holds course form (W1P1 at Wolverhampton), and the strong market support suggests connections have a clear reason to be confident despite an 88-day absence — though DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are real concerns that cap confidence.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 18% market drift out is notable — MarkMv:+4 on top suggests money has been consistently leaving Powder Monkey since opening, not just a one-off move, which points to stable intelligence against.
  • Class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the primary unknown: the back-to-back wins (form 11 reading right-to-left) were achieved at a lower class level, so those victories have yet to be validated at this grade.
  • Chantelle (SR:82) has a superior Wolverhampton course record of W2P2 vs Powder Monkey's W1P2, is race-sharp on 13 days, and Sir Mark Prescott's runners at Wolves AW carry serious place claims — likel…
  • The Dragon King (SR:84) is steaming in at 46% market move with a course record W1P1, suggesting the market sees a live rival that could expose Powder Monkey at the higher class ceiling.
Shortlist Powder Monkey, The Dragon King, Grow Old With Me, Chantelle
Each-way: The Dragon King Danger: The Dragon King

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f36y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade