Pontefract 15:50 RESULTED
Class 3 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f

Official Result

Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Brighton Boy (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby
    9/2
  2. 5/1
  3. 40/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Classy Clarets silks
Classy Clarets Non-Runner
Age 5 · 8-13
111121
77
—
70
5
8-13
—
—
SP FCST 4/1
Five wins in his last six starts, including last time out, is hard to ignore, and he has run over today's trip and on this going. Even so, our rating of 70 ranks him last of 12, he carries 125 lb off an official mark of 77, and 35 days off makes him tough to fancy.
1
Cape Ashizuri silks
Cape Ashizuri
Age 3 · 9-11
52-104
90
92
92
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 11/2 9/1
Cape Ashizuri showed solid recent form, a fourth last time out and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our 92 puts him fourth of 12. The main risk is a 58-day break, with 137 lb to carry from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Sovereign Spell silks
Sovereign Spell
Age 3 · 9-10
3-1170
89
95
96
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 8/1 9/1
Sovereign Spell won three and four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 96 ranks him second of twelve. The risk is a 108-day absence, after an unplaced run last time out and a seventh two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Stormy Impact silks
Stormy Impact
Age 4 · 9-9
045002
87
95
99
4
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 10/3 11/2
Stormy Impact comes here fresh from a second last time out just 14 days ago, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 99 is the highest in the field, though she remains yet to win in her last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Artagnan silks
Artagnan
Age 4 · 9-7
3-2403
85
76
87
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 7/1 20/1
Artagnan was third last time out and has been in the frame in three of his last five, yet he's winless in that spell and returns after 68 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 87 sits just above his official 85.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sergeant Wilko silks
Sergeant Wilko
Age 5 · 9-7
468289
85
91
92
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 9/1 10/3
Sergeant Wilko has run over today's trip and on this going, and a second three starts back shows he can bridge the gap, while our rating of 92 ranks him third of 12 from an official 85. The risk is form that has tailed off, with an eighth and a ninth in his last two.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Novello Lad silks
Novello Lad
Age 5 · 9-6
118000
84
77
84
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 16/1 11/1
Novello Lad has been unplaced in each of his last three outings, and his two wins came five and six starts back, so the recent trend is hard to ignore. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 22 days, but 132 lb from draw 2 and a ninth-placed ranking on our figures make him tough to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Alpha Capture silks
Alpha Capture
Age 6 · 9-4
202209
82
95
87
6
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 13/2 10/3
Alpha Capture was beaten into ninth last time out after 11 days off, but he's been a runner-up three times in his last six, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in that spell, he carries 130 lb from draw 3, with our rating of 87 only ranking him seventh of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Bell Shot silks
Bell Shot
Age 7 · 9-4
834202
82
88
84
7
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 7/1
Bell Shot was second last time out just 11 days ago and has been placed in three of his last six, but he is winless in that spell and hard to fancy from stall 8 under 130 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him tenth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Physique silks
Physique
Age 6 · 9-4
210740
82
80
90
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 12/1 7/1
Quick back out after 12 days, he's been unplaced last time out and a seventh three starts back since winning five starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 90 sits above his official 82, but 130 lb from stall one is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Kosometsuke silks
Kosometsuke
Age 4 · 9-3
-15849
81
63
82
4
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 20/1 22/1
Kosometsuke is hard to fancy after a ninth last time out, with a fourth two starts back his best finish since a win five starts back, and his yard is 0/31 lately. He has run over today's trip and going before, though, and our rating of 82 sits just above his official 81.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Brighton Boy silks
Brighton Boy
Age 4 · 9-3
060350
81
88
85
4
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 12/1 4/1
Brighton Boy has been unplaced last time out, with a fifth two starts back and a third three starts back, so he is yet to win in his last six. He has run over today's trip and going and is fit after 17 days off, but carrying 129 lb from draw 7 keeps him in the midfield.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Classy Clarets 4/1 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 9/2 Paddy Power
1 Cape Ashizuri 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 11/1 William Hill
2 Sovereign Spell 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Paddy Power
3 Stormy Impact 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 William Hill
4 Artagnan 20/1 open 8.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 9.00 22/1 open 9.00 28/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 9.00 28/1 William Hill
5 Sergeant Wilko 4/1 open 17.00 7/2 open 15.00 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 17.00 10/3 open 17.00 7/2 open 17.00 4/1 Bet365
6 Novello Lad 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Alpha Capture 4/1 open 11.00 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 9.00 10/3 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 Bet365
8 Bell Shot 15/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 17/2 William Hill
9 Physique 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 William Hill
10 Kosometsuke 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 28/1 open 23.00 22/1 28/1 William Hill
11 Brighton Boy 9/2 open 17.00 4/1 open 13.00 9/2 open 15.00 9/2 open 15.00 4/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Stormy Impact

Speculative

Stormy Impact owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Richard & Peter Fahey Warren Fentiman(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sergeant Wilko

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Kevin Ryan
✓ Value Signal

Artagnan

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Stormy Impact
56.9 11/2
2 5. Sergeant Wilko
55.6 4/1
3 7. Alpha Capture
55.2 4/1
4 1. Cape Ashizuri
54.0 9/1
5 2. Sovereign Spell
51.9 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Stormy Impact
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 9-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-3
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 9-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-11
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-7
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Stormy Impact
Confidence: Speculative

Stormy Impact (SR 95, 4/1) is the joint SR-leader but carries the lightest weight of that group at 9-9, giving a meaningful lbs edge over Cape Ashizuri (9-11) and Sovereign Spell (9-10). Crucially, the MarkMv:-6 signals a drop of 6lb from its last winning mark — the single most favourable handicap signal in this field — and its GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is confirmed by record. At 4/1 the market prices it as a leading contender without overcorrecting, and the Fahey yard (10% strike rate, 632 runners) is a solid handler of this type. The 14-day turnaround after a Class 3 run at the same grade (ClassMv:=) suggests connections are confident it has more to give. Each-way alternative: Alpha Capture. Main danger: Alpha Capture — Alpha Capture (SR 95, 9/2) shares the joint-top SR, has steamed in 41% in the market — the second-largest positive move in the field — carries only 9-4 (the lightest weight among the SR-95 trio), and holds two placed efforts at Pontefract (Course:W0P2), making it the most credible threat to upset Stormy Impact.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 045002 — no win in last 6 outings, with the most recent run a zero (last or well beaten), suggesting the horse is struggling to convert despite being well-handicapped.
  • Jockey Warren Fentiman has only a 9% strike rate from 789 rides — the weakest of the main market rivals, and a notable downgrade from what connections might attract if confident.
  • Alpha Capture (9/2, SR:95, Mkt:in41%) shares the same SR, carries 5lb less at 9-4, and is moving into the race with strong market support — directly undermining the weight advantage argument for Stor…
  • Course record is W0P1 — no win at Pontefract despite a placing, and Pontefract's unique undulating track can expose horses that fail to settle, a concern given the 0 on the most recent run.
Shortlist Stormy Impact, Alpha Capture, Sovereign Spell, Brighton Boy
Each-way: Alpha Capture Danger: Alpha Capture

🗺 The Course Class 3

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade