Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race) · 2m0f70y
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 156 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 134 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Square d'Alboni | 13/8 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 1.80 | 7/4 open 2.20 | 7/4 open 2.20 | 6/4 open 2.20 | 13/8 open 2.00 | 7/4 Paddy Power |
| 2 Arcturus Flame | 6/5 open 2.63 | 6/5 open 3.00 | 11/10 open 2.75 | 11/10 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 2.75 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 5/4 Betfred |
| 3 Drumstick | 80/1 open 21.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 29.00 | 100/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Coral |
| 4 Prince Vinny | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 5 Red Metal | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 6 Lady of The Isles | 150/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 | 150/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Arcturus Flame owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 156 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Arcturus Flame (SR:156, 7/4) is the standout on ability — a 32-point SR gap over the next-best Red Metal (SR:152) and a massive 32-point gap over the field's joint-third tier. The sole career start returned a win, GoingFit:+ confirms the good-to-firm ground suits, and at 5lb lighter than the favourite Square d'Alboni (11-6 vs 11-11) the weight advantage is real. James Owen (19% strike rate, 2,250 runners) and Jonathan Burke are a competent partnership, and the tongue-tie suggests connections know how to present this horse. The market (7/4) is rational here given the SR lead. Each-way alternative: Square d'Alboni. Main danger: Square d'Alboni — Square d'Alboni (SR:124, 6/5 favourite) holds Course:W1P1 at Stratford, DistFit:+, is trained by the in-form Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination (22%/26% strike rates), and drops two class tiers — local course knowledge and a powerful yard can compensate for the SR gap, and the market clearly has it as the safer conveyance despite the lower rating.