Wolverhampton (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f20y

Official Result

Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Iron Dome (GB) Hector Crouch · Clive Cox
    1/6F
  2. 4/1
  3. 28/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Extended Credit silks
Extended Credit
Age 3 · 9-7
56
—
154
—
3
9-7
★★★★☆
—
2/1 2/1 32/17
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Flag of Nations silks
Flag of Nations
Age 3 · 9-7
8
—
137
—
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 11/2 17/2
SR 137 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 137 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Iron Dome silks
Iron Dome
Age 3 · 9-7
44
—
155
—
3
9-7
★★★★☆
—
8/15 21/13 1/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Sir Chops silks
Sir Chops
Age 3 · 9-7
9
—
121
—
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 66/1 80/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nefertari silks
Nefertari
Age 3 · 9-2
9
—
127
—
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 FCST 14/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Starship Lily silks
Starship Lily
Age 3 · 9-2
4
—
149
—
3
9-2
★★★★☆
—
13/8 FCST 31/19
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Extended Credit 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 Bet365
2 Flag of Nations 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 17/2 Bet365
3 Iron Dome 8/15 open 2.75 1/2 open 2.63 8/15 open 2.62 8/15 open 2.63 4/7 open 2.62 1/2 open 2.88 4/7 William Hill
4 Sir Chops 100/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 Bet365
5 Nefertari 20/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Starship Lily 13/8 13/8 open 2.88 7/4 7/4 7/4 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Iron Dome

High conviction

Iron Dome owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/15 Clive Cox Hector Crouch
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Extended Credit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Charles Hills
✓ Value Signal

Sir Chops

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Steph Hollinshead
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Iron Dome
75.0 8/15
2 1. Extended Credit
71.8 2/1
3 6. Starship Lily
68.3 13/8
4 2. Flag of Nations
63.1 17/2
5 5. Nefertari
55.0 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Extended Credit
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-7
8/15
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 3 · 9-2
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 3 · 9-7
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 137 🐾 —

SR 137 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 127 🐾 —

SR 127 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Extended Credit
Confidence: Speculative

Extended Credit (SR 154, 2/1) has steamed in 30% from its opening price — the most significant market move in the field — which is a strong signal that connections expect a forward showing. It holds the second-highest SR at 154, sitting just 1 point below Iron Dome, and crucially carries the same weight (9-7) while the form string of 5-6 shows progressive experience through novice company. Charles Hills operates at a solid 14% strike rate over 1,240 runners, a yard that doesn't send horses to Wolverhampton midweek without purpose. The 30% market steam in a 6-runner field is the decisive differentiator over Iron Dome, whose 22% support is real but whose form of 4-4 suggests a horse that keeps running into things rather than asserting. Each-way alternative: Starship Lily. Main danger: Iron Dome — Iron Dome holds the highest SR in the field at 155, is trained by the high-strike-rate Clive Cox (17%), carries identical weight to Extended Credit, and has also shortened 22% in the market — if the hood works and it gets its head in front for the first time, it could prove difficult to peg back.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Iron Dome holds a higher SR (155 vs 154), is the 11/10 market favourite, trained by Clive Cox (17% strike rate vs Hills' 14%), and ridden by Hector Crouch (18% strike rate vs Hornby's 12%) — every se…
  • 50-day absence is notably longer than the rest of the field; Iron Dome and Sir Chops are on a sharp 20-day turnaround suggesting race-readiness, while Extended Credit may need this run to strip fitte…
  • Form of 5-6 means Extended Credit has yet to finish closer than fifth — this is not a progressive form string but one showing a horse that has struggled to land a blow in novice company.
  • Rob Hornby's 12% strike rate is the weakest jockey stat among the contenders, sitting below Crouch (18%), Shepherd (15%), and Voikhansky (11% on far fewer rides), a marginal but real disadvantage at…
Shortlist Extended Credit, Iron Dome, Starship Lily
Each-way: Starship Lily Danger: Iron Dome

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f20y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade