Fairyhouse 14:30 RESULTED
5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle

Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle · 2m0f0y

Official Result

Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner State Pension (IRE) Cian Quirke · David Harry Kelly
    4/11F
  2. 7/2
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crystal Mariner silks
Crystal Mariner
Age 6 · 11-12
227
108
93
108OR
6
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 16/1
SR 93 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Farney Bridge silks
Farney Bridge
Age 6 · 11-12
0144
—
150
—
6
11-12
★★★★☆
—
6/1 9/2 6/1
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Grey Fable silks
Grey Fable
Age 6 · 11-12
578/9-
106
79
106OR
6
11-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 35/1
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

4
State Pension silks
State Pension
Age 6 · 11-12
2135-3
—
154
—
6
11-12
★★★★☆
—
8/15 8/13 9/17
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Geashill Poet silks
Geashill Poet
Age 5 · 11-4
0
—
125
—
5
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 125/1 200/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Midtown Manhattan silks
Midtown Manhattan
Age 5 · 11-4
1/9
—
152
—
5
11-4
★★★★☆
—
4/1 5/1 3/1
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Unfortunatecharlie silks
Unfortunatecharlie
Age 7 · 11-4
6/21-8
—
126
—
7
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
66/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Abando silks
Abando
Age 4 · 11-3
3
—
144
—
4
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 12/1 10/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
El Bilo silks
El Bilo
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
135
—
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 10/1 18/1
SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Je Suis Celebre silks
Je Suis Celebre
Age 4 · 11-3
F5
—
122
—
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Little An Often silks
Little An Often
Age 4 · 11-3
8
—
124
—
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 66/1 80/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Paidi's Pet silks
Paidi's Pet
Age 4 · 11-3
8
—
127
—
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 50/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crystal Mariner 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Farney Bridge 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 Coral
3 Grey Fable 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
4 State Pension 8/15 open 1.62 8/15 open 1.67 8/13 open 1.67 8/13 open 1.67 8/15 open 1.67 8/15 open 1.67 8/13 Coral
5 Geashill Poet 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 Bet365
6 Midtown Manhattan 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Unfortunatecharlie 66/1 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 Paddy Power
8 Abando 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
9 El Bilo 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 Paddy Power
10 Je Suis Celebre 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Little An Often 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 Paddy Power
12 Paidi's Pet 50/1 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

State Pension

High conviction

State Pension owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/15 David Harry Kelly Cian Quirke
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Midtown Manhattan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Henry de Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Little An Often

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Mark Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. State Pension
73.9 8/15
2 6. Midtown Manhattan
71.0 4/1
3 2. Farney Bridge
67.7 6/1
4 8. Abando
64.5 11/1
5 9. El Bilo
55.7 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
State Pension
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 11-12
8/15
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 5 · 11-4
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 6 · 11-12
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Age 4 · 11-3
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 11-12
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 11-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 135 🐾 —

SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
State Pension
Confidence: Medium

State Pension tops the composite score at SR 154 trading at 4/7. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist State Pension, Midtown Manhattan, Farney Bridge, Abando, El Bilo
Each-way: Midtown Manhattan Danger: Farney Bridge

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting